Back to Basics: A Planned Crisis?
“In politics, nothing happens by accident. If it happens, you can bet it was planned that way.” – Franklin D. Roosevelt
from Deviant Investor:
The US government spends $1 – $2 Trillion more each year than it collects in revenues, using strictly cash accounting. This is not sustainable. But the deficit is actually far worse when accrued liabilities are included – as calculated by Laurence Kotlikoff. Using his numbers, the fiscal gap is approximately $222 Trillion, up about $11 Trillion from last year. The fiscal gap (present value difference between projected future spending and revenue) increased about $11 Trillion in one year because the projected future liabilities dramatically increased compared to projected future revenues. The fiscal dilemma of the US Government is actually far worse than the official budget deficit. Clearly something must drastically change.
- The US National Debt (official cash accounting) increases about 12% per year (last five years) while the GPD (Gross Domestic Product) is hardly changing, or decreasing, if inflation were properly calculated.
- Current US government expenses for entitlements (Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, Military Pensions, etc.) plus current expenses for interest on the National Debt exceed current revenues. The government would still go into debt every year, even if it cut 100% of military expenses and 100% of the remaining US government bureaucracy.