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Storm alert: A lot of places getting rain in the next 72 hrs


The latest EURO run has more winter weather….and severe…

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/euro/00zeuro500mbHGHTNA192.gif

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue1 h
In extended range, 8 days GFS, jet stream straight out of NW driving Alaska/Canadian Arctic air into Lower-48

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/322794953774333952/photo/1

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue1 h
Major snowfall would be in Colorado Tues/Wed as low moves into Texas then rides up front into Great Lakes. Great late season snowpack for CO

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue1 h
Next major storm for Lower-48 will drive another cold front thru S. Texas. w/low pressure traveling along stationary front into Great Lakes

lot of places getting rain in the next 72 hrs

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/gfs/12/gfs_namer_072_precip_ptot.gif

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/day48prob.gif

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL
ACUS48 KWNS 130833
SPC AC 130833

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0333 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2013

VALID 161200Z – 211200Z

…DISCUSSION…
BROAD SWLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DOMINATE THE SRN PLAINS/MS VALLEY
DURING THE EARLY-MID WEEK BEFORE NWLY FLOW DEVELOPS ALONG BACK SIDE
OF LONG WAVE TROUGH. LARGE SCALE PATTERN DOES NOT FAVOR DEEP SFC
CYCLOGENESIS DURING THE PERIOD BUT RATHER A WEAK WAVE SHOULD BE
INDUCED ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES TUESDAY BEFORE SHIFTING INTO SWRN TX
WEDNESDAY DUE TO SIGNIFICANT FRONTAL PENETRATION OVER THE PLAINS.
MULTIPLE DAYS OF FAVORABLE TRAJECTORIES OFF THE WRN GULF BASIN
SHOULD RESULT IN MEANINGFUL BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE ADVANCING ACROSS
THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY WITH SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE/ELEVATED BUOYANCY EXPECTED TO SUPPORT A BAND OF POST
FRONTAL CONVECTION WITHIN WARM ADVECTION ZONE. DIABATIC HEATING AND
FRONTAL LIFT SHOULD ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE FRONT BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BEFORE
PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH SHUNTS DEEPER MOISTURE/ASCENT EAST.
STEEPEST LAPSE RATES/INSTABILITY MAY BE OVERTURNED BY MID WEEK SO
CONFIDENCE IN ORGANIZED SEVERE DOWNSTREAM IS LOWER THAN ACROSS THE
PLAINS/MS VALLEY REGION.

..DARROW.. 04/13/2013

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/

 

Joe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi56 min
Brazilian ensemble has it snowing in Chicago and hitting 20 degrees next week

https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/323068930874806272/photo/1

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue1 min
2-day snow totals for upper-midwest & Mich UP most of which falls on Sunday. 1 foot +

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/323088652886503425/photo/1

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue2 min
Snowing in northern Michigan so hard that travel is not advised.

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue1 min
@therobdale heavy pockets earlier along M-55 in central lower Michigan. Weak shortwave plus Lake CAPE enough for SN+

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue1 h
Couple areas of concern w/potent little storms w/stubby cold fronts — one along Gulf & another in midwest. SPC-WRF:

http://models.weatherbell.com/news/spc_2013041312_ref_east.gif

AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather48 m
Sustained winds of 43 mph with wind gusts up to 63 mph reported near Arlington, W.Y.

 

 

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