Market Crash Imminent? Dollar Is About To Surge Against Pound, Europ, Yen And It Is Going To Hurt Corporate Profits. Andy Xie: A Strengthening Dollar Could Trigger New Financial Crisis

It Looks Like The Dollar Is About To Surge

Good perspective here from SocGen’s currency analyst Sebastien Galy. Between the Italian election uncertainty and the UK downgrade, it’s safe to expect another dollar pop:

 

The combination of a UK downgrade and a uncertain Italian elections are the fuel for a run of stop losses on long GBPUSD and EURUSD at the opening of the markets in Asia. CFTC positioning had already shown [...]

Britain’s credit rating downgraded from AAA to Aa1

James Hurley
London Telegraph
February 22, 2013

Moody’s announced on Friday night that it had cut the Government’s bond rating one notch from ‘Aaa’ – the highest possible level – to ‘Aa1’.

The move is a significant setback for Chancellor George Osborne, who has faced criticism that his strategy for dealing with UK’s huge debt burden is failing to deliver.

Moody’s pointed to “continuing weakness in the UK’s medium-term growth outlook, with a period of [...]

When Reality Sets In, Hope Turns To Fear! Moody’s Threatens To Downgrade U.S. AAA Rating, More Sovereign Wealth Funds Unwilling To Buy More U.S. Debt, WH Seeking More Taxes, And Deep Cuts Raise Questions About Morgan Stanley As Earnings Season Just Started…

The Beginning is Near!

When water turns to ice, or vapor turns to water, we have what is referred to as a Phase Equilibria change. It can be slow or it can be instantaneous. Whichever occurs, a new and completely different state of reality then exists.

The markets are about to transition through such a Phase Equilibria. We have reached the End of the Beginning and a New Beginning is Near! Unfortunately [...]

EU Begins To Crack Further And To Implode: BUNDESBANK CUTS GERMAN 2013 GDP FORECAST, Call It A Recession, ECB Considers Negative Interest Rates, Italy And Spain Are Selling Off, And Fitch Will Downgrade The UK’s AAA Rating!!!

Just How Bad Is It In Europe?

EURUSD is ‘weak’ (under 1.2900) this morning, having given a week’s worth of gains back in just 2 days as it appears (quite unsurprisingly) that even the core or Europe is now becoming embroiled in a total economic depression. While it seems unlikely that the much-discussed optimal-strategy of Germany leaving the EUR will occur before Merkel’s re-election, we suspect there will be growing angst [...]

Euro Holding Gains Despite France Downgrade, Indian Banks Banned from Lending for Gold Purchases

London Gold Market Report

from Ben Traynor

BullionVault

Tuesday 20 November 2012, 07:30 EST

 

Euro Holding Gains Despite France Downgrade, Indian Banks Banned from Lending for Gold Purchases

 

SPOT MARKET prices for buying gold traded above $1730 an ounce throughout Tuesday morning in London, up 1% for the week so far, while the Euro also held onto gains made yesterday despite news that a second ratings agency this year has downgraded France.

 

Gold rose by more than $20 [...]

STATE DEPT: U.S. IS ‘GOING TO GET DOWNGRADED’

On Election Day, the State Department invited a top economic analyst to hold a briefing for foreign reporters about the U.S. economy. The analyst’s message was clear: the U.S. is getting downgraded again. 

Kathy Bostjancic, director of Macroeconomic Analysis for the Conference Board, said bluntly, “We’re going to get downgraded.”

In 2011, ratings agency Standard & Poor’s downgraded the U.S. debt to AA+ from AAA, after Congress and President Barack Obama agreed to [...]

CRAIGSLIST: $15 a gallon

Reuters

Prices at the pump have remained steady despite the shortages, AAA said, averaging just below $4 a gallon in New York City, 2 cents lower than last week. However, on Long Island, where only a third of all stations were working, average gasoline prices jumped 5 cents from a day earlier.

But online, Craigslist users started offering gasoline for as much as $15 a gallon to motorists and homeowners not wishing [...]

Fitch could downgrade the US a few days before the election!!! Obama is done if that happens!

From Zerohedge:

While there is little news aside from a modestly disappointing pending home sales print, risk assets in general are bleeding quite notably. USD is strengthening and Treasuries are rallying as commodities slide and stocks tumble. The chatter is a rumor that Fitch is about to downgrade the US below AAA. We find this highly suspect as there would be hell to pay for doing this two weeks before an [...]

MORE PAIN: California’s Insane Gas Prices Just Hit A New All-Time High

The average price of gasoline in California is $4.671 per gallon, up from $4.668 yesterday.  This is according to the latest data from AAA’s Fuel Gauge Report.

 

This is a new all-time high.

California’s gas supply has been squeezed by refinery outages, which are slowing coming back online.

However, analysts point to the deceleration in th price increases as a welcome sign that the worst may soon be over.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/california-gas-prices-all-time-high-2012-10#ixzz28oNaUBFD

Gas hits $6 next $8 per gallon in San Diego

As gas prices in California hit a record high for the third day in a row, a station in San Diego County was charging $5.779 a gallon for regular gas and almost $6 a gallon for premium.

Qwik Korner at 2015 East Valley Parkway in Escondido was charging $1.11 more than the state average of $4.558 a gallon for regular unleaded gas. Premium was going for $5.99 a gallon.

The cost of [...]

U.K.’s AAA Faces Increased Likelihood of Downgrade, Fitch Says!

One-by-one, the highest quality collateral in the world (according to ratings that is) is disappearing. To wit, Fitch warns that a downgrade of the UK’s AAA rating is increasingly likely: “weaker than expected growth and fiscal outturns in 2012 have increased pressure on the UK’s ‘AAA’ rating, which has been on Negative Outlook since March 2012.” The Negative Outlook on the UK rating reflects thevery limited fiscal space, at the [...]

Moody’s on US AAA: If 2013 Congressional negotiations fail to produce debt stabilization policies expect to lower the rating-probably to Aa1

RECORD-HIGH LABOR DAY GAS PRICES GREET DEMS IN CHARLOTTE

Democrats arrived in Charlotte on Monday to an ill-timed reminder of one of the issues plaguing President Barack Obama’s reelection bid: high gasoline prices.

Prices at the pump reached a national average of $3.83 Monday, according to AAA, setting a record high for a Labor Day. The previous Labor Day record of $3.69 was set in 2008, at the height of the last presidential election fight.

Gas prices have increased by 23 [...]

U.S. gas prices at highest ever for Labor Day weekend

foxnews.com
September 3, 2012

The national average for a gallon of regular gasoline hit $3.80 on Monday, up 14 cents from the same time last year, the highest price ever recorded during a Labor Day weekend, GasBuddy.com reports.

U.S. drivers hit the road in droves in one of the nation’s busiest weekends, seemingly undeterred by the high gas prices, due, in part, to Hurricane Isaac, which forced oil refineries on the Gulf Coast [...]

Gasoline Rising to Holiday High

Hurricane Isaac and a deadly blast at Venezuela’s Amuay refinery pushed gasoline to an almost four- month high and threatened to revive a debate about energy costs in the run-up to the presidential election in November.

Futures jumped yesterday in New York as Isaac forced closures of Gulf Coast refineries and reduced rates at others. That market is also reeling from an Aug. 25 explosion in Venezuela that killed at least 48 people [...]

GAS PRICES SET RECORD

(AP) You may pay more than ever for a late-summer drive.

U.S. drivers paid an average of $3.72 per gallon on Monday. That’s the highest price ever on this date, according to auto club AAA, a shade above the $3.717 average on Aug. 20, 2008. A year ago, the average was $3.578.

http://www.stltoday.com/news/gas-prices-set-record-as-summer-draws-to-a-close/article_542991f4-5a26-55cd-8bb3-6f004570919e.html

Gas prices climb 30 cents a gallon: By this weekend, gasoline prices will likely be higher than they were a year ago at this time.

Steve Hargreaves
money.cnn.com
August 7, 2012

Gas prices continued their slow but steady march higher Tuesday, surpassing a nationwide average of $3.63 cents a gallon on the back of refinery problems in the United States and higher crude oil prices globally.

Nationwide average gasoline prices are now 30 cents higher than they were just five weeks ago. They are now at the midway mark between this year’s high price of $3.94 a gallon — [...]

Moody’s changes outlook on the EFSF’s (P)Aaa rating to negative

http://www.twitter.com/FGoria

CARSH doom is on! Moody’s: “GERMANY OUTLOOK NEGATIVE” ( bond speculators in full panic since “safe haven” Germany is doomed to downgrades

Moody’s put negative outlook on Germany: the full text

Moody’s Investors Service has today revised to negative from stable the outlooks on the Aaa sovereign ratings of Germany, the Netherlands and Luxembourg. In addition, Moody’s has also affirmed Finland’s Aaa rating and stable outlook.

All four sovereigns are adversely affected by the following two euro-area-wide developments:

1) The rising uncertainty regarding the outcome of the euro area debt crisis given the current policy [...]

MOODY’S Cuts Outlook on Germany, Two Others

Moody’s Investors Service on Monday changed its outlook for top-rated Germany, the Netherlands and Luxembourg to negative from stable, warning that they may have to increase support for indebted euro zone states such as Spain and Italy.

Moody’s also cited an increased chance of Greece leaving the euro zone, which “would set off a chain of financial sector shocks … that policymakers could only contain at a very high cost.”

The agency [...]

Deja 2011 Vu Part 2: Goldman Sees Another US Downgrade In 2013

Two of the three major credit ratings agencies have recently affirmed their outlook on the US sovereign credit rating, and all three continue to hold a negative outlook on the rating. In Goldman’s view there is little likelihood that additional ratings actions will be taken this year, but the possibility of a ratings change is another risk posed by the “fiscal cliff,” debt limit, and related debate over medium-term fiscal reforms [...]

Just one week after the latest bailout, the euro crisis is getting worse again

From Zero Hedge:

Summit full life: One week. Literally.

Last Friday morning, speculation that Germany had “caved” to Mario Monti, somehow allowing beggars to be choosers, and would allow an unconditional and IMF-free rescue of Spain and Italy while the seniority of the ESM was eliminated, sending the Spanish 10-year yield to under 6.2%.

The same security is now back over 7%, where it was just before the summit, as Finland and Holland [...]

ECB Officially Announces Easing Of Collateral Rules, Confirms Europe Has Run Out Of Assets

 

The headline which paradoxically ramped stocks yesterday, is back:

ECB DECIDED ON ADDL MEASURES TO IMPROVE BANKING SECTOR ACCESS
ECB DECIDE TO REDUCE RATING THRESHOLD FOR SOME ABS
ECB SAYS AUTO-LOAN ABS WILL BE ELIGIBLE
ECB SAYS IT WILL APPLY 16% HAIRCUT TO A RATED ABS COLLATERAL
ECB TO BROADEN SCOPE OF MEASURES INTRODUCED DEC. 8, 2011
ECB SAYS BBB-RATED RMBS FACE 26% HAIRCUT
ECB SAYS RMBS OF AT LEAST BBB MAY BE ELIGIBLE
ECB SAYS BBB-RATED CMBS [...]

FITCH SAYS WOULD CUT US AAA RATING IF THERE IS NO CREDIBLE FISCAL CONSOLIDATION PLAN IN 2013

Other AAA nations have credible fiscal plans: UK, France, Germany
UK could be cut on material further down turn

No worries. President Romney’ll sort it out.

US ratings cut would be risk-off, as we saw just less than a year ago…

http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2012/06/07/fitch-says-would-cut-uss-aaa-if-no-credible-fiscal-plan-in-2013/

Spanish debt risk reach record levels!!! Spain-AAA Spread Just Broke 450 bps: LCH Margin Hike Alert!!!

The impact of the rescue of Bankia is to feel the markets with the risk of Spanish debt reached record levels.

Shortly after the opening of markets, the spread between German and Spanish titles to 10 years reached 506 basis points, with Spanish titles of interest for the period to reach 6.415%.

Fears about the ability of the Spanish government to solve alone the bailouts in the banking sector may in aggregate [...]

Remember when Republicans were hootin and hollerin about gas prices and blaming it all on President Obama? Do you think they are now praising him for bring the prices down?

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/cut…gas-2012-05-21
By Kelli B. Grant
Travelers may find it easier to budget for summer road trips this year: Not only are gas prices falling, but many hotels are offering to fill up the tank.

Hotels often offer free gas cards with a few nights’ stay when gas prices are on the rise. Many properties put their latest deals in place this spring when the national average for a gallon of regular unleaded was [...]

Outrage as gas reaches SIX DOLLARS a gallon in New York

Customers visiting a New York gas station were outraged to find that the price of petrol had shot up to $6 a gallon. 

A Gulf station in Medford, Long Island, is charging drivers who pay by credit card almost two dollars more per gallon than those who pay by cash.

The gap became more pronounced as the station in question increased the price of gas per gallon to $6 for those paying [...]

US Expects Drivers to Pay 24 Cents More for Gallon of Gas this Summer

NEW YORK — U.S. drivers will pay an average of 24 cents more per gallon for gasoline during this summer’s travel season, the government said Tuesday.

Gasoline will cost an average of $3.95 per gallon through September, an increase of 6.3% from the same period last year, the Energy Information Administration predicted. The peak should come in May, when gas averages $4.01 per gallon, the agency said.

Gasoline already has jumped by [...]

Gas prices expected to rise all summer long

BALTIMORE (WJZ)—Just when you thought it couldn’t get any worse, gas prices are up again this week.

Monique Griego has the latest on when and if they’ll come down anytime soon.

Gas stations continue to pump out the pain.

“It’s outrageous,” said Pauline McKesson, driver. “I just put $20 in and that’s not even half a tank.”

This week prices jumped another six cents, bringing the national average to around $3.90 a gallon.

Maryland’s average is [...]

Gas prices up for 10th straight day

CNNMoney
March 19, 2012

The national average price for a gallon of gasoline rose for the 10th straight day on Monday to $3.842. That is now only about 6.6% below the record high of $4.114 from July 2008.

The average price rose by four-tenths of a penny, according to the survey of gas stations conducted for the motorist group AAA. Gas prices are now up more than 17% this year.

The nationwide average was [...]

S&P says that it is impossible that any economic improvement would bring back the AAA rating

Sigh:

S&P says that it is impossible that any economic improvement would bring back the AAA rating
US deficit progress is needed.
Outlook remains negative.

And what do stocks do on latest S&P report that America is broke? Why they surge of course….

Price of gas in CA jumps 50 cents in one month

SACRAMENTO (CBS13) – The average price of a gallon of gas in Sacramento is up 50 cents from last month to $4.28, according to the latest fuel survey from AAA.

The state-wide average for a gallon of regular, unleaded gasoline is $4.36, up 51 cents since last month’s AAA report on Feb. 14. For perspective, that’s 40 cents higher than California’s average price on this date last year. Among all 50 [...]

AAA report: Gas prices top $3.80 a gallon

The national average price for a gallon of gasoline rose above the $3.80 mark Monday, resuming the advance that has plagued drivers throughout the winter.

 

The average price rose nine-tenths of a cent, according to the survey of gas stations conducted for the motorist group AAA. It was the third straight advance, with prices gaining 3.4 cents a gallon over Saturday and Sunday.

 

A 27-day run of price increases ended last Tuesday with a [...]

Don’t blame consumers for this one, because Americans’ gas consumption is at 11-year lows (perhaps the only positive outcome from the recession)

(MoneyWatch)  COMMENTARY Oil and gas prices are on the move, with the current national average for a gallon of regular gas at $3.61, up from $3.19 a year ago, according to AAA’s fuel gauge report. Before getting into the why, here’s a recent breakdown of where the money goes in pumping $1 of gas, according to the Energy Information Administration:

Crude oil: 76 cents
Taxes: 12 cents
Distribution and marketing: 6 cents
Refining costs [...]

Gingrich woos with prospect of $2 gallon gas

TULSA, Okla. (AP) – Republican presidential candidate Newt Gingrich is dangling the prospect of gas as low as $2 a gallon if he’s elected.

The former House speaker has spoken in the past of gas dropping to $2.50 a gallon under a Gingrich administration. Monday’s prediction, coming as Gingrich campaigned in Oklahoma, contrasts sharply with rival Rick Santorum, who told an Ohio audience that big-city Americans should brace themselves for $5-a-gallon [...]