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Why You Can Trust Your Analyst Again: Ingrid Rico Brian Sylvester of The Gold Report (2/11/13) Within the universe of junior mining companies, investors need to be choosy, says Ingrid Rico, mining analyst at Toronto-based investment bank M Partners. In this interview with The Gold Report, Rico explains how analysts value miners and reveals how she will be looking at junior mining companies in 2013—with a skeptical eye, preferring those funded to [...] From Kimble Charting Solutions: CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE When it comes to the broad market, the Wilshire 5000 is the broadest of all. This index has been steadily moving higher and now finds itself back at its 2007 highs. A breakout above line (1) in the chart above would be a good sign, as it would reduce the likelyhood that a double top is forming. Keep an close eye on this index because [...] It happened in September 2011, again in April 2012, and now its starting again. Despite the launch tomorrow of Apple’s iPhone 5 (rumored to include the happy-ending-hand-extension), AAPL has notably underperformed in the last few days. Whether this is to do with the 20%-plus weighting in the NASDAQ-100 or whether, as we show below, the market’s wise-men see AAPL’s P/E ratio approaching that of the exuberant market and capping their attention, we do [...] From Kimble Charting Solutions: When it comes to leading indicators, Basic Materials (IYM) and Copper (FCX) have been pretty spot on for the past year. Both have been reflecting relative weakness compared to the key broad market indexes, suggesting a global contraction was in the cards months ago. Now these leading indicators are… Read full article… From Jeff Clark in Growth Stock Wire: Gold stocks are finally showing some positive price action. The Market Vectors Gold Miners Fund (GDX) is up 8% in the past week. It was higher It appears gold stocks are finally starting to outperform the action in the metal itself. Take a look at this chart comparing the action in GDX to [...] via investorplace: 1) ProShares Short S&P 500 If you think the latest selloff in equities is a harbinger of more widespread pain to come, then your broadest bet is the ProShares Short S&P 500 (NYSE:SH). This inverse ETF is designed to move in the opposite direction of the broad market S&P 500 Index. Basically, if the S&P 500 were to go into correction mode, falling another 5% or so from where it trades [...] by ZH Financial credits remain the big underperformer hinting at much less risk appetite than USD-based stocks would indicate for now but broad risk assets staged an impressive bounce recovery on better than average volumes today as early weakness in Europe was shrugged off with better-than-expected macro data in the US (claims and Philly Fed headlines) and then later in the morning the story in the ECB Greek debt swap deal. We [...] by Joe Weisenthal We noted jokingly this morning about how it was a shocker to see stocks actually down, even though the decline isn’t that much. Indeed a big theme over the last several days has been the lack of market range — we can’t remember seeing so many moments when the S&P 500 was, like, 0.1% over where it closed the day before. Anyway, here’s a state from Dan Greenhaus at BTIG: Okay, this is getting [...] By Lawrence G. McMillan MORRISTOWN, N.J. (MarketWatch) — As much as I like the intermediate-term picture, where nearly all of our indicators remain bullish, the overbought condition that has been created is reaching the stage where – if it’s not alleviated soon – it could result in a gut-wrenching drop that can wreak havoc on portfolios and, more importantly, on psyches. The broad market, as measured by the Standard [...] Action yesterday across markets was bearish and set alarm bells ringing – in particular the action in the PM sector, where the Head-and-Shoulders bottom pattern that we have observed in PM sector stock indices appears to be aborting. If it does abort it will probably mean that the broad market will go into the tank, and that is precisely what we can expect to happen if Europe should fail.
It has to [...] Action yesterday across markets was bearish and set alarm bells ringing – in particular the action in the PM sector, where the Head-and-Shoulders bottom pattern that we have observed in PM sector stock indices appears to be aborting. If it does abort it will probably mean that the broad market will go into the tank, and that is precisely what we can expect to happen if Europe should fail.
It has to [...] by ZH Over the past two weeks, there is one simple thing that has been bugging skeptical macro observers: namely the paradox of i) just how ugly the European funding and liquidity situations have gotten, on the one hand, confirmed by the blow out in French bond yields (the French-Bund 10 year spread just hit an all time record yesterday) as well as continuing deterioration in [...] From FT: Europe’s banks are bracing for a fresh test this month: whether they can successfully sell unsecured bonds. The region’s banks have sold less debt in total so far this quarter than in any comparable period going back to 1996 – when their financing needs were a fraction of their current levels. Although US companies and banks have continued to tap the market through the summer, Europe’s [...] by Everyday Finance, SA Shorting leveraged ETFs may well be the Holy Grail of retail investing. Very few other opportunities exist for the routine retail investor whereby one can achieve gains in any market on virtual autopilot. While complaints, SEC investigations and over-regulation of leveraged ETFs abound due to their corrosive properties and the perpetual misunderstanding by retail investors, it’s painfully obvious that [...] by Zh The one exception is rice, as we have speculated is long overdue for a major surge in price. Furthermore, as we will shortly show, speculative traders seem to agree with CFTC data indicating that net non-commercial specs continue to surge. As for dropping commodities, the ball we believe is in Bernanke’s court – as last week’s ICE margin hike in cotton demonstrated, exchanges’ actions [...] by fishhook We hear a lot, especially from the proponents of the mutual fund industry, about minimizing risk through “asset allocation” and “diversification” using both their indexed and managed funds. Some would suggest that with as few as 3 mutual funds you can get the diversification needed to minimize the risk of investing. Respectfully, consider whether this pitch is yet another of the gross [...] CPI: 5.4% PPI: 6.4% GDP:9.0% According to a central bank leak reported by Phoenix TV, CPI will come at 4.6%, while PPI will take the slack, coming just above consensus at 5.9%. Attached is detail of said leak, as well as the now traditional beatdown of Chinese economic data by Andy Xie. From ytwhw.com China’s inflation hit 4.6% in December, pushing the full-year 2010 consumer price index up 3.3%, while [...] by zh Best not to short/sell when it seems obvious; Best to short/sell when everybody thinks this is the worst time to do so. When the market tanks, and it will, the ride down is always faster than the long, long, long road up.  Shorting need not be done in one big plop ya know.  One could feather in a position, ya know.  Wonder what the euphoria felt [...] by A.P That is precisely what happened during he dot com era, and then it all fell apart and fundamentals again mattered and in the Spring of 20% the NASDAQ plunged almost 80% and then 10 years later hasn’t even recovered to 50% of its 1999 levels, has it? The Wall Street Journal also covered the issue of stocks not moving based on fundamental valuations, but largely defying fundamental [...] |
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