by Charles Hugh-Smith
Commodities could rise even as global demand sags.
The conventional wisdom of the moment is that a weakening global economy will push the cost of commodities such as oil down as demand stagnates. This makes perfect sense in terms of physical supply and demand, but this ignores the consequences of financial demandand capital flows.
I wrote this essay for Peak Prosperity about three weeks ago, before the revelations of investment bank […]
The Mechanism That Holds Chinese Banks Together Is Falling Apart
China’s seven day repo rose to a record high of 10.77% in Shanghai, the highest since March 2003, according to Bloomberg*.
Meanwhile, the one-day rate hit a record 12.85%. And Zerohedge reported that overnight repo hit 25%.
The liquidity squeeze in China first began ahead of the Dragon Boat festival earlier this month. Spikes in interbank rates are common right […]
McDonald’s Asia Brings Down April Comparable Store Sales
Here’s the regional breakdown:
U.S. up 0.7% (Est. down 0.05%) Europe down 2.4% (Est. down 1.01%) Asia/Pacific, Middle East and Africa (APMEA) down 2.9% (Est. down 1.44%)
“In April, APMEA’s comparable sales declined 2.9%, reflecting the impact of Avian influenza, primarily in China, and softer results in Japan and Australia,” wrote the company. Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/mcdonalds-april-comparable-store-sales-2013-5#ixzz2Shss0jqs
McDonald’s Sales Slip 0.6% in April
What “Dr. Doom” Marc Faber is thinking now
“I do not trust the banking system…”
First, I am discussing capital flows and the general belief among some economists that trade and current account deficits do not matter because the money flows back in the form of investments in equities, bonds, real estate, direct investments, and corporate takeovers.
According to Barron’s Big Money Survey, “74% of large portfolio managers are bullish […]
Sucker Alert? Insider Selling Surges After Dow 14,000
Insiders have been pulling out of stocks just as small investors are getting in.
Selling by corporate executives has surged recently as the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit 14,000 and retail investors flooded into stocks. The amount of insider selling has usually preceded market selloffs.
“In almost perfect coordination with an equity market that was rushing toward new all-time highs, insider […]
One week ago, when we reported the news that the Bundesbank had secretly pulled two thirds of its gold from London we said the following:
… Germany has done nothing wrong! It simply demanded a reclamation of what is rightfully Germany’s to demand.
And here is the crux of the issue: in a globalized system, in which every sovereign is increasingly subjugated to the credit-creating power of the globalized “whole”, one must […]
The Chinese government has called on key agencies including the central bank to come up with plans to deal with the potential economic risks of a Greek withdrawal from the euro zone, three sources with knowledge of the matter told Reuters on Monday. The sources said the plans may include measures to keep the yuan currency stable, increase checks on cross-border capital flows and stepping up policies to stabilise the […]
Based on a swap-spread-based model, EURUSD should trade around 1.30, but based on GDP-weighted sovereign credit risk EURUSD should trade around 1.00; so who is right and what are the factors that supporting the Euro at higher levels than many would assume (given the rising probability of a Euro-zone #fail and the 0.82 lows from 2000). UBS addresses four key reasons for the apparent paradox based on the difference between ECB and Fed ‘monetization’, […]
Bank of Korea Governor Kim Choong Soo urged major central banks to plan an orderly withdrawal of excess liquidity and said that further easing may hurt emerging economies and the global economic recovery.
Extra loosening “could do more harm than good when the financial markets are already flooded with cheap liquidity but remain nonetheless timid in their lending to the private sector,” Kim said in a speech prepared […]
Bob Chapman International Forecaster Thursday, April 12, 2012
It was 13 months ago we disclosed that the administration passed a stimulus bill known as the $17.5 billion “Hiring Incentives Act” to restore employment. It required that foreign banks not only withhold 30% of all outgoing capital flows, and disclosure of the full details of transactions of non-exempt holders to the Internal Revenue Service. They want the structure of how money […]
Mac Slavo SHTFplan.com
It’s over folks. According to some analysts recent price swings indicate that the gold and silver run-up will soon be coming to an end.
Sharp falls in the gold price have prompted some bears or pessimists to predict it will plunge below $1,000 (£625) an ounce.
Goldcore priced bullion at $1,721 or £1,079 per ounce this morning, compared to yesterday’s fix of $1,788 or £1,121 per […]