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Ohio: “we’re possibly on track for a significantly different turnout model vs. ’08″

Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report has analyzed the early voter data from Ohio and seems to have concluded that Obama has done horribly in Ohio early voting. We are no longer talking about polls. He has analyzed hard data that was reported today by the Ohio Secretary of State.

Here are some of his tweets. Nate Silver is NOT happy.

Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) tweeted at 12:22am – 6 Nov 12:

@fivethirtyeight [...]

CHARLIE COOK: President ‘Metrosexual’

On Friday’s “The Daily Rundown” on MSNBC, Charlie Cook of the famed The Cook Political Report offered his theory as to why Iowa seems to be tilting toward the Republicans in the upcoming election.

According to his co-guest David Drucker, a reporter for Roll Call, it stems from a dissatisfaction with Washington, particularly with ObamaCare.  However, Cook says it is something more.

“Small towns — states with a large small town rural populations, Democrats [...]

Without Ben Nelson, can Democrats keep control of Senate in 2012?

With the retirement of Sen. Ben Nelson (D) of Nebraska, announced Tuesday, Democrats have yet another open seat to defend in a 2012 election year that could flip control of the Senate to Republicans.

Democrats are defending 23 seats in the 2012 campaign cycle, compared with 10 for Republicans. With Democrats holding a 53-to-47 majority, Republicans need to pick up four seats to wrest control from them. If President Obama fails [...]

SHOCK POLL: BACHMANN TIED WITH ROMNEY IN IOWA

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and Minnesota congresswoman Michele Bachmann sit atop the standings in the year’s first Des Moines Register Iowa Poll on the Republican presidential field.

Romney, the national front-runner and a familiar face in Iowa after his 2008 presidential run, attracts support from 23 percent of likely Republican caucus-goers. Bachmann, who will officially kick off her campaign in Iowa on Monday, nearly matches him, with [...]