Tagged: crisis

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Citi labels 2s/5s US yield spread as the best interest rate chart in the world. Bear flattening signaled Savings and Loan Crisis in the late 1980s, the Dot-Com crash in the early 2000s and the GFC in 2007.

https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/933449988276916224 TROUBLE? What is the predictive power of the yield curve? Shape of the yield curve, advanced by 15 mths, has a decent fit w/US GDP growth. But yield curve inversions over-predict recessions. https://t.co/1mo5QwepsZ...

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The Political Crisis in Germany Changes the Game

by Martin Armstrong Merkel faces the worst crisis of her career and many behind the curtain are starting to wonder if she will even survive. The German Federal President Steinmeier could not actually order...

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Germany Moving Toward Political Crisis

by Martin Armstrong Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Monday her efforts to form a three-way coalition government had failed. Merkel only received 32.5% of the vote, which is probably the lowest vote of any...

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GERMANY IN CRISIS: MERKEL UNABLE TO FORM NEW GOVT

Berlin (AFP) – Tough talks to form Germany’s next government collapsed Sunday as the four parties in talks failed to bridge a yawning gap over immigration policy. Here are some of the thorniest issues...