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Andrew Burkly: ‘Commodities are representing another example of just how odd this lack of risk-embracing rally we’ve seen is, while stocks are at all-time highs, a lot of risk indicators are not participating.’

Fight or Flight: Get Ready for the Earnings Crush

Markets in the week ahead will try to size up the economic soft patch that has spooked commodities investors and is driving buyers into Treasurys.

Stocks, so far, have not shown much reaction to worries that the economy is slowing down, with both the Dow and S&P 500 at record highs in the past week.

About a third of the Dow Industrials and 70 [...]

THE MARKET IS PANICKING: Stocks Plunge More Than 300 Points, Dow Industrials Slip Below 13,000 For 1st Time Since Sept. 4

breaking

Debt Crisis Is Starting To Hurt Germany Economy, Spain September Adjusted Industrial Output – 7.0%, AAPL Plunges Towards Bear Market, And Sean Egan Will Most Likely Downgrade US Credit Rating ‘No Matter What Happen’
This Is The Report That Sent Stocks Tumbling This morning

DEBT CRISIS STARTING TO HURT GERMAN ECONOMY

It was shaping up like the perfect overnight ramp following yesterday’s Goldilocks election result… and then Mario Draghi opened his mouth.

DRAGHI SAYS [...]

Three Warning Signs Showing Why You Should Remain Leery of this Market

Mike Larson: After a rocky start to the summer, stocks have trended higher over the past few weeks. That much is fact. So why do I remain leery of themarket? What are MY indicators telling me about this rally? Can this uptrend really hold?

Those are the most important questions I want to answer for you. But to give you a sneak preview: No, this doesn’t look like the start of a [...]

“Dow Theory” could be sending another warning

From All Star Charts:

The Dow Theorists are flipping out.

What this group wants to see is the Dow Jones Transportation Average make new highs whenever the Dow Jones Industrial Average takes out a previous peak. Dow Theory states that they need to confirm each other. In an uptrend both should be making new highs, and when one doesn’t, there’s a problem. Same thing in a downtrend – when one average makes [...]

Richard Russell – Brutal Times, Here Is The Key Going Forward

Today the Godfather of newsletter writers, Richard Russell, wrote about life during the Great Depression and the unknown but extremely important index that everyone needs to watch going forward: “The 30 Dow Industrial stocks portray the industrial capabilities of the US. But suppose there was an Index that portrayed the industrial capabilities of the entire civilized world? Happily, we now have just such an index. Dow Jones developed it, and they call [...]

A huge stock divergence you should keep an eye on

From All Star Charts:

Yes, this is a problem.

You see the indexes, although often discussed and traded as individual securities, are in fact are a basket of stocks. The holdings within these baskets impact the direction of the index itself.

A great example of this is the effect that America’s favorite stock $AAPL has on the major averages. There are estimates that if $AAPL was part of the Dow 30, we would [...]

Classic “Dow Theory” suggests stocks are approaching a super-important level, This is what to watch…

From The Big Picture:

Dow Theory — a study of the relationship between the Industrials and the Transports — are suggesting a potential inflection point is nearing.

A move above 12,900 in the Dow Industrials would surpass the April 2011 highs, and the bulls would like to see that confirmed by the Transports getting over 5,630.

As we see from the indices via The Chart Store below, both the Industrials & Transports are [...]

Aden sisters: Markets may return to 2008

By Mary Anne & Pamela Aden, MarketWatch

It’s still all about Europe. The deteriorating situation has been affecting all of the markets, but the failure of the super-committee to reach a compromise on U.S. debt is now weighing in too.

The end result has been uncertainty, volatile market swings, risk aversion, vulnerability and growing demand for safe havens.

Increasingly, we’re hearing more talk about a 2008 repeat and this is [...]

Top strategist Ritholtz: Euro crisis could cause stocks to “grind up”

From The Big Picture:

Markets have been tentatively probing their way along, following Wednesday’s 2.5% rout on fears of an Italian collapse and EU breakup.

Major indices remain above their key breakout levels – but just barely: The S&P 500 at 1,239 is a stone’s throw from its 1,225 breakout level; The Dow Industrials at 11,893 are above its 11,625 breakout; and Nasdaq at 2,625 is right on the cusp of its prior [...]

Howard Marks Explains “What’s Behind The Downturn”

by ZH

Oaktree’s Howard Marks once again cuts through what he perceives is the market’s irrationality to explain what, to him, was the cause of the historic market collapse in early August: “Markets usually do a pretty good job of coping with problems one at a time. When one arises, analysts analyze and investors reach conclusions and calmly adjust their portfolios. But when there’s a confluence [...]

If we look only at charts and ignore the “news,” we see storm pennants are flying in both the stock market and the U.S. dollar.

by Charles Hugh Smith from Of Two Minds

Storm Pennants Are Flying In Stocks and the Dollar

If we look only at charts and ignore the “news,” we see storm pennants are flying in both the stock market and the U.S. dollar.

The stock market is wearing a T-shirt that reads, “I broke a downtrend and all I got was this lousy pennant.” Having just returned from nine glorious days camping in [...]

Tea Party Made Up of ‘Freaked Out White Men’: Whitney (Santelli responds)

Tea Party Made Up of ‘Freaked Out White Men’: Whitney

 

By: Jeff Cox

CNBC.com Staff Writer

 

Tea Party members are primarily “freaked out white men” who pose the greatest political threat to Democrats in 2012, according to banking analyst Meredith Whitney.

 

Speaking in the broader context of a discussion on CNBC regarding the Standard & Poor’s downgrade of U.S. debt, Whitney said the dissenters represent the type of problems that [...]

All Eyes On Ben!

(Reuters) – Stocks extended gains on Tuesday, with the Nasdaq up 3 percent and the Dow industrials up 2 percent, recovering from the previous session’s selloff.

The Dow Jones industrial average gained 232.50 points, or 2.15 percent, to 11,042.35. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 30.49 points, or 2.72 percent, to 1,149.95. The Nasdaq Composite Index added 77.58 points, or 3.29 percent, to 2,435.27.

Following Wall Street’s [...]

‘NOT SINCE JIMMY CARTER’: The stock market is poised today to do something it has not done in over 33 years: Decline for nine straight sessions.

By MarketWatch

CHAPEL HILL, N.C. (MarketWatch) — The stock market is poised today to do something it has not done in over 33 years: Decline for nine straight sessions.

Reuters

Jimmy Carter, shown in 2010, was president the last time the Dow industrials suffered a nine-day skid.

The last time the Dow Jones Industrial Average [...]

Adens: Resource experts review gold: by Mary Anne & Pamela Aden, editors The Aden Forecast

Gold is standing alone. It’s the most desired market when fear takes over uncertainty…and that’s what we saw this month.

Gold is once again flirting with its May 2 record high. It has barely declined since then and gold has stayed firmly above its 15-week moving average.

Gold rose when interest rates were hit this month. This scenario is not unusual because lower rates give gold less [...]

A few observations as we move toward the new year…..

by Vics

The markets appear to be getting tired. The NASDAQ, the S&P 500 and the Dow Industrials are currently sitting at, or very near, their highs for year. However, many of the well-known oscillators; MACD, Slow Stochastic, RSI and the Ultimate Oscillator, are showing fairly strong NEGATIVE DIVERGENCES in each of the major indexes warning of some downward movement ahead.

The darling of [...]

When do bear markets end ?

by Lethal

No, this isn’t a trick question. Some people say the answer is “complicated,” yet I assure you that it is not. In fact, the end of a large bear market includes many indicators that are downright quantifiable.

The simplest answer to the question amounts to a nine-word sentence. But first allow me to show what the end of a bear market is by describing what it is not.

It is NOT [...]

No explanation how Dow industrials rebound from nearly 300-point drop today.

No where I can find any explanation how this happened. How is it that the markets opened significantly and fought ALL day to move down and stay down and then magically after 2:00 (always after 2:00) the recovery takes place. God, I would dearly love to see some unbiased, real investigative reporting.

We have gone from over 11,200 (Dow) with lots of wild cheering to below 10,000 a couple of times, [...]