Gold’s Fall “Exaggerated”, Another Big Move Down “Will Need to Break Through Big Support Level”

London Gold Market Report

from Ben Traynor, BullionVault

Friday 5 April 2013, 07:30 EST

 

Gold’s Fall “Exaggerated”, Another Big Move Down “Will Need to Break Through Big Support Level”

 

U.S. DOLLAR gold prices climbed back towards $1556 per ounce Friday morning in London, the level that was until yesterday’s falls the 2013 low, as stocks and commodities fell ahead of the release of monthly US jobs data.

 

Gold in Sterling climbed back above £1020 an ounce, up [...]

FEB JOBS NUMBERS: +236,000; 7.7%; WHITES: 6.8%, BLACKS: 13.8%, HISPANICS: 9.6%, TEENAGERS: 25.1%; Participation rate fell

Yes, it’s that time again, folks. Jobs Friday, when for one ever-so-brief moment the interests of Wall Street, Washington and Main Street are all aligned on one thing: Jobs.

A fresh update on the U.S. employment situation for February hits the wires at 8:30 a.m. New York time, offering one of the most important snapshots on how the economy fared last month. Economists polled by Dow Jones Newswires expect 160,000 new jobs [...]

Charles Hugh-Smith And Sen. Richard Shelby: Keynesian Policy Is To Punish Capital Accumulation And Reward Leveraged Debt Expansion, We’re Headed Down The Road That Europe’s Already On!

Global economy: Central bankers gone wild

Let’s start with the US Federal Reserve, which did something that it’s never done before: It tied its actions to actual, concrete numbers in the economy.

The Fed said it would keep stimulating the weak US economy until the nation’s unemployment rate fell to 6.5 percent (it’s now at 7.7 percent). It will also keep interest rates historically low as long as inflation in the US [...]

SURPRISE: Jobless claims plunge, lowest level in four years, ‘One large state didn’t report some quarterly figures’

Weekly jobless claims fell to their lowest level in four years, while the U.S. trade deficit widened and import prices rose more than expected, according to economic numbers released Thursday.

The number of Americans seeking unemployment aid plummeted to 339,000 last week, the lowest level in more than four years. The sharp drop offered a hopeful sign that the job market could pick up….

http://www.cnbc.com/id/49371146

This is just getting stupid. After expectations of [...]

Grim Views Of What Lies Ahead

Here is a round of “Heartaches by the Number” polls, all courtesy of Rasmussen Reports.

July 29, 2012: New Low: Just 14% Think Today’s Children Will Be Better Off Than Their Parents
Hope for the future generation has reached an all-time low. Just 14% of Americans expect today’s children to be better off than their parents.

July 25, 2012: Long-Term Optimism About U.S. Economy Falls to New Low
Confidence that the U.S. economy will recover in the [...]

Gonzalo Lira – How A Country Rationally Exits The Eurozone

We are about to experience the Euro Exit Crisis.

Mish Shedlock and I have a private bet as to whether Italy or Spain will exit first—he says Italy, I say Spain. But either way, it’s gonna pretty much suck.

The whole point of exiting the eurozone is because a country no longer has the money to finance its continuing operations. Insofar as Spain, Greece and possibly Italy, that moment will arrive shortly—possibly [...]

We are about to experience the Euro Exit Crisis

The wait for the first “euro exit” could soon be over

From Gonazalo Lira:

We are about to experience the Euro Exit Crisis.

Mish Shedlock and I have a private bet as to whether Italy or Spain will exit first — he says Italy, I say Spain. But either way, it’s gonna pretty much suck.

The whole point of exiting the eurozone is because a country no longer has the money to finance its [...]

Refinancing Debt Into Prosperity – Most Mortgage Activity For Refinances With Applications Up 97 Percent From Last Year

Shuffling papers around on your desk does not mean you are being productive but might give the appearance of activity.  Refinancing debt in countries in aninsolvent position may feel good for the moment, but ultimately the position is unsustainable.  You buy yourself a window of opportunity.  With the Federal Reserve pushing mortgage rates to historical lows and allowing banks to borrow at virtually interest free terms, the market is creating a [...]

Unemployment rate for blacks jumps to 14.4%

THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION — JUNE 2012

Nonfarm payroll employment continued to edge up in June (+80,000), and the
unemployment rate was unchanged at 8.2 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor
Statistics reported today. Professional and business services added jobs,
and employment in other major industries changed little over the month.

Household Survey Data

The number of unemployed persons (12.7 million) was essentially unchanged
in June, and the unemployment rate held at 8.2 percent. (See table A-1.)

Among the [...]

Mohamed El-Erian: Yet another worrying jobs report for Obama

From FT:

There is only one thing worse than preparing for a crisis that does not happen; and that is not preparing for a crisis that does. It appears that American politicians not only lack plans to deal with adverse European contagion but are also on course to expose the country to additional self-inflicted challenges. Friday’s disheartening data are a timely reminder that these are enormous risks to take with what [...]

Austerity Worsening Dire Labor Markets: ILO

Austerity Worsening Dire Labor Markets: ILO
Published: Monday, 30 Apr 2012 | 6:40 AM ET Text Size
By: Shai Ahmed
CNBC Associate Editor

The employment situation across the world is alarming, and there is little sign of recovery any time soon as austerity and spending cuts bite, a report out Monday warned.

The International Labour Organization’s (ILO) “World of Work Report 2012: Better Jobs for a Better Economy,” said that austerity was one of the [...]

SPAIN: “cash business transactions over 2500 € are to be banned”; “Spaniards who have a bank account outside the country now face the legal obligation of having to inform them”.

By John Mauldin, Thoughts from the Frontline

I fully intended to ignore Spain this week. Really, truly I did. I had my letter all planned, but then a few notes drew my attention, and the more I reflected on them, the more I realized that the inflection point that I thought the ECB had pushed down the road for at least a year with their recent €1 trillion LTRO is now rushing [...]

It’s That Time of The Month, Employment Data Leads To Investment Mood Syndrome

It’s That Time of The Month, Employment Data Leads To Investment Mood Syndrome

Courtesy of Lee Adler of the Wall Street Examiner

Every month the gummit’s Bureau of Liar Statistics (BLS) dutifully reports reams and reams of data on the employment situation in the US. Some of it is actually useful. The rest is reported by the mainstream financial news media.

The BLS reports both seasonally adjusted (SA) data and not seasonally adjusted (NSA) [...]

Do you remember how rapidly things fell apart after the financial crisis of 2008? We have never even come close to recovering from the last recession, and another one is on the way

On Friday, the entire financial world celebrated when it was announced that the unemployment rate in the United States had fallen to 8.3 percent. That is the lowest it has been since February 2009, and it came as an unexpected surprise for financial markets that are hungry for some good news.  According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nonfarm payrolls jumped by 243,000 during the month of January.  You can [...]

The Real Employment Situation Report

by Lance Roberts of StreeTalk Live

The Real Employment Situation Report

This mornings release of the Employment Situation report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics was in truth bitter sweet.   On the positive side there were 120,000 jobs created in the previous month and the unemployment rate fell from 9.0% to 8.6%.   Furthermore, September and October jobs were also revised higher.  That is the sweet part.  Unfortunately, while the headlines give us the [...]

DAVID ROSENBERG: We’re Just 4 Years Into A Depression That Will Likely Last 7-10 Years. The Economy Is Likely To Begin Contracting Again In 2012 And That The Employment Situation Is Going To Deteriorate Further.

by Cullen Roche, Pragmatic Capitalism

David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff joined Consuelo Mack on Wealth Track this weekend to discuss his outlook for the economy. Rosenberg isn’t just bearish. He say the US economy is in a modern day depression similar to what Japan has suffered from for the last 20 years. He bases this view on the idea that de-leveraging tends to coincide during a prolonged period of economic [...]

Warning issued from ILO and OECD economic groups that the world is about to start an even deeper recession, the deepest since the Great Depression, or in other words, Great Depression II:

by BBC News

The ILO says the employment situation is already “precarious” around the world

The global economy is on the verge of a new and deeper jobs recession that may ignite social unrest, the International Labour Organization (ILO) has warned.

It will take at least five years for employment in advanced economies to return to pre-crisis levels, it said.

The ILO also noted that in 45 of the 118 countries it examined, [...]

961 days in, Obama becomes sick and tired of someone dawdling about jobs

LA Times

Speaking on behalf of millions of Americans who’ve grown angry and frustrated over the president’s 32-month ineffective inactivity on the job creation front, President Obama on Thursday told members of Congress they really have to do something about the crummy employment situation — and do it quickly.

Citing the plight of millions of struggling Americans whose wishes for jobs Obama ignored for most of the [...]

Hilda Solis Asks For Extension Of Emergency Unemployment Compensation Program

by zh

Here come the fiscal aid panhandlers. In an email just sent out by the Derpatment of Labor, Hilda Solia has officially requested an extension of the EUC program which is expiring in November and which will leave 2 million unemployed Americans without insurance benefits after November (and 6 million by the end of next year). Obviously this plea for fiscal heroin will be granted: [...]

What's happening to Japan doesn't have to happen to the USA.

We need jobs. Clearly, getting people back to work will solve many of our USA’s economic problems. I just read a great article: Contrarian Chronicles8/13/2010 6:00 PM ET ” A patently obvious way to add jobs ” on MSN Premium’s MSN.Money

– http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Investing/ContrarianChronicles/a-patently-obvious-way-to-add-jobs.aspx

Help on the employment front? All it should take is a little invention, and that help is waiting for us at the underfunded patent office.

By Bill Fleckenstein
MSN Money

” Over [...]

Don’t miss the big picture because of short term action in the market, U.S. economy, or employment.

If we can get the loans and continue stimulus spending, esp. on extended unemployment, we can have all kinds of “better than expected” news. If the global economy continues to grow (Baltic Dry Index leaves some doubt), the exports here could grow and the businesses those exporters buy from to make what they export, could also benefit.

But, don’t think that is a recovery. Even 5% unemployment won’t be a recovery. [...]

In wisdom, I would not have long term trust in this market.

As long as the news keeps improving, and as long as there are investors who want to keep pumping their money in to the markets the markets will keep moving up. There will come a point where there will have to be some profit taking.

It is normal that if any stock or market index moves up very fast and strong, the pull-back from profit taking could be very strong.

The employment [...]