Italy should use its gold reserves to force a change in EMU policy

by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, The Telegraph:

The World Gold Council has advised Italy to deploy its 2,000 tonnes of gold to break free of EMU austerity dictates.

By using the reserves – the world’s fourth largest – to collateralise the first chunk of any losses for bondholders, Italy could raise €400bn or so on the capital markets and determine its own future for a while.

Italy did this in 1974 when it borrowed $2bn from [...]

The Tower of Basel: Secretive Plans for the Issuing of a Global Currency

This carefully research article by Ellen Brown was first published in April 2009. It sheds light on the current crisis of the World monetary system. (GR ed. M. Ch.)

In an April 7 [2009] article in The London Telegraph titled “The G20 Moves the World a Step Closer to

a Global Currency,” Ambrose Evans-Pritchard wrote:

“A single clause in Point 19 of the communiqué issued by the G20 leaders amounts to revolution in the [...]

BREAKING: Greece has figured out a way to solve their debt crisis. Send an invoice to Germany for damage they caused to Greece in WW2. Genius!

The Greek government is in disarray after the leak of an explosive report drawing up vast reparations claims against Germany, covering both the First and Second World Wars.

by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, The Telegraph:

Premier Antonis Samaras held a special meeting with the foreign minister Dimitris Avramopoulos and other key officials this morning to limit the diplomatic damage from the 80-page report.

The document – stamped “Aporito”, or secret – was drafted by a panel [...]

Surge In Britons Mulling Euro Transfer, Says Firm

Surge in Britons mulling euro transfer, says firm

“Independent financial advisory company deVere Group on Tuesday reported a “surge” in the number of British expats seeking advice about moving funds out of some of the eurozone’s most troubled economies following the Cyprus bailout deal.
According to deVere Group chief executive Nigel Green, “more and more expats in Spain, Italy, Portugal and Greece are now not unreasonably worried for their deposits in these [...]

The dangerous drift towards world war in Asia

At ground zero in Hiroshima the inscription for victims of the world’s first Atomic bomb is a pledge. We will never again repeat the evil of war.

by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, The Telegraph:

The Japanese original is vague on who “we” is, but the English translation tactfully refers to mankind as a whole.

Families come from all over Japan in a pilgrimage to visit the peace shrine. They look through the Cenotaph to the “A-Dome”, [...]

Euro debt crisis looms again as Italians defy EU austerity demands

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
London Telegraph
February 26, 2013

In an earthquake result, the Five Star protest movement of comedian Beppe Grillo looked likely to emerge as the biggest single party in the lower house. The scourge of bankers and corrupt elites, Mr Grillo has campaigned for a return to the lira and a restructuring of Italy’s €1.9 trillion (£1.64 trillion) public debt.

The conservative bloc of ex-premier Silvio Berlusconi looked poised to win the senate, [...]

‘Catastrophic’ EU exit would leave City defenceless against regulatory attack

European regulators have the means to shut down key parts of London’s financial centre at a stroke if Britain left the European Union and would not hesitate to do so, leading central bank experts have warned.

by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, The Telegraph:

Membership of the EU single market is the UK’s only legal defence against an onslaught of regulations aimed at forcing banks and fund managers to decamp to the eurozone, they say.

“It would [...]

Japan’s Chain Of Events: Stagnation -> Monetization -> Devaluation -> Stabilization -> Retaliation -> Hyperinflation

from Zerohedge:

As the world’s equity markets prepare to rally on the back of yet more central bank printing as Japan’s Shinzo Abe takes the helm with a 2% inflation target, to be announced momentarily, and a central bank entirely in his pocket, The Telegraph’s Ambrose Evans-Pritchard suggests a rather concerning analog for the last time a Japanese minister attempted to salvage his deflation/depression strewn nation: the 1930s ‘brilliant rescue’ by Korekiyo Takahashi, who [...]

‘Economies Are Not Watches and Money Flows Are Not Predictable’

from The Daily Bell:

Multiplying Europe’s fiscal suicide (technical) … The entire EU austerity plan is based on a false premise. This disastrous error is now clear beyond any reasonable doubt. The Teuto-Calvinists believe – or profess to believe, since much of their dogma is national self-interest dressed up as theory – that the fiscal multiplier is around 0.5. That is to say, fiscal retrenchment worth 1pc of GDP will cut output by half as much, or around [...]

Europe’s Fine Line of Deep Debt

from The Daily Bell:

Merkel’s day of reckoning as taxpayer haircut on Greece looms … Germany, Holland, and the creditor states of northern Europe have not lost a single cent on eurozone rescue packages, so far. Greece needs €100bn of debt forgiveness to get back on its feet, and a lot of this is coming Germany’s way … We are at last nearing the awful moment when the curtain is ripped away. [...]

The US Conference Board’s report on the global economy is negative on all fronts. The growth is over.

from Ambrose Evans-Pritchard:

The catch-up boom in China, India, Brazil is largely over and will be followed by a drastic slowdown over the next decade, according to a grim report by America’s top forecasting body.

Europe’s prognosis is even worse, with France trapped in depression with near zero growth as far as 2025 and Britain struggling to raise its speed limit to 1pc over the next three Parliaments.

The US Conference Board’s global economic [...]

Is A Central Bank Gold Run At Hand?

ETF Daily News
November 3, 2012

Charles Goyette: On learning that French gold was being held by the U.S. Federal Reserve, French President Charles de Gaulle is reported to have said, “I could hardly sleep easily with such an arrangement.” So in 1965 he ordered French navy ships to cross the Atlantic to pick up $150 million in gold held in the Fed’s New York vaults and deliver it to the Banque [...]

Why Did The Bundesbank Secretly Withdraw Two-Thirds Of Its London Gold?

Two days ago we reported that the German Court of Auditors demanded that the German Central Bank, the Bundesbank, verify and audit its official gold holdings consisting of 3,396 tons, held mostly offshore, namely New York, London and Paris, at least according to official documents. It also called for repatriation of 150 tons in the next three years to perform a quality inspection of the tungsten gold. Today, in a [...]

Get Ready For The Reckoning: Stock Markets Heading For A Surprising Fall

Top Economist Hussman: US Likely Entered into a Recession in Mid-2012

The U.S. economy likely slid into a recession during the middle of 2012, said economist and fund manager John Hussman.

The U.S. economy officially grew 1.3 percent in the second quarter and 2 percent in the first quarter, but such assumptions are made with backward-looking indicators, or those that capture events that have already happened.

Leading indicators, which point to where the economy [...]

Monti Plans ‘Greek-Style’ Takeover Of Sicily To Avert Default

Monti plans ‘Greek-style’ takeover of Sicily to avert default (Ambrose Evans-Pritchard)

“Italian premier Mario Monti is mulling emergency action to take direct control of Sicily’s regional government before the island spirals into a full-blown financial crisis, fearing contagion to the rest of Italy.”

“Mr Monti held an “urgent” meeting with the country’s president Giorgio Napolitano on Wednesday to grapple with the constitutional issue after it emerged that the region faces a deficit of [...]

Fed fiddles as America slides back into recession – Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

Output slowed to stall speed over the winter. The US economy tipped into outright contraction in the second quarter, even before facing the “fiscal cliff” later this year – tightening of $600bn or 4pc of GDP unless action is taken to stop it.

Nothing serious is yet being done to head off the downward slide. If ECRI is right, the implications for the global system are ugly.

It is never easy to [...]

Papademos, Grexit, and catastrophe blackmail

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

Greece’s ex-premier Lucas Papademos has put a figure on the post-drachma fallout.

“Some calculations I have seen suggest that inflation could accelerate to 30pc or even to 50pc, depending on the impact of such developments on inflation expectations and on the strength of the second-round effects of price increases on wages,” he told the Wall Street Journal.

It certainly could, but there is no reason why it should. That would be [...]

A blunt warning to Athens: Germans ready to boot Greece

Telegraph

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, International business editor

9:36PM BST 23 May 2012

591 Comments

In a blunt warning to Athens, the Bundesbank said a Greek withdrawal from the eurozone would be disruptive but “manageable”, undermining claims by Greece’s radical anti-austerity leader, Alexis Tsipras, that Europe would not dare pull the plug.

“When the Eurosystem provided Greece with large amounts of liquidity, it trusted that the programmes would be implemented and thereby ultimately assumed considerable risks,” said the [...]

Debt crisis: Germany holds a gun to Greece’s head

Telegraph

Pressure on Greece increased dramatically on Wednesday night after Germany’s central bank called for a suspension of financial support to Athens and eurozone finance ministries agreed to draft contingency plans for a Greek exit from the euro.

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, International business editor

9:36PM BST 23 May 2012

266 Comments

In a blunt warning to Athens, the Bundesbank said a Greek withdrawal from the eurozone would be disruptive but “manageable”, undermining claims by Greece’s radical anti-austerity [...]

Spanish bankster bailout suggested as an attmept to ring fense toxic bankster assets big enough to sink Spnaish economy:

The embattled Spanish government has begun the process of financial sector reform via the nationalization of BFA, which indirectly means the government has taken a 45% stake in a publicly traded company, Bankia.  While Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy is set to announce further measures to strengthen the banking sector on Friday, with the BFA-Bankia takeover, the Spanish government is preparing to take control of the biggest chunk of toxic real [...]

The Daily Bell reports: Austerity Staggers, Germany Blows Up?

Hollande’s ‘Growth Bloc’ spells end of German hegemony in Europe … For two years Germany has had its way in Europe, treating historic nations much as Bismarck treated Bavaria – sovereign only in name … The French-led counter-attack and rumblings of revolt through every branch of the EU institutions last week have brought this aberrant phase of the eurozone crisis to an abrupt end … “If I am elected president, there will be a change in [...]

IMF encourages Europe’s economic suicide

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

 

Another vast pledge to save the euro, another chance lost to break the hold of Europe’s austerity mystics and force a shift in strategic direction.

“We’re north of a trillion dollars,” said Christine Lagarde, the International Monetary Fund’s queen bee. Kudos to her for netting such sums in her Louis Vuitton handbag but what exactly does this achieve, given that Europe remains bent on committing “economic suicide” — in the [...]

Credit experts say the Spanish & Italian banks are trapped with large losses on sovereign bonds bought with ECB funds

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, telegraph.co.uk

The European Central Bank’s €1 trillion (£824bn) lending spree over the winter has stored up a host of fresh problems, leaving parts of the banking system more vulnerable than before as the short-term “sugar rush” nears exhaustion.

Credit experts say the Spanish and Italian banks are trapped with large losses on sovereign bonds bought with ECB funds under the three-year lending programme, or Long-Term Refinancing Operation (LTRO).

Andrew Roberts, credit chief [...]

Spain’s ‘lose-lose’ struggle reignites euro crisis

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

Markets took no notice of fresh austerity pledges from premier Mariano Rajoy, including new cuts worth €10bn in health and education – seen as a belated move to salvage Spain’s credibility after a spat with Brussels over fiscal slippage.

Mr Rajoy said the bond attack should dispel the illusions of those who think Spain can muddle through without serious austerity. “Markets can decide to lend or not to lend, and [...]

Interview With Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: Recovery Not Real, Crises Dead Ahead

A Look At This Week’s Show:
- Energy costs above 9% of global GDP = recession
- Financial crisis has  transitioned to social and political crisis
- Global growth will peak by May, then watch out below

About the Guest: Ambrose Evans-Pritchard is International Business Editor of The Daily Telegraph. He has covered world politics and economics for 30 years, based in Europe, the US, and Latin America. He joined the Telegraph in 1991, [...]

Interview with Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: Recovery Not Real, Crises Dead Ahead (McAlvany audio)

A Look At This Week’s Show:
- Energy costs above 9% of global GDP = recession
- Financial crisis has  transitioned to social and political crisis
- Global growth will peak by May, then watch out below

About the Guest: Ambrose Evans-Pritchard is International Business Editor of The Daily Telegraph. He has covered world politics and economics for 30 years, based in Europe, the US, and Latin America. He joined the Telegraph in 1991, [...]

Global Liquidity Peak Spells Trouble For Late 2012

telegraph.co.uk

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, International Business Editor

7:00PM GMT 11 Mar 2012

The global liquidity cycle has already rolled over. Assuming that no fresh action is taken,

world economic growth will peak within a couple of months and then fade in the second half of the year -

with grim implications for Europe’s Latin bloc.

Monetarists have had a good run during the Great Recession, and were quick to spot the turn-around in the US economy in mid-2011.

By Ambrose [...]

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: ‘Peak Oil’ is back with a vengeance

by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

Oil spikes usually metastasise once energy costs reach 9 per cent of global GDP. The longer they stay there, the greater the damage.

That proved to be the pain barrier in the 1970s and again in 2008, and we are just shy of that level right now.

“Oil is already capturing a higher level of European GDP than in 2008,” said Francisco Blanch from Bank of America.

The rule of thumb [...]

Spain’s Sovereign Thunderclap & The End Of Merkel’s Europe

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Economics Last updated: March 5th, 2012

(Photo: Corbis)

The Spanish rebellion has begun, sooner and more dramatically than I expected.

As many readers will already have seen, Premier Mariano Rajoy has refused point blank to comply with the austerity demands of the European Commission and the European Council (hijacked by Merkozy).

Taking what he called a “sovereign decision”, he simply announced that he intends to ignore the EU deficit target of 4.4pc of GDP [...]

Irish EU treaty vote threatens chaos

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
London Telegraph
February 29, 2012

Premier Enda Kenny said Dublin was acting on legal advice from Ireland’s attorney-general that “on balance” the fiscal compact requires a vote under the country’s constitution. “It gives the Irish people the opportunity to reaffirm Ireland’s commitment to membership of the euro,” he told ashen-faced members of the Dail.

All three major parties back the treaty but analysts say there is a high risk of rejection by [...]

German showdown with IMF looms as Bundestag blocks rescue funds

telegraph.co.uk

Germany’s ruling parties are to introduce a resolution in parliament blocking any further boost to the EU’s bail-out machinery, vastly complicating Greece’s rescue package and risking a major clash with the International Monetary Fund.

Chancellor Angela Merkel’s office said an increase in the ESM was ‘not necessary’ since Italian and Spanish bond markets have recovered Photo: AP

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, and Louise Armitstead

“European solidarity is not an end in itself and should not be a [...]

Iceland’s Viking Victory: Fitch has upgraded the country to investment grade BBB – with a stable outlook

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
London Telegraph
February 19, 2012

The strategy of devaluation behind capital controls has rescued the economy. (Yes, I know there is a dispute about exchange controls, but that is a detail.) The country has held its Nordic welfare together and preserved social cohesion. It is slowly prospering again, though private debt weighs heavy.

Nobody is forcing the elected government out of office or appointing technocrats as prime minister. The Althingi sits untrammeled [...]

Greek death spiral accelerates

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Economics Last updated: February 9th, 2012

Another normal day at the Hellenic Statistical Authority.

We learn that:

Greece’s manufacturing output contracted by 15.5pc in December from a year earlier.

Industrial output fell 11.3pc, compared to minus 7.8pc in November.

Unemployment jumped to 20.9pc in November, up from 18.2pc a month earlier.

I have little further to add. This is what a death spiral looks like.

It is what can happen if you join a fixed exchange system, [...]

Bundesbank sinks deeper into debt saving Europe

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard,

 

Germany’s Bundesbank has entirely exhausted its stock of private assets and run up a quarter of a trillion euros in liabilities propping up the eurozone system, testing the political limits of EMU solidarity in Germany.””

The operations are part of the European Central Bank’s ‘TARGET2′ network of automatic payments between the national central banks of the Euroland club. The Bundesbank has already provided €496bn (£413bn) to countries in trouble, chiefly [...]