MARKETS IN CATACLYSMIC COLLAPSE MODE * — The_Real_Fly (@The_Real_Fly) February 8, 2023 Our model of Fed liquidity is flashing warnings @t1alpha warns “This model has been closely tracking $SPX since mid-2020 & has done a reasonably good job of highlighting …
Guest post from Ryan McMaken, Editor of the Mises Wire: The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on Wednesday raised the target policy interest rate (the federal funds rate) to 4.75 percent, an increase of 25 basis points. With …
via morningstar: Even as stock investors cheer signs of inflation peaking, the bond market’s best-known predictor of recessions is showing its clearest signal yet that there is trouble ahead for the US economy. It’s known in Wall Street lingo as an …
by BoatSurfer600 The Leading Economic Index, published by the Conference Board, is now below a threshold that the group says is a recession signal. The index has 10 components that it is based on, including stock market performance and initial …
The world’s diesel market is once again flashing signs of chaos, undermining the global economy with a fresh bout of inflationary pressure. Powering trucks, trains and ships that drive industry, the fuel is commanding huge buy-it-now premiums in Europe. Beset …
by BoatSurfer600 It’s clear now in hindsight with all of the late cycle indicators flashing red, that the pandemic was not a true bear market. It was merely the pullback prior to the final melt-up of the post-Lehman rally. A massive …
A WORLD economy already contending with raging inflation, stock-market turmoil and a gruelling war is facing yet another threat: the unravelling of a massive housing boom. As central banks around the globe rapidly increase interest rates, soaring borrowing costs mean …
$QQQ vs $TLT for one example why this may matter for markets. Time to catch down again? pic.twitter.com/uEeFpBRTM1 — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) February 14, 2022 #recession … #Global $USD #Liquidity #Squeeze edition#FX #forex #Euro $EUR $EURUSD 📉 https://t.co/dHaOsn1q1Q — …
BY JOHN RUBINO Conventional wisdom holds that the U.S. economy is overheating. New workers are virtually unavailable, raw material costs are soaring, and of course financial asset prices are in the stratosphere. And that’s why the Fed has to tighten aggressively. …
https://twitter.com/FinanceLancelot/status/1463266307588210697 https://twitter.com/DougKass/status/1463088892450639873 $spx pic.twitter.com/NR7WuuL27A — Álvaro Oviedo (@alvoviedo) November 23, 2021 $spx allocation pic.twitter.com/Fc445zwcmc — Álvaro Oviedo (@alvoviedo) November 23, 2021 $spx pic.twitter.com/Q0WmJ2PwBb — Álvaro Oviedo (@alvoviedo) November 23, 2021 #recession … #GFC2 US #Banks edition Looks like reducing bank …
Everyone is bullish but the charts are flashing a risk off warning as sellers have returned and the dollar looks to break higher.
By Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts Equity futures are opening weaker again this morning. The NASDAQ is faring better than the S&P and Dow futures, which are both down about .35%. This pattern follows yesterday in which the NASDAQ outperformed …
Credit card debt is a serious issue today as it has surged at a record pace. Inflation is everywhere today! Real estate continues to increase in price right now as we see low interest rates keep this going. There …
Credit card debt is a serious issue today as it has surged at a record pace. Inflation is everywhere today! Real estate continues to increase in price right now as we see low interest rates keep this going. There is …
Around midnight local time on May 9, a photographer in Guiyang, China, watched a thunderstorm rumbling in the distance with their camera focused on the top of the storm in an effort to photograph the fleeting phenomenon known as a …
Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, When the warning light is flashing red, it’s prudent to have a capital preservation strategy in place. Not everyone has an IRA or 401K invested in the stock market, for those who …
Inflation indicators are “flashing red alarm” according to former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, who warns that the Biden administration’s economic stimulus “is providing demand well in excess over the next couple of years of any plausible estimate of the economy’s …
by Chris Kimble Banks and financial stocks are at the heart of every economy and play an important role in bull markets. While they may stumble or lag the broader stock market, they are always on the radar of macro …
By Harry Dent Did you know that the major leading indicator of the great 2008/9 financial crisis was real estate? In fact, real estate has played a significant role in the majority of economic and financial crisis of the last three centuries. The …
by Glenn West (follow Glenn on Twitter) of West Pacific Trading Analytics WestPacific Market Analytics Weekly Market Forecaster Newsletter wstpacglenn@gmail.com Special Report It has come to my attention that there is a lot of talk around the internet about ‘blood moons’ and a crash window …
Global non-financial corporate debt hit a record high of 92% in Q3 2018. pic.twitter.com/fDyv5HQ5D9 — IIF (@IIF) January 15, 2019 Flashing Red Indicator Warns of Rising Risk of Financial Crisis The demand for debt issued by the U.S. federal government …
via Lu Wang Everyone knows profit growth is poised to cool this year. But by how much? Analysts who try to answer that question by looking at signals embedded in the stock market are coming up with some worrisome numbers. Going …
Jason talks about leading economic indicators like demand for chemicals for the auto, housing and electronics as well as Chinese demand for chemicals flashing warning signals and FedEx, who ships goods for consumers and businesses all over the world warning …
Chance of U.S. downturn 30% in next 12 months, a 9 year high Bond giant overseeing $1.7 trillion issues economic outlook U.S. growth will slow and the risks of a recession climb in 2019 as the near-decade-long economic cycle ages, …
via GPC Last week the markets rallied on hype and hope of a potential trade deal between the US and China… and the fact it was options expiration week. Wit those items out of the way, the markets will now …
by Graham Summers via Gains, Pains & Capital Last week the markets rallied on hype and hope of a potential trade deal between the US and China… and the fact it was options expiration week. With those items out of the way, the …
by Lance Roberts In this past weekend’s newsletter, I touched on the outcome of the mid-term elections and why it would likely not be as optimistic as the mainstream media was portraying it to be. To wit: “It is likely little …
by Jesse Asks my old friend, Dominique, from the Côte d’Azur. No, not yet. Close, but no cigar. This is still just a correction. It is steeper in the big cap tech, but that is natural given its high beta …
