Goldman Confirms ‘Recovery’ Hopes Have Gone As ‘Slowdown’ Deepens

Goldman Confirms ‘Recovery’ Hopes Have Gone As ‘Slowdown’ Deepens

With US Macro no longer the clean dirty shirt, the ‘hope’ of a recovery from the Spring swoon has faded rather quickly according to Goldman’s latest Global Leading Indicator (though obviously not David Kostin). The modest April pick up – driven mainly by sentiment indicators as opposed to hard data – has faded as the reality of economic deterioration was more pronounced asboth the Philadelphia Fed [...]

Silver Surges 6.8% From Lows After Slammed 10% Lower In 4 Minutes

by GoldCore

 

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,353.75, EUR 1,051.95 and GBP 890.86 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,376.75, EUR 1,069.15 and GBP 903.62 per ounce.

Gold fell $22.20 on Friday to $1,364.90/oz and silver closed at $23.632.

Silver fell victim to heavy, concentrated selling overnight in thin, illiquid Asian trading. Silver was slammed by 10% and fell from $22.36/oz to $20.30/oz in just four minutes – from 23:05 GMT to [...]

7 Big Stories That Traders Are Talking About This Weekend – Treasuries, gold, and natural gas

Dave Lutz of Stifel, Nicolaus passes along the top stories that traders are talking about this weekend.

 

Here are the big ones:

Hedge fund managers have gone short Treasuries for the first time in 2 months (Bloomberg)
Chinese home prices rise at a slower pace in April (China Daily)

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-traders-are-reading-this-weekend-may-19-2013-5#ixzz2TkOQbWD2

Wall Street has no moral conscience. No public values. Zero. Will never change. Why?

By Paul B. Farrell, MarketWatch

Wall Street has no moral conscience. No public values. Zero. Will never change. Why? Wall Street insiders have one goal: get personally rich.

How? Wall Street gets rich by stealing money from America’s 95 million investors. Yes, they steal, skim, scam, siphon off your money, using the neurosciences that a decade ago promised to level the playing field for investors. But today it’s worse.

Too [...]

The Problem With Bankers & the Fed

from Armstrong Economics:

The problem with the NY bankers is they simply want to trade with other people’s money. They have to have their wings clipped. If they want to trade, change careers and become hedge fund managers. Then you can only keep a portion of what you make not 100%, and when you are wrong, you can’t tell government the world will collapse unless they absorb your losses. Restore Glass Steagall [...]

Texas University Fund Sold $375 Million in Gold Bars

truthingold.com / By truthing / April 25, 2013 at 07:01

The University of Texas Investment Management Co., the third-largest U.S. academic endowment, sold $375 million in gold bars from holdings of about $1.4 billion and reinvested the proceeds in gold futures and equities.

In the three months that ended Feb. 28, the Austin, Texas- based fund bought $75 million in gold futures, $225 million in developed-market equities and $75 million in emerging-market equity futures, [...]

Is China’s ‘Real’ Economy Crashing? Investors Should Be Worrying About China’s “Colossal Credit Bubble” And Social Revolution

Is China’s ‘Real’ Economy Crashing?

As Marc Faber noted, we hardly expect China to report GDP growth rates that do not perfectly fit the goal-seeked solution for utopian society, but under the covers, there appears to be some considerably more ugly real data. One of the hardest to manipulate, manage, or mitigate for a centrally planned economy is Electricity production. The year-over-year drop in China’s electricity production is the largest since the slump [...]

China ‘heading for social revolution’

China is heading for a social revolution, according to Fidelity fund manager Anthony Bolton.

Mr Bolton is one of Britain’s most famous fund managers, having earned investors in his Fidelity UK Special Situations fund an average of 20pc a year for 27 years.

He stepped down in 2010 to launch a China-focused investment trust for Fidelity, but performance was disappointing.

He is confident of turning around the situation and remains bullish about the [...]

Fund Managers Are Shorting Gold Like Crazy!

As gold breaks through death crosses and so forth, falling below $1600, sentiment against the precious metal is changing rapidly. People are more comfortable getting bearish on it.

Dow Jones reports that, according to CFTC data, fund manager short bets are hitting record levels (via Nicola Duke).

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/fund-managers-shorting-gold-crazy-085906681.html

Obama Called Out Hedge Fund Managers And Private Equity Firms Last Night, And They Didn’t Like It

In an interview before the Super Bowl, President Obama took a jab at hedge funds and private equity firms across the country, saying that he would finally take on “carried interest” tax, Reuters reports.

 

There were whispers about the Obama administration tackling carried interest after the election, but it wasn’t until last night that we heard anything specific from the President. Wall Street loves the rule because it allows hedge funds and [...]

‘Catastrophic’ EU exit would leave City defenceless against regulatory attack

European regulators have the means to shut down key parts of London’s financial centre at a stroke if Britain left the European Union and would not hesitate to do so, leading central bank experts have warned.

by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, The Telegraph:

Membership of the EU single market is the UK’s only legal defence against an onslaught of regulations aimed at forcing banks and fund managers to decamp to the eurozone, they say.

“It would [...]

There are three big reasons the gold sector could go much higher this year

From The Gold Report:

The Gold Report‘s first-ever survey of fund managers who invest heavily in junior gold mining stocks reveals cautious optimism on the sector’s performance in 2013. The historical performance of gold in the year following a U.S. presidential election, the devaluing of the U.S. dollar and current low valuations for gold miners all bode well for an upturn this year, but some doubts remain…

Five fund managers participated in the [...]

Why one of the world’s top fund managers is super-bullish on this year’s most controversial stock

From Zero Hedge:

[Hedge-fund manager Bill Ackman] (whose positive P&L in 2012 was primarily thanks to the gap lower in HLF in the last two weeks of 2012, since filled entirely and then some), says [Herbalife shares are worth] $0.

[Dan Loeb], whose nearly $10 billion hedge fund was up 30% in 2012, says [they're worth] over $60. Whom do you trust? As far as we are concerned, the second Tilson goes [...]

Fiscal Cliff Negotiations Leave Hedge Fund Tax Loophole Unscathed

Wynton Hall
breitbart.com
January 2, 2012

Common ground is hard to come by in Washington these days, but everyone, it seems, hates tax “loopholes.” Democrats claim they rob the government of revenue and benefit the rich. Republicans say tax loopholes distort free markets by letting the government pick winners and losers, thereby potentially introducing artificial and undesirable incentives.

Indeed, during the 2012 presidential race, Republican vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan attacked tax loopholes for [...]

A Bond Market Collapse Is Imminent As Junk-bond ETF Short-interest Soars And Mutual Fund Giants Began Turning Down People Hoping To Invest In Funds That Buy Junk Bonds

breaking

Desperate for Returns, Investors Pour Into Junk

The money manager’s job is supposed to be straightforward: Take people’s cash and put it to work. The more money that comes in, the bigger the manager’s paycheck.

So why would two of the country’s largest fund managers tell would-be investors in junk bonds—the common name for bonds issued by companies with the lowest credit ratings—to go away?

The short answer is that it’s for their [...]

Jim Willie: Next Segregated Client Fund Theft Will Be Private Segregated STOCK ACCOUNTS!!

The Doc sat down with the Golden Jackass himself Monday for an exclusiveMUST LISTEN interview.

Willie informed The Doc that it appears that Morgan Stanley was used by the cartel to prevent a collapse in treasury bonds in 2010, and believes that Morgan Stanley was set up at the time by cartel banks as the next major financial firm to fail.

Morgan Stanley put on $8 TRILLION in interest rate swaps in the first half [...]

JIM WILLIE: Morgan Stanley faces IMMINENT FAILURE & RUIN

Jim Willie CB – Firestorms & Currency Twisters

MORGAN STANLEY IMPLOSION

The insider conversation, often called chatter when it become deafening in tone, is that Morgan Stanley faces imminent failure and ruin. Almost two weeks ago, the Jackass provided a tip to Bill Murphy of GATA to post on his popular LeMetropole Cafe that Morgan Stanley fund managers and high ranking employees were preparing for the firm’s implosion. A subscriber to the [...]

Hungry for Yield? Check Out This Duo of Merger Arbitrage Plays

In this morning’s Wall Street Daily column, I shared an attractive takeover target for investors to consider. But it doesn’t make sense for conservative, income-oriented investors to chase after these returns. Not when there’s a way to profit from takeovers in a much more reliable and safe manner.

I’m referring to the strategy known as merger arbitrage, whereby we wait until after a takeover announcement is made.

This is, of course, a [...]

PETER SCHIFF: We Are Sailing Right Into The Perfect Storm

 KWN

 

Today Peter Schiff spoke with King World News about what he described as “The perfect storm.” Schiff also discussed gold, the Fed, mining shares, and much more.  But first, here is what he had to say about mainstream fund managers and gold: “I think that what’s going on is that most mainstream investors, who invest other people’s money, see gold as a bubble and are waiting for it to burst.  People think the [...]

Peter Schiff – Gold & The Perfect Storm That Will Lead To Collapse

KWN

 

Today Peter Schiff spoke with King World News about what he described as “The perfect storm.” Schiff also discussed gold, the Fed, mining shares, and much more.  But first, here is what he had to say about mainstream fund managers and gold: “I think that what’s going on is that most mainstream investors, who invest other people’s money, see gold as a bubble and are waiting for it to burst.  People think the [...]

When a bond fund manager says this, investors should take note:

Bond savers: Get ready to jump ship

One of Britain’s leading bond fund managers is urging investors to “get ready” to ditch bonds because they are riskier than equities at this juncture.

The warning will sound alarm bells for tens of thousands of risk-averse savers who have piled into bond funds since January amid the economic turmoil. They have poured almost £4bn into corporate bond funds, which have outsold any other type [...]

Reality Check: Scan foreign sources for real financial news…

Irish Independent Excerpt and Link:

“Scandinavia’s banks were also under the spotlight as the ratings agency Moody’s cut its credit ratings on three of the biggest players in Norway and Sweden…

Fund managers have caught fright at the increasing risk of contagion in the eurozone ahead of a possible Greek exit, and are rushing to dump euro assets.

Citigroup analysts even warned that the euro could fall to parity with the dollar.

“Europe is [...]

Some of Europe’s biggest fund managers have confirmed they are dumping euro assets amid rising fears over a possible Greek exit from the eurozone and single currency turmoil.

via CNBC:

Some of Europe’s biggest fund managers have confirmed they are dumping euro assets amid rising fears over a possible Greek exit from the eurozone and single currency turmoil.

The euro’s sudden fall this month caught many investors by surprise. Europe’s single currency has lost 5 percent in the past three weeks after barely moving against the U.S. dollar for much of the year. On Thursday, the euro[EUR=  1.2548    0.001  (+0.08%)   ] hit a fresh 22-month [...]

What some of the world’s best fund managers are recommending now

From The Reformed Broker:

As I write, I am sitting in a balcony seat next to my man Agustino Fontevecchia from Forbes Magazine. We are in Avery Fisher Hall at the magnificent Lincoln Center, next door to the Metropolitan Opera House where the Fat Lady sings literally every night…

So I got here just in time for the heavy hitters to begin speaking after intermission. My notes below encompass the afternoon session. I’ll [...]

Why the 0.85 Correlation with the Euro is driving the market, and why it will drive it down. The following is from the London Financial Times.

Last updated:
April 26, 2012 9:22 pm
Debt fears return as ECB funds are used up
By Richard Milne
Investors have begun to pay especially close attention to Spanish and Italian banks.
Thanks to the billions of euros in cheap loans dispensed by the
European Central Bank, the banks’ dealings have become linked to moves
in their countries’ bonds. And that relationship could well determine
the course of the eurozone crisis. At the heart of bond traders’ concerns [...]

Banks: Show Investors the Money (Funds)

BY MARTIN GONZALEZ AND DAVID REILLY

In a postcrisis world, big banks shouldn’t be allowed to ignore uncomfortable realities. Yet when it comes to money-market funds, J.P. Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Bank of America and Citigroup have asked for special treatment allowing them to do just that.

Money-market funds aren’t explicitly guaranteed by their sponsors. And yet in recent years, they have received considerable support from them and, in the wake of [...]

David Rosenberg: Equity fund cash ratios are at a -3.6%, the same level as in the fall of 2007 and near its lowest level ever.

The money-on-the-sidelines argument has reached deafening and self-confirming as anchoring bias among any and every swollen long-only manager seems to have made them ignore the realities of the situation. David Rosenberg, of Gluskin Sheff to the rescue with good old fashioned facts – as much as they might disappoint the audience. Barton Biggs quote in the USA Today article points out how bullish he is and how cash levels are very high [...]

Casey Research pulls back the curtain on a big change in the resource sector

From Marin Katusa, Chief Energy Investment Strategist, Casey Resesarch:

Many of Casey Research’s editors and analysts spent last week in Toronto at the annual Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) convention. PDAC is one of the biggest resource conventions in the world – this year, more than 30,000 people attended the show.

A convention of that size attracts investors, analysts, mining executives, geologists, prospectors, and government representatives from all over the [...]

UK Budget 2012: Company tax cuts ‘help jobs more than QE’

City fund managers have backed tax cuts for British companies to encourage job creation, as part of George Osborne’s Budget next week.

In an exclusive poll of 200 leading investment houses conducted for the Daily Mail by Capital Spreads, 76 per cent either strongly agreed or agreed the Chancellor should cut business taxes to foster new employment opportunities.

Simon Denham, head of Capital Spreads, said: ‘There could not be a clearer clarion [...]

Dalio takes hedge crown from Soros

From FT:

Ray Dalio has overtaken George Soros as the world’s most successful hedge fund manager after his Bridgewater Pure Alpha fund made $13.8bn for investors last year.

The profits made by the Connecticut-based Pure Alpha – already the world’s biggest hedge fund, with $72bn under management using its trading strategy – beat its own record for the largest one-year dollar gain last year.

However, the ranking by LCH Investments, part of the Edmund [...]

How to know if you really beat the market; ETF returns provide a true picture of portfolio results

By Mitch Tuchman

PALO ALTO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — Active investing is a loser’s game.

Putting money with a mutual-fund manager can be six-to-eight times more expensive than passive, indexed investing because pros are trying to select a few stocks to “beat” a benchmark index. With an index fund or exchange-traded fund, in contrast, you basically get the exact returns of the index. Since computers (not humans) manage the stocks, [...]

Investing With The Silent Majority Could Put You Ahead Of The Pack

by Daniel Solin

A routine report from Morningstar contains some great advice for investors, if you know how to interpret it.

The report notes that passively managed funds (basically index funds) had a net inflow of more than $76 billion in 2011.

In stark contrast, actively managed funds, where highly paid fund managers attempt to beat the returns of a designated benchmark, had net outflows of $9.4 billion.

[See The 10 Best Places to Retire in 2012.]

Here’s the hidden gem: [...]