LONG STORY: A derivative is a legal bet (contract) that derives its value from another asset, such as the future or current value of oil, government bonds or anything else. Ex- A derivative buys you the option (but not obligation) to buy oil in 6 months for today’s price/any agreed price, hoping that oil will cost more in future. (I’ll bet you it’ll cost more in 6 months). Derivative can [...]
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1. inflation 2. plentiful jobs so someone can buy your home 3. interest rates going down significantly. They are presently sub 5% 4. more demand than supply 5. real estate taxes going down Some things that will make home prices go down 1. deflation 2. depression and no jobs 3. interest rates going up 4. shortage of houses 5. real estate taxes going up You will know housing has [...] Yesterday a video was posted on SA with the Black Swan himself, Nassim Taleb, in the interview hot seat. One of the points he made is that, to paraphrase, all the mathematics taught in B-School is wrong, as in, the math is mis-applied to the subject at hand. And Elliot Wave theory is a good example. Elliot Waves, and a host of other attempts to predict the future of the stock [...] |
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