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The Nikkei 225 has gone up like 40% since JANUARY!. Money is flowing out of the bond market. The Yen has devalued 25% this year. 25% devaluation when the year is almost halfway over is pointing towards something. I wonder if we will see more of this same trend, only growing exponentially faster. Let’s put it this [...] Asian shares tumbled on Monday, pushing the broader Tokyo market to a 28-year low, as investors extended a rout of global stocks and worried about a nightmare scenario of euro-zone breakup, U.S. economic relapse and a sharp slowdown in China. Investors hedged against global financial and economic crisis, heading for havens such as the benchmark 10-year Japanese government bond whose yield fell below 0.80 percent to its lowest since July 2003. [...] Most people agree that yesterday’s jobs report was a disaster.
To many, this just meant the chances of more quantitative easing had increased. Surely, this is why gold prices spiked yesterday. Vincent Reinhart, Morgan Stanley’s chief U.S. economist, thinks there’s an 80 percent chance that a new quantitative easing program is announced at the June 19-20 FOMC meeting. “Slower employment growth, worsening strains in European markets, and a gloomier assessment of US politicians’ ability to steer clear [...] by CNBC New U.S. claims for unemployment benefits rose more than expected last week, a government report showed on Thursday, but the underlying trend continued to point to improving labor market conditions. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits increased 15,000 to a seasonally adjusted 381,000, the Labor Department said. The prior week’s claims data was revised up to 366,000 from the previously reported 364,000. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims rising to [...] by smartknowledgeu Did bankers use the MF Global bankruptcy to suppress gold and silver prices and create the panicked appearance of collapsing precious metals to give themselves additional precious time to delay the crash of the Euro and the US Dollar? As crazy as this sounds, a closer investigation of some key data seems to imply this possibility. Though bankers claim that they created futures markets to provide a mechanism for commodity [...] Oil prices tumbled 4 percent on Wednesday as U.S. gasoline futures plunged limit down, triggering a brief halt in trade on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gasoline traded down 25 cents at midday in New York, a move that stopped trade on NYMEX crude, heating oil and gasoline futures. Losses carried on as trading resumed with a new limit of 50 cents. Prices completed erased gains from Monday and Tuesday, when traders [...] Full JPM note: WTI futures prices made fresh 2 ½ year today, as positive economic data from China and renewed Middle East tensions bolstered prices. In a pattern that has become all too familiar in recent months, foreign governments called for their nationals to leave Yemen ahead of any potential deterioration in the security situation there. Yet despite this and other challenges that beset the [...] Silver surges another 1.9% to $32.16/oz., even as news floats of an impending margin hike. From FT: Silver jumped to a 30-year high amid record levels of investor buying that has drained mints of silver coins. The price of the precious metal hit $31.37 a troy ounce on Thursday, up 16 per cent since mid-January and the highest since March 1980. The world’s leading mints have reported record sales of [...] You have to watch this video to believe it. The speculation in the commodities market is well out of hand. Cotton futures are at a record high on speculation that demand in China will continue to increase, as China is the world’s largest importer of cotton. Add in the flooding in Australia and you have the makings of a rally driven by fundamentals but bolstered [...] U.S. gasoline prices have jumped to the highest levels ever for the middle of February. The national average hit $3.127 per gallon on Friday, about 50 cents above a year ago. The price is about 6 percent higher than on this date in 2008. The next day, pump prices began a string of 32 gains over 34 days. They rose 39 percent [...] 1. In China there are about 30 billion square feet of space in construction only in the commercial property sector. 2. Fixed investment is forecast to reach 60 percent of Chinese gross domestic product in 2010, up from around 50 percent in 2009. 3. China’s credit boom has increased bank lending by more than 6 trillion Yuan in the period between December 2008 and June 2009. 4. Apart from the dollar weakness, part [...] |
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