ABCNEWS: PETRAEUS COULD FACE CHARGES

The FBI withheld its findings about Gen. David Petreaus’ affair from the White House and congressional leaders because the agency considered them the result of a criminal investigation that never reached the threshold of an intelligence probe, law enforcement sources said today.

The sources said agents followed department guidelines that generally bar sharing information about developing criminal investigations. The FBI is also aware of its history under former director Herbert Hoover [...]

The Fourth Turning – Generational Cycles

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-11-05/guest-post-will-prophet-assume-command

I really enjoyed this article over on ZeroHedge. The author was overly melodramatic for my tastes (I’ve learned no to trust that so much) but the book he was quoting, Stauss & Howe’s The Fourth Turning, had ideas I really liked. I love anything that can compare where we are now to previous times in history, and I often think in terms of literary archetypes. So the idea that events can [...]

SPOOKY: REPUBLICANS HAVE WON EVERY NOV 6TH PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION SINCE 1860

Here’s one more historical curiosity to observe this election cycle. Since election day was standardized in 1845 there have been 6 presidential elections held on November 6th and Republicans have won all six. That means next Tuesday, the 7th Presidential election held on this date, will either break or uphold a streak that began in 1860 with the election of Abraham Lincoln.

Starting in 1792, states had a range of dates [...]

Death of a Fairy Tale

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/27/op…tale.html?_r=1

Death of a Fairy Tale
By PAUL KRUGMAN
Published: April 26, 2012

This was the month the confidence fairy died.

For the past two years most policy makers in Europe and many politicians and pundits in America have been in thrall to a destructive economic doctrine. According to this doctrine, governments should respond to a severely depressed economy not the way the textbooks say they should — by spending more to offset falling private [...]

POLL: Obama 5 times worse than Carter on economy

US News

Two new polls today find that just one third of the public feels President Obama deserves re-election while five times more Americans think Obama has done a worse job fixing the economy than Jimmy Carter, the modern era’s Herbert Hoover.

Washington Whispers contributor John Zogby tells us that his new polling is spirit-crushing for the depressed White House. “It was a very [...]

Martin A. Armstrong: Swiss Devalue the Franc

 

 

What Now? Currency Wars?

Just when you thought the Swiss franc would be the safe haven for capital in a tempest tossed financial sea, oops, here comes the dawn of a new age of competitive devaluation. The Swiss shocked the world by pegging its currency the franc to the euro. History repeats because people always respond in the same manner regardless of the generation at issue. [...]

California,The “Failed State”

“Failed state.”

That sounds harsh, doesn’t it? Do a web search with the words “failed state” and names like Somalia, Haiti, and Sudan will appear on your computer screen.

Unfortunately, the 31st state in our union – California – is looking more and more like a “failed state” as well. And this should matter to every American, because like it or not, California is both a [...]

The Mellon Doctrine

OP-ED COLUMNIST
The Mellon Doctrine
By PAUL KRUGMAN
Published: March 31, 2011

“Liquidate labor, liquidate stocks, liquidate the farmers, liquidate real estate.” That, according to Herbert Hoover, was the advice he received from Andrew Mellon, the Treasury secretary, as America plunged into depression. To be fair, there’s some question about whether Mellon actually said that; all we have is Hoover’s version, written many years later.

But one thing is clear: [...]

From David Rosenberg’s morning report: Obama Hoover

From David Rosenberg’s morning report:

A long-standing colleague and reader sent this off to me yesterday and it blew me away. Read on:

Obama’s State of the Union:
“Two years after the worst recession most of us have ever known, the stock market has come roaring back. Corporate profits are up. The economy is growing again.”

Herbert Hoover, May 1st 1930, US Chamber of Commerce Meeting:
“While the crash only took [...]

News Flash: Obama IS a Politician!

This article originally appeared in The Daily Capitalist.

Politics has a charming way of bringing reality to lame-duck politicians. The Republican gains in the House and Senate have apparently prompted President Obama to do the unthinkable: freeze the pay of civilian federal workers for two years. His constituency is very upset by this apparent betrayal by Obama:

“I am really ticked,” said John Gage, national president of [...]

Just sit on the sidelines and watch, in my opinion I believe that, in our lifetimes, we are guaranteed to see a phenomenal event concerning “markets”.

by Jim Quinn of the Burning Platform

Between 1929 and 1932, the market fell 89% from its high. The Keynesian storyline is that Herbert Hoover’s administration did nothing to try and revive the economy. It took Franklin Delano Roosevelt and his New Deal Keynesian policies to save the country. It’s a nice story, but completely false. Between 1929 and 1933, when Roosevelt came to power, the [...]

We saved the world! The recession is likely over!

We saved the world! Ben Bernanke Aug 2009

The recession is likely over, Bernanke Sep 09

I see nothing in the present situation that is either menacing or warrants pessimism… I have every confidence that there will be a revival of activity in the spring, and that during this coming year the country will make steady progress.”
- Andrew W. Mellon, U.S. Secretary of the Treasury December 31, 1929

“I am convinced that through [...]

Herbert Hoover's Disciples Are Leading Us To A Double Dip

Herbert Hoover’s disciples are making noises even as America moves closer towards a double dip recession.

Fed Chair Alan Greenspan tells the New York Times all the Bush tax cuts should expire as scheduled, even those that benefit the middle class and not the rich. His reason: the nation’s looming deficit requires it.

On Sunday, former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin, appearing on CNN, says any further effort to stimulus the economy would [...]

Here is some cheap talk based on nothing of any substance for your amusement.

If people don’t start to think for themselves by observing the real world around them versus this cheap talk based on nothing of substance they’re in deep trouble.

1.”We will not have any more crashes in our time.”
- John Maynard Keynes in 1927

2. “I cannot help but raise a dissenting voice to statements that we are living in a fool’s paradise, and that prosperity in this country must necessarily diminish [...]

A Short History of the Great Depression

By Nick Taylor is the author of “American-Made,” a 2008 history of the Works Progress Administration.

The Great Depression was a worldwide economic crisis that in the United States was marked by widespread unemployment, near halts in industrial production and construction, and an 89 percent decline in stock prices. It was preceded by the so-called New Era, a time of low unemployment when general prosperity [...]

Krugman’s flip-flop on the deficit demonstrates a modern economic equation.

http://townhall.com/columnists/LarryElder/2010/02/11/krugman_bushs_deficit_bad,_obamas_deficit_good

“Let’s review. In 2004, an unhappy Krugman criticized Bush’s “weak” economy and “miserable” job creation. Running an “enormous” deficit was a bad thing. Times were awful — “by a large margin” the worst job crash and performance since Herbert Hoover. Today the deficit is four times as large in an even weaker economy with much higher unemployment. Times are awful. Now, though, the deficit is a good thing and should [...]

Question during a real estate chat held by the Washington Post.

“The spring of 1930 marks the end of a period of grave concern…American business is steadily coming back to a normal level of prosperity.”
- Julius Barnes, head of Hoover’s National Business Survey Conference, Mar 16, 1930

“What the market is doing is going through a correction, which it really needed. It’s getting down to where it’s reasonable.”
- Ted Martinez, representative to the National Homebuilders Association

“I am convinced that through these measures [...]

Does Anyone Remember 1931? Of course not.

Tuesday, May 4. 2010
Posted by Karl Denninger in Macro Economics at 12:45

In 1930 there were all sorts of statements about how it was “all under control” and “prosperity was returning.” Some examples of the 1929 and 1930 idiocy:

“Financial storm definitely passed.” – Bernard Baruch, cablegram to Winston Churchill, November 15, 1929

“I see nothing in the present situation that is either menacing or warrants pessimism… I have every confidence that [...]

We could see an uptick in jobs, economic growth, a more stable economy, etc.

quote

#

“…by May or June the spring recovery forecast in our letters of last December and November should clearly be apparent…”
- HES May 17, 1930

“Gentleman, you have come sixty days too late. The depression is over.”
- Herbert Hoover, responding to a delegation requesting a public works program to help speed the recovery, June 1930

# “… irregular and conflicting movements of business should soon give way to a sustained recovery…”
- HES June [...]