The World Just Got A Big Bucketful Of Crappy Economics News

We’re at the start of a furious three-day sprint of data.

 

All around the world we’re getting jobs reports, manufacturing reports, and central bank activity.

So how’s it going so far? Pretty bad.

Last night for example we got an ugly Korean export report.Korean exports are considered a key barometer of global trade, so that’s bad news. Chinese PMI also came in below expectations, adding to the Asian economic woes. Also, Australian manufacturing hit its lowest levels since the [...]

EMBRACE THE MADNESS: The Worse The Numbers, The Greater The Misses, The HIGHER The Markets Will Rally!!!

If all PMI numbers come in really bad, I’m expecting the DOW to go even higher.

Embrace the madness. Up is down, black is white. Printing money good, gold bad. Debt is good, saving bad. Spend, spend dammit! Spend you fuckers! SPEND!!! The Koreans need to ship some useless shit over here or else this whole thing goes down the shitter. Spend, even if you have to borrow it. But remember: [...]

The Global ‘Canary In The Coalmine’ Is Sick: South Korean exports climbed by just 0.4% year-over-year. Economists were looking for a gain of 2.0%.

The Global ‘Canary In The Coalmine’ Is Sick

One of our most favorite economic indicators to follow is South Korean exports.

It’s a favorite of Jim O’Neill.  Goldman Sachs and UBS both literally refer to it as a “canary in the coalmine” for the economy.

Korean trade data usually comes before the first trading session of the month in Asia, which makes it the first of the world’s major economic indicators to be released.

Because Korea’s exports are heavily exposed to China and [...]

Time For Reality To Catch Up: China, Japan, South Korean, US Data Miss Expectations, Greek Economic Contraction Gets Uglier, Slovenia Cuts Growth Forecast as Bail-out Fears Grow, And 16 Big Bubbles That Are Getting Ready To Burst…

Has Abenomics Stalled Out?

One of the big stories of the last 6 months has been “Abenomics.”

This is the moniker given to the economic regime being imposed by Japan’s new Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, who hopes to revive the country’s weak economy via fiscal stimulus, monetary stimulus, and even structural reforms. You can read a complete guide to it here.

Anyway, in financial markets Abenomics has been greeted enthusiastically.

The Nikkei has been a [...]

UBS: The Global Economic ‘Canary In The Coalmine’ Is Gasping For Air

South Korean exports is widely recognized as the most reliable leading global economic indicator.

 

It’s a favorite of Jim O’Neill. Goldman Sachs and UBS both literally refer to it as a “canary in the coalmine” for the economy.

We recently learned that South Korean exports plunged 8.8 percent in July, which was much worse than the 3.7 percent decline expected by economists.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/ubs-economic-canary-in-the-coalmine-korean-exports-2012-8#ixzz22R1F4jrx

A Record High: North Korean Exports To China Surge 40% In The First Quarter

We don’t normal cover North Korean trade data.  But we thought the Q1 surge was worth mentioning.

 

According to China’s Ministry of Commerce (via Yonhap News), trade between China and North Korea reached an all-time high of $1.37 billion.

Exports from North Korea to China jumped 40 percent to $568 million, while imports into North Korea jumped 40 percent to $800 million.

businessinsider

Let’s Worry About Everything

From Goldman Sachs Asset Management Chairman, Jim O’Neill

On Friday in Paternoster Square outside our London offices, there was an Abba tribute band entertaining lunchtime workers in this gorgeous Summer sunshine we are enjoying. I ate my sandwich watching them. It was a beautiful distraction from the prevailing mood of the markets and the economic world. Of course, at the true Abba’s pomp in the late 1970’s, [...]