The SentimenTrader Macro Index Model, a measure of economic activity, declined by 27% in May. That's the 2nd most significant contraction in history. pic.twitter.com/A8UmykFEE8 — Dean Christians, CMT (@DeanChristians) June 8, 2022 spread between FED funds futures suggest the market …
via Financial Sense: In the world of investing, twelve months can seem like an eternity. That is because it only takes a year to go from one extreme to another, from bullish to bearish or a bearish to bullish extreme. …
Macro Voices, Released on 10/7/21 MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Russell Napier to the show. They explore whether the developing situation in China changes the inflation calculus, then go on to talk about rates, inflation, and where this …
Could a slowdown in credit creation and a tightening of monetary conditions push bond yields lower and threaten risk assets? Alfonso Peccatiello, fixed income investor and publisher of the Macro Compass, believes that’s possible. Peccatiello contends that inflation is indeed …
by jessefelder In preparing for an interview with Macro Voices this week, I put together a brief chart book. The following is a preview of what I’ll be discussing with Erik Townsend on the podcast. Part of the runup in stock prices over the …
Do people realize that the set of "record-high" macro figures in the first and second quarter helped by the base-effect will likely be a record slump in the third and fourth quarter? pic.twitter.com/4wLTUm3KTH — Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) April 5, 2021 …
Record valuations and leverage alone do not make a market top. Add macro timing: -Faltering consumer confidence-Liquidity drying up-Negative economic surprises-EPS growth deceleration-Yield curve inversions-Extreme VIX short-China shocks to comehttps://t.co/9DrQo35QlK — Kevin C. Smith, CFA (@crescatkevin) April 26, 2019 The …
Record valuations and leverage alone do not make a market top. Add macro timing: -Faltering consumer confidence-Liquidity drying up-Negative economic surprises-EPS growth deceleration-Yield curve inversions-Extreme VIX short-China shocks to comehttps://t.co/9DrQo35QlK — Kevin C. Smith, CFA (@crescatkevin) April 26, 2019 The …
This is RIGHT ON and to those who think macro does not matter – well you are wrong h/t @hks55 pic.twitter.com/e2tbAKNapO — mcm-ct.com (@mcm_ct) April 16, 2019 The three-month trend in production of consumer durable goods has collapsed to a …
by visualcapitalist It’s hard to say for certain what the future holds. Without the luxury of a crystal ball, investors must find opportunities by analyzing the market. There’s just one problem: the 24/7 news cycle is enough to make anyone’s head …
by Troy The economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why: The stock market’s long term risk:reward is no longer bullish. The medium term direction (e.g. next 6-9 months) is mostly …
by northmantrader The big macro wheels are turning and everybody better pay very close attention. The Reckoning is coming. Best hope for a substantive China trade deal and a last minute save on Brexit to perhaps delay the inevitable: The Coming Recession. …
via @TaviCosta: Long gold in CNY; short global equities. Remarkable how well this trade performed in all Chinese and global economic downturns of the last 40 years. In-depth analysis follows below: https://www.crescat.net/wp-content/uploads/Macro-Trade-of-The-Century.pdf …
Have we seen the bottom in macro data? Global macro data may bounce in the next month, but the long term trend of low growth and disinflation prevails. … And central planners will not change it. pic.twitter.com/Ph44bWDkOI — Daniel Lacalle …
via @ericbeebo: Companies with fatter margins may be maintaining them for not-so-good reasons: declining competition Watch trends in NIPA earnings and margins — they lead the S&P, and the S&P in turn leads the MSCI World A top-down macro view of …
via themacrotourist: I have become fascinated by MMT (Modern Monetary Theory). Sure, you can crap all over it, but I am not so sure there isn’t much to learn by opening your mind to the idea that some of the ways …
JPMorgan: “Unique Macro Environment” Calls for Unique Asset Solution, so Buy Gold “They like gold on the idea that the Fed will erode real yields to spur the economy, undermining the dollar.” Many assets have been labeled inflation hedgers in …
by Troy Throughout this extremely persistent rally, the stock market keeps ramping higher in the final hour of each trading day. While some bearish traders see this as a sign of government “manipulation”, it probably doesn’t mean anything of substance. 99% of conspiracy …
by northmantrader Markets are red hot, but it keeps getting downright frosty in macro land. Bulls will say none of this matters because an easy Fed trumps fundamentals. And that may turn out to be correct, but it’s too early to …
via marketwatch: An escalating trade war, a hard landing in China, and Brexit could prompt a global recession U.S. investors are once again paying attention to the dark clouds gathering over the global economy, with reason to fear that the next …
Since Powell backtracked and the PBOC stepped up liquidity injections, global money supply has roundtripped to March 18 levels. Forget earnings or macro. This is why markets have rallied. pic.twitter.com/ANxj0EcdD1 — Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) February 5, 2019 https://twitter.com/BrentCarlileFX/status/1092754783402905605 global euphoria …
by Troy Not much has changed with the S&P 500 hovering around its 50% retracement. We will have a flood of macro data over the next few weeks to digest now that the government shutdown is over. This is very …
via northmantrader: Lots of “bottom is in” calls these days after the 10%+ rally off of the December lows. I remain on the open minded train train awaiting for more evidence on the technical and macro front to come in. In …
via themacrotourist: Think back to this past summer. The US dollar was rallying hard, having risen from 88 DXY in the spring to 97 as August drew to a close. At the same time, the American stock market was on fire, …
by Troy Our new Macro Investing Index is described as: As we’ve demonstrated repeatedly here at Bull Markets, leading economic indicators are also long term leading indicators for the stock market because the stock market and the economy move in …
Chris Gaffney, president of World Markets at TIAA Bank joins Remy Blaire at the NASDAQ MarketSite to weigh in on global growth expectations heading into year-end. Gaffney offers his take on the trajectory for the Federal Reserve and considers the …
https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1035734735681675265 China Exports & Imports to US hit a brick-wall — US $200BLN in tariffs for China coming next week pic.twitter.com/9fo0txiqWE — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) September 2, 2018 https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1036053567327686657 Key divergence between two consumer sentiment/confidence indices, now at the highest level …
19 handle! 2s10s pic.twitter.com/eoT6C7Qum9 — Randy Woodward (@TheBondFreak) August 24, 2018 🌍😎 Week ahead: Curve confusion – Curve confusion prompting a late-cyclical mindset– But yield curve apologists are in control of the Fed– US macro momentum the next shoe to …
