Mortgage Applications Dropped To Lowest Since 1996 As Purchase Applications Drop -22.2% WoW, -38.5% 2WoW, -42% YoY (Refi Apps Down -87% YoY)

by confoundedinterest17 Mortgage applications generally nosedive in the last two weeks of the year (seasonality effect), but Federal Reserce monetary tightening to fight inflation is making the last two weeks worse than usual. Mortgage applications decreased 13.2 percent from two …

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Mortgage Bomb Cyclone! Mortgage Rates Drop 82 Basis Points Since October 21, Yet Purchase Apps Down -17.25% (Purchase Apps Down 36% Since Last Year, Refi Apps Down 85% Since Last Year)

by confoundedinterest17 The mortgage market is behaving like today’s bomb cyclone in terms of the weather. Bomb cyclone in that mortgage rates have dropped 7.16% on October 21, 2022 to 6.34% on December 16, 2022 (a drop of 82 basis points), …

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US Real GDP Growth Forecast To Be Dismal 0.50% In 2023, Personal Savings Rate -67.9% YoY In October, US Mortgage Rates Headed Down (Economic Lights On But Nobody’s Home)

by confoundedinterest17 Albert Collins said it best about the US economy under Joe Biden: “Lights Are On But Nobody’s Home”. The Federal Reserve forecast for the US economy is a dismal 0.50% YoY. Do I detect a trend? The FOMC forecast for …

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Warning over mortgage ‘timebomb’ as homeowners ‘face biggest hike in interest payments ever’ (UK f*cked borrowers are about to learn the key difference between “homeowner” and “mortgage payer).

Shock rise predicted after analysis of figures published by Treasury watchdog Lib Dems found household with £236,000 mortgage would pay extra £2,581 This would be if, as calculated, mean monthly interest payments double to £474 News fuels fears that cost of …

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The Mortgage Bankers Association is expecting a recession to hit in 2023, and expects rates to fall to 5.4% by the end of next year. “We’re beginning to see some significant signs of softening in the labor market,” “I do expect the next couple of months are gonna be a pretty abrupt transition.”

via Marktwatch: NASHVILLE, Tenn. — A mortgage industry group is expecting a recession to hit the U.S. economy. “We’re forecasting a recession for next year,” Mike Fratantoni, senior vice president and chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association, said Sunday …

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Pension Fund Blues! Agency MBS Prices And Mortgage REITs Declining As Fed Withdraws Monetary Stimulypto (Duration Risk Increasing)

by confoundedinterest17 Pension funds have long been investing in “safe” agency mortgage-backed securities. But as The Fed does its “tighten up”, we are seeing agency MBS prices falling and duration risk rising. I remember showing my Fixed-income class at Chicago and …

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US Mortgage Rates Climb To 7.20% (Highest Since 2000) As Core Inflation And Diesel Prices Soar With The Fed Counterttacking (Mortgage Rates Likely To Rise To 9-9.25% By May 2023)

by confoundedinterest17 US 30-year mortgage rates rose to 7.20% yesterday, the highest rate since 2000. Why? Core inflation is rising and its the highest since 1992. Diesel prices, the all-important fuel for the transportation industry, is rising again after a brief …

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The Perils Of Fed Tightening 2: US Mortgage Rates Climb To Highest Since 2000, Mortgage Demand Falls To Lowest In Recorded History (Great Job DC!!)

by confoundedinterest17 Happy Columbus Day! As I discussed yesterday in my post entitled “The Perils Of Fed Tightening In One Chart (Or Sweet Home DC!) Treasury Yield Curve Remains In Reversion And Stock Market Declining As Fed Reduces Money Supply Growth,” The Federal …

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US Mortgage Rates Rise To 7.04% As Housing Market Chills (WTI Crude And Gasoline Prices On The Rise Again As Biden Fails To Convince OPEC To Pump More Oil)

by confoundedinterest17 Under “Nuclear Joe” Biden, the US is truly the land of confusion. As the Biden Administration touts “affordable housing,” we are seeing the 30-year mortgage rate rise above 7% as The Federal Reserve fights inflation … caused by the …

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