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Why Are Americans Driving Straight Into The Non-Recovery (And 800 On The S&P)?

from Zero Hedge:

One look at Americans’ driving habits represented by total vehicle miles travelled through the start of the Second Great Depression shows a simple chart: an uninterrupted diagonal line from the lower left to the upper right, which makes sense – a growing economy means more commuting, means more driving, means more demand to get from point A to point B, means more miles driven, and so on.

Then something happened.

As [...]

Astonishing chart suggests there’s virtually zero chance of recession now

From Carpe Diem:

The chart above shows University of Oregon economics professor Jeremy Piger’s “Recession Probability Index” from January 1990 to November 2012, based on the 4 monthly variables used by the NBER to determine U.S. recessions: 1) non-farm payroll employment, 2) the index of industrial production, 3) real personal income excluding transfer payments, and 4) real manufacturing and trade sales.

According to Professor Piger, “Historically, three consecutive months of recession probabilities [...]

Someone tell Belski the US is 5 months until the next recession is due simply based on history

from Zerohedge:

Just under two months ago we noted, somewhat comedically, that the Fed’s researchers were ‘confused’ that its models (the wonderful DSGE) pointed to ‘explosive inflation’ given its current ZIRP regime. Perhaps those same PhDs will also be surprised to note that, based on the 44 month average length ‘out of recession’, that the next recession (as proffered by the NBER) is due to begin March 2013 (though of course, the resolution of [...]

The Market Just Figured Out Two HUGE Problems

by Phoenix Capital Research

 

 

The US Presidential election ended November 6, 2012. Since that time, the market has fallen 3%.

 

There are a multitude of reasons for this, but the primary one is the fact that the markets is beginning to realize two key items:

 

Everything that was a problem in the run up to the US election is still a problem (in fact many issues are now worse than they were a few months ago).
Having [...]

The Market Just Realized Two HUGE Problems

by Phoenix Capital Research

The US Presidential election ended November 6, 2012. Since that time, the market has fallen 3%.

There are a multitude of reasons for this, but the primary one is the fact that the markets is beginning to realize two key items:

1)   Everything that was a problem in the run up to the US election is still a problem (in fact many issues are now worse than they were [...]