by Mac Slavo of SHTFplan The UCLA Anderson Forecast announced Wednesday that the United States economy is at a “very real risk” of falling into a recession in the year 2020. “A year ago we were looking forward to a synchronized global expansion; today …
similar warnings from last fall – this time, the outlook is worse pic.twitter.com/YlpYqyeb4q — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) March 6, 2019 global earnings growth in freefall pic.twitter.com/dEqLdqnqfI — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) March 6, 2019 pic.twitter.com/0L4sq5UW45 — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) March 6, 2019 BIS WARNS …
by Troy The S&P 500 is still hovering at its 2800 resistance. Meanwhile, the NASDAQ is up 10 weeks in a row while the S&P is up 9 of the past 10 weeks. The bears are looking to short here, …
by Shaun Richards Today brings the economy of the Euro area into focus and to my mind yesterday brought us something to consider so let me hand you over to Statistics Netherlands. In January 2019, prices of owner-occupied dwellings (excluding …
by WARREN MOSLER Japan downgrades industrial outlook for first time in 40 months (Nikkei) The Japanese government on Thursday downgraded its monthly assessment of industrial output for the first time in more than three years. The Cabinet Office’s economic report …
by Troy The Dow and NASDAQ are up 9 weeks in a row when you compare this week’s CLOSE to the previous week’s CLOSE, while the S&P is up 9 weeks in a row when you compare this week’s CLOSE …
by visualcapitalist View the high resolution version of today’s graphic by clicking here. Over the last decade, the prospect of mass automation has seemingly shifted from a vague possibility to an inescapable reality. While it’s still incredibly difficult to estimate the ultimate …
via Daniel Lacalle For 2019, the key factors that we need to think about are what is going to be the outlook on three levels: monetary, macro, and earnings. Watch my entire interview at Real Vision here. In general, considering where expectations are right …
by Troy The S&P’s nonstop rally continues. Since the S&P broke out above its 200 day moving average, a lot of standard trend followers are coming off the sidelines. The stock market’s price action is more bullish than bearish for 2019, …
via CNBC: Earnings estimates keep coming down and now the first quarter forecasts are calling for a negative quarter for the S&P 500. But the year 2019 profits don’t look much better, and could end up growing at just about …
by Troy The stock market continues to hold at its 50% retracement. This has been one of the fiercest non-stop recoveries after a 20% selloff. Will the stock market continue its V-shaped recovery? Or is a retracement imminent? We think …
via Daniel Lacalle For 2019, the key factors that we need to think about are what is going to be the outlook on three levels: monetary, macro, and earnings. Watch my entire interview at Real Vision here. In general, considering where expectations are right …
by Troy The S&P has now retraced more than 50%, which was the standard post-crash target outlined a few weeks ago. The stock market is exactly where it was a few months ago. This demonstrates the stock market’s “bullish bias” …
By Nick Cunningham “The outlook for the global economy in 2019 has darkened.” That conclusion came from a new report from the World Bank, citing a variety of data, including softening international trade and investment, ongoing trade tensions, and financial turmoil in emerging …
by John Ward Specialised Wonkism is getting in the way of Renaissance thinking ¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤¤ And now, here is the news…. A recent poll showed that a majority of Tory activists (and an overwhelming majority of Brexiteer voters across the board) would …
by Shaun Richards Sometimes it is hard not to have a wry smile at the way events are reported. Especially as in this instance it has been a success for my style of analysis. If we take a look at …
by northmantrader The cataclysmic action of Q4 left investors shellshocked as stocks plummeted and over 90% of US Dollar based asset classes ran a negative return for 2018 going against all Wall Street forecasts. Macro monsters from trade wars, Brexit, slowing …
by northmantrader The cataclysmic action of Q4 left investors shellshocked as stocks plummeted and over 90% of US Dollar based asset classes ran a negative return for 2018 going against all Wall Street forecasts. Macro monsters from trade wars, Brexit, slowing …
By Irina Slav S&P Global Ratings cut its price outlook for Brent crude oil from US$65 to US$55 and for West Texas Intermediate from US$60 to US$50 for this year, citing a worsening demand situation for the commodities. “The on-going trade war …
by GoldCore – Are we to prepare for a global Debt Bubble Collapse in 2019? – 2019 to see the political and economic uncertainty of 2018 continue and likely to deepen – Investors lulled into a false sense of security …
by Troy The S&P 500 experienced a week of nonstop selling. Source: Investing.com The economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why: The stock market’s long term risk:reward is no …
via CNN: New York (CNN Business)America’s finance chiefs fear the economic expansion is nearly over. Almost half (48.6%) of US chief financial officers believe the United States will be in recession by the end of next year, according to the …
via moneymetals: The Great Recession, coupled with the “Ron Paul Revolution,” prompted a renaissance of the sound money movement in the United States. As Germany, Russia, and China — to name a few — continue to increase their gold holdings, the …
by Troy The economy and stock market move in the same direction in the medium-long term. Hence, leading economic indicators are also leading indicators for the stock market. Thoughts Inflation-adjusted personal consumption expenditures are trending sideways. Suggests that the current decline is …
by Troy The U.S. stock market rallied last week and is now sitting just under its 200 day moving average. Source: Investing.com The economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s …
by Troy The U.S. stock market has made a 61.8% bounce and now retested its lows, which is the standard pattern for these fast 10%+ corrections. “Drop, pop, and slop” Source: Investing.com Now that the stock market has almost retested …
by Michael Snyder Oil, copper and lumber are all telling us the exact same thing, and it isn’t good news for the global economy. When economic activity is booming, demand for commodities such as oil, copper and lumber goes up …
by Troy As we expected in last week’s market outlook, the U.S. stock market has pulled back after a hard bounce. The S&P 500 has now retraced more than 61.8% of its gains. The economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term …
by Troy The S&P 500 has made a 61.8% retracement and is now stalling. This is completely normal. Most 10%+ corrections have a 61.8% retracement and then a pullback or retest of the lows before heading higher. The economy’s fundamentals determine the …
by Lance Roberts Market Rally Fails Key Resistance Last weekend I discussed the fact we had started using the rally to lift some exposure out of portfolios ahead of the mid-term elections simply as a hedge for the “unknown.” Well, on …