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“If you owe the bank $100, that’s your problem.If you owe the bank $100 million, that’s the bank’s problem.” –J. Paul Getty (1892-1976)

Two months ago, Carmel Asset Management came out with what we dubbed “Spain: The Ultimate Doomsday Presentation.” Since that day Spanish yields have exploded, the domestic (and global) stock market has collapsed, and as of hours ago, Spain for the first time requested an official bail out from its European partners. But Spain was easy – only Nobel prize winning economists and TV anchors could not foresee the final outcome [...]

With The US Economy Sliding Back To Recession, Here Is What The Fed Will Do Next

via ZH

Back in May when we presented our humble and succinct analysis on what the preliminary 1.8% GDP looked like, we said “Ex the now traditional inventory build [of 1.2%], Q1 GDP growth was sub 1%” basically being the only party who said that aside for the “old faithful plug” better known as the traditional BEA fudge to get GDP to whereever the administration wants it, growth [...]

GALLUP: No-Name ‘Republican Candidate’ Extends Lead Over Obama

PRINCETON, NJ — Registered voters by a significant margin now say they are more likely to vote for the “Republican Party’s candidate for president” than for President Barack Obama in the 2012 election, 47% to 39%. Preferences had been fairly evenly divided this year in this test of Obama’s re-election prospects.

See all election 2012 data >

The latest results are based on a July 7-10 poll, and [...]