Tagged: rate

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Citi labels 2s/5s US yield spread as the best interest rate chart in the world. Bear flattening signaled Savings and Loan Crisis in the late 1980s, the Dot-Com crash in the early 2000s and the GFC in 2007.

https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/933449988276916224 TROUBLE? What is the predictive power of the yield curve? Shape of the yield curve, advanced by 15 mths, has a decent fit w/US GDP growth. But yield curve inversions over-predict recessions. https://t.co/1mo5QwepsZ...