Chinese cement company goes public. 49 days later it’s already warning of a slowdown

The impact of China’s slowdown and has been impacting corporate profits.

 

And Chinese cement company Dongwu Cement, which had its initial public offering just 49 days ago, has already issued a profit warning.

Patrick Chovanec alerted us to the company that is expected to report a first half loss.

The company’s prospectus at the time of the IPO showed that declining fixed asset investment in the country would see demand for cement decline, impacting prices.

With Beijing dead set [...]

3 major real estate tracking companies came out and said the shadow inventory is 85 – 90%

http://www.thestreet.com/story/11616596/1/shadow-reo-as-many-as-90-of-foreclosed-properties-held-off-the-market.html

This means that ALL THE HOUSES which are for sale now, only are 10 or 15% of whats REALLY foreclosed already and what should be available for sale.

This means we are so fuxored right now, that the banks can’t even put them on the market because it will collapse everything. Then if there is an uptick in their 10-15% of houses, they get to play that as a gain in [...]

China Property Prices Extend Fall

SHANGHAI—Average property prices in 70 Chinese cities declined in April on a year-on-year basis for the second straight month, as developers cut prices to boost flagging sales amid a two-year government campaign to cool the real-estate sector.

While this indicates some success in the government’s drive to bring prices down to “reasonable levels,” the rest of the property market is showing increasing signs of stress. Slowing investment and declines in construction [...]

Gold to gain as financial crisis moves from Greece to Spain

David Levenstein says although gold prices remain range bound, prices firmed up during last week indicating a more bullish sentiment in the short-term.

 

Author: David Levenstein
Posted:  Thursday , 03 May 2012 

JOHANNESBURG -

It was not that long ago when Greece was the main concern of global investors, but already most of us have already forgotten about that on-going saga. Now, the global financial crisis has moved from Greece to Spain, with Italy waiting to [...]

GET READY: This Is How Much It Could Cost To Bail out Spain

Investors have been up in arms lately about Spain’s burgeoning economic crisis.

 

The country’s financial system has struggled under the weight of the a troubled real estate sector. While the government has backed efforts to consolidate Spain’s many banks, it has yet to lead a universal bank bailout that would siphon taxpayer money into a financial sector backstop.

Even if the government made a political sacrifice to do so, liquidity and insolvency [...]

This Should Terrify You: Seriously, These Chinese Malls Don’t Have Any People In Them

This is a guest post from Christopher Pavese, CFA, Chief Investment Officer at Broyhill Asset Management.  He and his team have recently been on a research-intensive trip in China, and has kindly agreed to share what he found.  Visit his blog (The View from the Blue Ridge) for more analyses.

The Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) was a single-party state ruled by the Communist Party. The state was structured under a [...]

With growth slowing, particularly in the real estate sector, Chinese banks have been a great place to bet against, hedge fund titan Jim Chanos told CNBC.

Chanos, the head of Kynikos Associates, has been betting against China —despite its role as a global economic leader — primarily because he believes the country is overbuilt and does not have the internal demand to support its ambitious growth plans.

Nowhere has that trend been more apparent than in the banking system.

“If you looked at the performance of the banks over the last two years…they have been great shorts,” Chanos [...]

Gallo: It will take a “very long” time for developed economies to get out of the hard landing phase as “it’s not just about deleveraging, it’s about credit channels not functioning…”

From CNBC:

Beijing announced recently that it has enough economic leeway to ease monetary policy, but it also introduced curbs to cool the real-estate sector. Those apparently mixed signalsprompted some market watchers to say they were afraid of a sharp slowdown in the Chinese economy.

“The bigger cycle we’re experiencing [in the West] is the result of the bursting of the credit bubble [in 2007],” Stephen Gallo, head of market analysis at [...]

If China’s Property Bubble Bursts…

The cooling of China’s real estate sector is good for the economy. But the government is right to be worried about the social consequences of the bubble bursting.

In October, Beijing announced that four city and provincial governments – Shanghai, Shenzhen, Zhejiang and Guangdong – would be allowed to start issuing bonds for the first time in China’s history. Zhejiang is expected to issue $8 billion yuan in bonds, including half three-year bonds [...]

Chanos: China’s bust will be a thousand times worse than Dubai and it has already begun

By Sue Chang, MarketWatch

NEW YORK — China is heading into an economic storm, and the much-feared hard-landing of the world’s second-largest economy has already started, warned celebrated hedge-fund manager and China-bear Jim Chanos of Kynikos Associates on Monday.

“The numbers are falling faster than we thought,” said Chanos during an exclusive interview with MarketWatch on the sidelines of the 7th Annual New York Value Investing Congress.

“Real estate sales [...]

Banks continue easing loan terms: Fed survey

By Greg Robb

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — U.S. banks continued to ease restrictions on most types of loans over the past three months except in the real estate sector, according to a survey of the banks’ senior loan officers released Monday by the Federal Reserve. Demand was weak for residential loans but strengthened in commercial real estate and industrial loans, according to the survey of 55 [...]

Most Banks Have Shut Their Doors On Real-Estate Firms

By MADHURIMA NANDY AND DINESH UNNIKRISHNAN OF MINT

BANGALORE — Real-estate firms are approaching non-banking finance companies for loans to pay for land, construction and pre-development of projects, now that most banks have shut their doors on this sector.

Last year, 20 developers raised about 30 billion rupees ($667 million) from the non-banking financial institutions through non-convertible debenture, according to Enam Securities’ April report. Such debt cannot be converted to stock, and offer [...]

Why The Fed Must End QE2 On April 27th

The Federal Reserve has lost all credibility on Wall Street, and most of the American public with the absolute refusal to recognize the dire effects on asset prices that QE2 has created. But the refusal is part of the problem. It reinforces the wide spread belief of investors that the Fed is out of touch with reality, and that they sit in their Ivory Tower implementing [...]

Why The Fed Must End QE2 On April 27th

The Federal Reserve has lost all credibility on Wall Street, and most of the American public with the absolute refusal to recognize the dire effects on asset prices that QE2 has created. But the refusal is part of the problem. It reinforces the wide spread belief of investors that the Fed is out of touch with reality, and that they sit in their Ivory Tower implementing [...]

China Is Not a Bubble: It’s the Hindenburg

by Carlos X. Alexandre, SA

China is often admired as an economic miracle, especially since the government has been able to balance, thus far, a Communist/Socialist political infrastructure while operating a semi-capitalist “free” market. But as a side effect of a global economic slow down, and considering bits of information that filter out of an extremely well controlled society, China’s economic power is beginning to be [...]

Housing starts see biggest drop since 1984… Finished consumer food PPI jumps by highest since 1974

by ZH

Stagflation, bitchez. PPI in February doubled to 1.6% on expectations of 0.7%, compared to 0.8% previously, and 5.6% Y/Y! This is the largest increase in finished goods prices since a 1.9-percent advance in June 2009. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate goods moved up 2.0 percent, and the crude goods index climbed 3.4 percent. On an unadjusted basis, prices [...]

Feds all deserve to be lined up against a wall and shot. Come to think of it, it might happen one day.

Came across a good article warning that this week was the Fed’s opportunity to reinvest options on previous treasury purchases made with the stimulous QE funny money, there was some obvious market pumping done before options expire on Friday. And a warning that even with $340 Billion to pump into the market this week they still couldnt build a rally – which is scary for whats going to happen next [...]

“Low trading volume, still high” By Claus Vogt

“The stock market’s rise since the March 2009 lows was nothing more than a bear market rally. Yes, it was a huge rally, but not out of the realm of similar historical examples.

Low trading volume, still high valuations and lingering economic problems — especially within the real estate sector and the banking system — have been strong arguments for my outlook. And the history of burst real estate bubbles could [...]

The only way for the market to avoid a decline is for there to be a total disconnect between the market and the underlying fundamentals.

From PragCap reporting on an interview with Felix Zulauf:

“The world is at a major crossroads. Some countries are at the end of a dead-end street. Greece has hit the wall. Spain and Hungary probably will be next. The Greek debt crisis was the beginning of markets refusing to finance irresponsible public-sector indebtedness. It will travel from the periphery to the center in coming years. The common denominator in the housing [...]