by BoatSurfer600 “US Housing Market Posts $2.3 Trillion Drop, Biggest Since 2008” (BLOOMBERG) US HOUSING MARKET POSTS $2.3 TRILLION DROP, BIGGEST SINCE 2008 — FXHedge (@Fxhedgers) February 23, 2023 The US housing market has dramatically slowed down with higher rates. …
by Boo_Randy This week, Walmart said that theft has gotten so bad they may need to shut some stores. It is estimated that theft from Walmart exceeds $3 billion annually. Just 3 weeks ago, Target said they lost a shocking …
10 year yield is at 4.1% after the stock market rallied about 800 points. Makes no sense. This is serious doom. What could be? Might the FED not be able to control the bond market? So here is where we …
🧵Small-caps have outperformed large-caps coming out of recessions 6 out of the last 6 times (all that we have data for), and on avg by 14% from the trough. Props to @StrategasRP for the charts (and for the assist in …
Wall Street Silver – Twitter, Released on 9/28/22 Read the article here: https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/7-ways-a-recession-could-be-good Stop your crying, the corporate media says recessions could be good for you !! 🤡 🌎 pic.twitter.com/7SIhyBaAI3 — Wall Street Mav (@WallStreetMav) September 28, 2022 IN ACCORDANCE WITH …
Daniel Lacalle, Released on 9/25/22 Daniel Lacalle, PhD, economist and fund manager, is the author of the bestselling books Freedom or Equality (2020) and Escape from the Central Bank Trap (2017). He is a professor of global economy at IE Business School in Madrid …
“Europe will face a recession, one of the worst recessions it will have faced and I don’t think risky assets are pricing this in correctly” – Securrency Capital — zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 8, 2022 The ECB delivered a 75 bps …
by factsnotfeelings Usury is currently defined as charging ‘excessive’ interest. But that is not the correct definition, all interest charged on loans is in fact Usury. Why Usury was banned When multiple lenders ask borrowers to return the principal, plus …
By Michael Lebowitz While higher gas prices may be welcome news to the oil industry, the rest of us should be concerned as it is a glaring recession warning. Over the last 40 years, higher gas prices have been linked …
by laflammaster If you take a closer look, recession happens when the yield rates converge. By historical metrics, recessions should have started mid-late 2019 (which it kind of did). Sauce: https://www.federalreserve.gov/datadownload/Chart.aspx?rel=H15&series=bf17364827e38702b42a58cf8eaa3f78&lastobs=&from=&to=&filetype=csv&label=include&layout=seriescolumn&type=package&pp=Format
https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1448268386006441987 Deutsche Bank’s Sewing Says Higher Inflation Likely Persistent — zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 13, 2021 Big 3 letter unaccountable bureaucratic organization warns 😳🤣NOW ✅ pic.twitter.com/92dx8J1XA6 — bob gonzales (@BobgonzaleBob) October 13, 2021 ⚫⚫ COAL ⚫⚫ pic.twitter.com/mGB3jT34An — Win Smart, CFA …
By John Mauldin I’m slowly losing confidence in the economy. I still think the economy is okay for now. But I also see recession odds rising considerably in 2020. Maybe it will get pushed back another year or two, but at some …
by Michael Snyder Since the last financial crisis, we have witnessed the greatest corporate debt binge in U.S. history. Corporate debt has more than doubled since then, and it is now sitting at a grand total of more than 9 …
via forbes: There’s a lot of chatter about the inversion of the yield curve and how it’s an indicator of an impending recession. To better understand, let’s take a look at both the history, and the current situation. Remember that …
by cbus20122 The dotcom bubble peaked and burst right as the curve inverted. There is zero guarantee that the markets keep going up from here, although history definitely says its quite possible. There is even a risk for a short-term blowoff …
by David Haggith In a surprisingly candid admission, two former Federal Reserve chairs have stated that the Federal Reserve alone is responsible for creating all recessions in the United States. First, former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke said that Expansions don’t die …
via Marketwatch: If you’re using economic indicators to determine your allocation to the stock market, you will most certainly be well behind the curve An Elliottwavetrader member attended the 32nd Economic Outlook Symposium hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank …
Authored by Jim Quinn via The Burning Platform blog, “This country, and with it most of the Western world, is presently going through a period of inflation and credit expansion. As the quantity of money in circulation and deposits subject …
via Bill McBride Following the weak new home sales report, I’d like to update a couple of graphs. For the economy, what we should be focused on are single family starts and new home sales. As I noted in Investment and Recessions “New Home …
via Iforgotmyhandle: Background I’m a software engineer that has been learning about Spark lately and leveraging data to figure out new information. As a pet project, I want to build a tool that can identify red flags in the economy and …
by NoReally I see a handful of things coming together 1 – intra-institution repurchase of CLOs stops, resulting in corporate debt default that can’t be dismissed by the covenant light hand waiving 2 – The impending 4% draw down begins to …
BY JOHN MAULDIN Last week brought a little (at least short-term) good news if you’re worried about the yield curve inverting. The 10-year US Treasury yield rose above 3% for the first time in four years. This will be the opposite …
BY PATRICK WATSON At the Strategic Investment Conference 2018, Dr. Lacy Hunt, economist and EVP of Hoisington Investment Management, claimed that “economics is a science” and today it’s more important than ever. Although economics is not as precise as physics or chemistry, …