Federal Reserve researchers have developed a new measure of credit and financial market sentiment from Twitter Inc. data that they say can help forecast changes in the stance of monetary policy. The Twitter Financial Sentiment Index uses natural language processing on the …
2/2 The results of the "availability of credit" question took a massive hit in March, falling 4 points (bottom panel), in its worst monthly contraction in over 20 years. The index is now at a 10+ year low. I'm sure …
via energyandgold: When I spoke with 321gold founder Bob Moriarty in November he was adamant that now is the time to invest in the resource sector. Today, he thinks that investor sentiment in the resource space is worse than it was in 2008 …
h/t silvertomars
by confoundedinterest17 The Fed’s Limbo Rock! How low can consumer sentiment for housing go? The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index for housing for October just fell to its lowest level since 1992 as The Fed counterattacks against Bidenflation, causing mortgage interest …
by confoundedinterest17 Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment index has declined from 81.7 shortly after Biden was sworn-in as President to a meager 62.8 in July 2022. Of course, mortgage rates have risen quite rapidly and home price growth remains elevated as …
by confoundedinterest17 “A recession is two quarters in a row of negative growth.” — President Clinton, Dec. 19, 2000 My former colleague at Deutsche Bank, Joe Carson, said recently that the US economy is not in a recession, but corporate profits are …
Supreme Court Justice Elena Kagan, appointed by Barack Obama, has claimed at a conference that the court must follow “public sentiment” in its decisions or it risks losing its legitimacy. And she was immediately schooled on the fact that “public …
by SilverBoatSurfer About 15% of US renters aren’t caught up with their payments, according to Census Bureau data, and it’s about to get worse this summer as many leases come due and landlords boost prices https://t.co/H0DtY23hot — Bloomberg Markets (@markets) …
US Consumer Sentiment Index is at the lowest ever recorded since they started collecting data in 1952 Consumer sentiment is now at a record low going back 50 years. Corporate profiteering at a record high. Investors expect a soft landing. …
This is the SPX in 2009, very similar if you overlay the weekly chart of 2022 pic.twitter.com/W5BSMgD74H — William (@WilliamsGK) May 20, 2022 This is gold 😂 https://t.co/CI889A1fFF — Tarric Brooker aka Avid Commentator 🇦🇺 (@AvidCommentator) May 21, 2022 NDX …
A housing crash is imminent as high prices, high interest rates, and declining sentiment indicate the peak is in. With more Fed rate hikes coming, the housing market is likely to crash as a hard landing of the economy is …
https://twitter.com/jadenmiles/status/1521808572883025921 Net equity exposure @ -80%. pic.twitter.com/Y2YNsBsvag — Daniel Perczek (@exposurerisk) May 3, 2022
by confoundedinterest17 Rising home prices and The Fed signaling an end to the perpetual punch bowl have resulted in the University of Michigan buying conditions for houses to hit the lowest level since 1982. While bearish sentiment in markets highest since …
German investor sentiment just fell at the fastest pace on record:https://t.co/jfKv9zxDfS "The fall was the biggest since the survey began in December 1991" pic.twitter.com/l9gCFytLmh — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) March 16, 2022
Import prices jumped nearly 11% in the past year, helping to fuel U.S. inflation Over the past year, overall import prices have climbed 10.9%. Export prices jumped 3% in February — the largest on record — and are up 16.6% …
The University of Michigan’s sentiment index dropped to 61.7, the lowest since October 2011, from 67.2 in January, data released Friday showed. The figure trailed the median estimate of 67 in a Bloomberg survey of economists. The report’s gauge of …
Investor sentiment is at historic pessimism. Worse than MARCH 2020. Worse than DECEMBER 2018. Even in 2008 – similar spikes led to violent Bear Market rallies. And lastly – when investors finally got this negative, the 2000-2002 Tech Crash was …
by confoundedinterest17 That Bidenflation is really hurting Americans. Start with the UMich Buying Conditions for Houses. It “rose” to 83. Unfortunately, 100 is the baseline and any number below 100 is bad. The reason? The massive increase in US home prices …
Gundlach: "Consumer sentiment is at recessionary levels" pic.twitter.com/rgt66OENyP — zerohedge (@zerohedge) January 11, 2022 Gundlach: What is driving this falloff in consumer sentiment? Car prices up so much, people don't think this is a good time to buy a car …
by Phandomo I just wanna share my opinion here and help you save money: Quarter end balancing will last till the very end of Dec, since stock went up so much and all P/E are looking ridiculous, funds will be selling …
by confoundedinterest17 While some economists are cheering the post-COVID economic recovery, I am not among them. Rampant inflation and bad economic policies are plaguing the non 1% of the population. For example, new home sales dropped -23.1% YoY in October. As …
by confoundedinterest17 US housing starts for October were less than expected. A 1.5% increase MoM was expected, but housing starts actually fell -0.7% MoM. 5+ unit (multifamily) starts were up 6.82% MoM. 1-unit single family detached units were down -3.89% MoM. …
Consumer sentiment further imploded in the latest survey. Compliments of panic buying:https://t.co/8GjOzEM5p2 "Rising prices for homes, vehicles, and durables were reported more frequently than any other time in more than half a century" pic.twitter.com/yNeIhInEOP — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) November 12, 2021 …
by confoundedinterest17 Wake up. Time to buy? This is a time even unlike the disastrous housing bubble of the 2000s that led to the financial crisis and Great Recession. Even during the housing bubble years, we still had positive REAL mortgage rates: Bankrate …
(Bloomberg) — A decline in consumer expectations suggests the U.S. economy is in recession even though employment and wage growth indicate otherwise, according a new study co-authored by a former Bank of England policy maker. In the research dated Thursday, David Blanchflower …
by confoundedinterest17 I have a new term for consumers that get beaten-up by The Fed’s massive distortion of markets. I call this being “Powell’d”. The latest example of consumers getting Powell’d in the University of Michigan consumer survey. Buying conditions for …
by Tom McClellan With rising worries about September’s bad reputation for the stock market, and with a small drawdown in stock prices, investors seem to have suddenly turned a lot more bearish. That bearishness constitutes fuel for sustaining an uptrend, as …
People tell me stonks are at record highs..if we’re really booming then why the purchasing power keeps collapsing? Why the crude birth rate is falling apart? Why do the central banks really need to inject trillions of liquidity? The …