Amphora’s John Butler: Currency market rigging likely would paint gold’s tape

by Chris Powell, GATA:

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

In his market letter for May, commodities fund manager John Butler of Amphora Capital in London describes the rationales and mechanisms of surreptitious currency market intervention by central banks, rationales and mechanisms that will be familiar to anyone who follows the gold market with even the slightest skepticism.

Drawing on a long conversation he had years ago with his professor of international economics in [...]

BREAKING! US SENATE: ‘Gang of Eight’ Using Scandals To Rush Immigration Reform. American people find out what’s in it they will rise up

Fog of Scandal: Senate Dems Trying to Rush Amnesty Bill to Floor, Sources Say

“Gang of Eight” members appear to be attempting to use the cover of multiple scandals hitting the Obama administration to rush the proposed immigration reform bill out of committee and onto the Senate floor.

On Monday night, the Judiciary Committee worked on a markup until around 10 p.m. “the expectation is that they will pull an all night [...]

Legalizing Their Criminality: Mafioso Congress Exempts Most Federal Workers From Key Insider Trading Reporting Requirement

from Zero Hedge:

Back in 2012, amid “intense pressure from Obama” including an appeal for its passage in his 2012 State of the Union address, Congress passed theStop Trading on Congressional Knowledge (STOCK) Act (with 96-3 theatrical votes in the Senate, and 417-2 even more theatrical votes in the House) – a bill prohibiting the use of non-public information for private profit, including insider trading by members of Congress and other government employees. [...]

Surge In Chinese Exports “More Curse Than Blessing” SocGen Says

The main news overnight was the Chinese February trade balance, which if the past several years were any indication, would have been a deficit in keeping with the cyclical economic weakness resulting from the Chinese Lunar New Year. Surprisingly, instead of a deficit, as SocGen explains Chinese exports came in massively above expectations in February, while imports were on the weak side. The strength of exports was bewildering, especially when [...]

‘GODFATHER’ CONSIDERS RUN FOR WHITE HOUSE

The 53-year-old Emanuel, who is busy raising money for his 2015 reelection campaign in the Windy City, has had discussions both over the phone and face to face in the past month with Democratic Party donors and fundraisers about a possible White House run, according to sources.

It’s unclear who raised the subject—Emanuel or the donors—and the mayor’s press secretary initially didn’t offer clarity on who said what to whom Hours [...]

F.D.A. Likely To Add Limits On Painkillers

Trying to stem the scourge of prescription drug abuse, an advisory panel of experts to the Food and Drug Administration voted on Friday to toughen the restrictions on painkillers like Vicodin that contain hydrocodone, the most widely prescribed drugs in the country.

The recommendation, which the drug agency is likely to follow, would limit access to the drugs by making them harder to prescribe, a major policy change that advocates said [...]

What you should know about the serious slowdown in stock market earnings

From The Reformed Broker:

What could go wrong?

The Fed is DJing the hottest dance party ever, and everyone is getting down. Well, not everyone, but you get the idea. Anyway, if there’s anything that could derail us, it’s an ordinary, cyclical recession. The kind we used to have before Greenspan decided they were no longer necessary.

Today, I’d like to talk about the relationship between earnings recessions and economic recessions. Because we’re [...]

We ARE in a jobs crisis! Romney joins skepticism about ‘too good to be true’ employment figures on campaign trail

Declaring that the nation is in a “jobs crisis,” Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney is charging ahead with his economic arguments after conservatives yesterday expressed dobut that newly released positive employment figures could be accurate.

Romney all but ignored the positive jobs numbers while campaigning Friday night in Florida, instead highlighting his strong debate performance and presenting a more compassionate message as he sought to overcome Obama’s narrow lead in the [...]

Iran preparing own version of Internet

The Iranian government, determined to limit Western influence and defend itself against cyberattacks, appears to have laid the technical foundations for a national online network that would be detached from the Internet and permit tighter control over the flow of information.

The concept of a self-contained network has been reverberating within Iran for almost a decade and has often been treated with skepticism, given the significant investment in infrastructure and security [...]

“Crash” Alert: The Euphoria Is Setting In, Markets Is Heading For A Crash

One of the world’s most popular and widely-owned stocks could be in big trouble

Is Apple Stock About To Crash?

I’m serious. Does it make you angry to read that? Do you feel like you’re doing something wrong going short America’s favorite stock? Is it a bad thing to wish awful things upon a company who provides us with such glorious technology?

Fortunately as market participants, we don’t have to care about any [...]

One huge reason to be cautious about stocks now

From Azizonomics:

“Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria. The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell.” – Sir John Templeton

Buy the fear, sell the greed.

Since bottoming-out in 2009 markets have seen an uptrend in equity prices…

Now it seems like the euphoria is setting in. And in [...]

Why do Keynesians Think More Spending will Stimulate the Economy?

By Stephanie Kelton Aug 30, 2012, 6:26 AM Author’s Website

My Twitter followers are constantly asking me if I think more spending would really help the economy recover. I understand their skepticism. Many are probably struggling with high debt levels, and the last thing they want is some economist urging them to rack up more debt for the good of the economy. (Bad advice, indeed.) Others have heard President Obama talk about putting Americans back to work [...]

One of the “most dangerous” White House bureaucrats is leaving his post

From Economic Policy Journal:

The most dangerous and evil bastard in the White House, Cass Sunstein, is leaving his WH post, reports WSJ.

WSJ states that:

Mr. Sunstein has long been an advocate of behavorial economics in setting policy, the notion that people will respond to incentives, and has argued for restraint in government regulations. As such, he was met with skepticism and opposition by some liberals when he was chosen at the start of [...]

Former Climate Change Skeptic Now Says Global Warming Is Man Made

He finally came around to what other climate scientists have been spouting for years. Richard A. Muller, a physics professor at the University of California-Berkeley, announced over the weekend that his much-publicized investigation into climate data has found that humans’ production of carbon dioxide is causing the world to slowly warm up. And this process could speed up dramatically in the next few years.

Muller’s conclusions attract special attention because of his vocal [...]

Must-see report details exactly why and how gold could soar

From Zero Hedge:

Erste Group’s Ronald Stoeferle, author of the critical “In gold we trust” report has just released the sixth annual edition of this all encompassing report which covers every aspect of the gold space. What follows are 120 pages of fundamental information that are a must read for anyone interested in the yellow metal.

From the report:

The foundation for new all-time-highs is in place. As far as sentiment is concerned, [...]

Has this woman been visited by the mother of God? Thousands of Americans trek to Alabama to witness woman who ‘can see the Virgin Mary’

A visit from a Croatian woman who claims to see the Virgin Mary on a daily basis drew thousands of people to a small Alabama town this week.

Many people travelled for days to be near the self-proclaimed visionary while one Washington woman even sold her home to take the trip.

Despite skepticism of prominent Catholics, the faithful said they trekked to Sterrett with hopes of hearing a message from the mother [...]

15,000 Americans trek to Alabama to witness woman who ‘can see the Virgin Mary’

A visit from a Croatian woman who claims to see the Virgin Mary on a daily basis drew thousands of people to a small Alabama town this week.

Many people travelled for days to be near the self-proclaimed visionary while one Washington woman even sold her home to take the trip. 

Visionary: Thousands of Americans trekked to Alabama to see Marija Pavlovic Lunetti, a Croatian woman who claims to see the Virgin [...]

STATES BALK AT GETTING DEEPER INTO MEDICAID

WASHINGTON — Millions of poor people could still be left without medical insurance under the national health care law if states take an option granted by the Supreme Court and decide not to expand theirMedicaid programs, state officials and health policy experts said Friday.

Republican officials in more than a half-dozen states said they opposed expanding Medicaid or had serious doubts about it, even though the federal government would pick up all the costs in the [...]

Spains requests $125 billion bailout

(Reuters) - Spain formally requested euro zone rescue loans on Monday to recapitalize banks that are laden with bad debts as the euro and shares fell due to investors’ skepticism that a European Union summit this week will act decisively on the bloc’s debt crisis.

Spanish Economy Minister Luis de Guindos asked for up to 100 billion euros ($125 billion) in a letter to Euro group chairman Jean-Claude Juncker, saying the final amount [...]

SHOCKING: SPAIN BAILOUT DETAILS BEGIN TO LEAK: 3% Interest Rate, No Payments For 5 Years!

When the Spain bailout was announced, the head of the European Commission made a big show of saying that the money would be provided on good terms for the lenders.

 

That appears to have been a crock.

Based on scuttlebutt printed in El Mundo (via Sharecast), here are some of the contemplated terms:

No payments until 2017
3% interest rate
10-year repayment schedule through 2017

Given that Spain’s 10-year bonds are currently trading at yields over 6%, [...]

All signs say the Spanish bailout has already failed

From Washington’s Blog:

The market rallied for a couple of hours on news of the $100 billion dollar Spanish bailout (which everyone is calling the Spailout) … and then crashed.

Bloomberg notes:

U.S. stocks fell, following the biggest weekly rally in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index this year, as optimism over Spain’s bailout plan gave way to skepticism it will succeed in halting the debt crisis.
 
…”The Spanish deal is another Band-Aid,” said [...]

REPORT: A Major Spanish Government Bailout Claim Is Already Falling Apart

The extent to which the latest Spanish bank bailout is coming without strings — a key claim made by the Spanish government — is in question.

 

ZeroHedge points to this article in El Pais, which includes this line.

In return for subsidized rates, Spain cede sovereignty over its financial system, but also lose tax sovereignty, contrary to what the Government said yesterday.

Meanwhile. Analyst skepticism is growing.

CNBC’s Kelly Evans writes:

What all the fancy-sounding acronyms in [...]

Spain’s Euro Bailout Might Boost Markets Tomorrow But Don’t be Fooled

Will Spain’s bailout boost the markets on Monday? As Abram Brown points out the markets are eager for good news. But there are serious question marks over the bail out. Not least that the Spanish can’t seem to agree on what they have agreed to. And Euro zone members don’t actually know how they are going to pull off this refinancing.

What they believe they have done is create a plan that [...]

Government stats now eyed with suspicion

Ryan W. McMaken
LRC Blog
June 2, 2012

Another one of the positive side effects of the current economic crisis is that even the government’s statistics, once accepted uncritically by the media, are now faced with some skepticism. As someone who examines government statistics often, I can say that government stats definitely have their uses, assuming you consider the methods used, and take it all with a grain of salt. But for years, [...]

Europe Austerity Leading to ‘Catastrophe,’ French Lawmaker Says “Austerity is everywhere and it’s a complete shipwreck”

From Bloomberg:

Austerity measures in the European Union are leading the region to a “catastrophe,” according to French Socialist lawmaker Arnaud Montebourg.

“Austerity is everywhere and it’s a complete shipwreck,” Montebourg said in an interview on BFMTV today.

President-elect Francois Hollande will meet German Chancellor Angela Merkel on May 15, the day of his inauguration, to try and overcome her skepticism to stimulus spending to counter a contraction in the euro economy this year.

The measures [...]

Why do new investors always take such a short-term view on Gold and Silver

Posted on 08 May 2012

It was curious recently to meet with some old friends who recalled a big argument we had four years ago about the merits of buying gold and silver.

They had to concede defeat. After all a portfolio equally split between those precious metals is up by around 80 per cent since then. In that time even Warren Buffett has underperformed the S&P that has basically gone nowhere [...]

China has lost its edge. It is (sometimes) cheaper to manufacture in the U.S. now.

04/23/12 China has lost its edge.

There was lots of skepticism about a piece in my March letter called “The Great Comeback No One Will Believe”  about the revival of U.S. manufacturing as China loses its cost advantage. But I continue to find evidence that the piece was spot on.

I had a good talk with Scott Huff, a principal at Innovate International, which does product development work and contract manufacturing for several industries. Scott’s [...]

S&P500 AT 800 BY YEAR END WITH BANKS AND APPLE THE WORST PERFORMERS

From Peter Tchir of TF Market Advisors

Europe Has Its Parti Quebecois Moment

I have said and written that I expect to see more nationalism come into play as the crisis continues.  I may have been a bit early, but we are seeing growing signs of it, with Marine le Pen’s strong showing in yesterday’s French election being the most obvious example.  The Dutch Parliament’s failure to approve “austerity” is another sign [...]

Bloomberg: Nine U.S. Banks Said to be Examined for Overdraft Practices

Nine U.S. Banks Said to be Examined for Overdraft Practices

By Carter Dougherty and Margaret Collins

 

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is scrutinizing nine banks including JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America on how they persuade customers to enroll in overdraft protection and their justification for fees. Planning enforcement against banks that “exploit consumers with deceptive marketing”, the agency will examine marketing material and customer service scripts to determine whether [...]

Apple Planning a $249 to $299 ‘iPad Mini’ This Year [RUMOR]

by Todd Wasserman

A month after Apple delivered its new iPad, rumors are heating up about a new iteration of the tablet designed to compete with Amazon’s Kindle Fire.

The latest rumor to make the rounds is that Apple is planning to produce 6 million smaller iPads for sale some time in the third quarter. The report, from Chinese portal NetEase, was translated by Kotaku.

The NetEase report is based on “Taiwan media reports” and is said to be based [...]

English Professor: “Climate Denial” In US a “Major Problem That’s Got To Be Addressed”

Jurriaan Maessen
Infowars.com
April 13, 2012

At a January 25 2011 lecture titled Stabilising the global population: Where next for the Millennium Development Goals for health and nutrition professor Anthony Costello of the Institute of Global Health told his audience that “climate denialism” in the US is “a major problem”, both culturally and politically, “that’s got to be addressed.”

Preceding these remarks Costello stressed that the phrase “climate skeptics” needs to be removed from the vocabulary [...]

Professor: Climate Change Skepticism a Sickness That Must be ‘Treated’

Global warming alarmist equates climate denial with racism

Paul Joseph Watson
Infowars.com
Friday, March 30, 2012

Comparing skepticism of man-made global warming to racist beliefs, an Oregon-based professor of sociology and environmental studies has labeled doubts about anthropogenic climate change a “sickness” for which individuals need to be “treated”.

Professor Kari Norgaard, who is currently appearing at the ‘Planet Under Pressure’ conference in London, has presented a paperin which she argues that “cultural resistance” [...]

TRADER ALERT: Volatility has collapsed to dangerous levels

From Bloomberg:

As VIX drops below 15 for the first time in almost a year, the clarion calls of ‘all-clear’ should perhaps be tempered with the record-steepness of the volatility term-structure. Simply put, everyone and his mom is now selling short-dated vol but mid-term vol remains stubbornly high — in English, we’re safe today but tomorrow could be a disaster — or given medium-term risk outlooks, short-term traders are the most [...]

IMF Scales Back Greek Aid to $23.6 Billion in Nation’s Second Rescue Deal

From Bloomberg:

The International Monetary Fund intends to contribute 18 billion euros ($23.6 billion) in fresh funds to the second aid package for Greece, scaling back IMF help for the nation that triggered Europe’s debt crisis.

The planned IMF contribution disclosed yesterday represents 14 percent of the 130 billion-euro second rescue of Greece being arranged with the euro area. The IMF accounted for 27 percent — or 30 billion euros — of [...]

Gingrich lead expands on final night (Newt up by 9)

Raleigh, N.C. – Newt Gingrich heads into South Carolina election day as the clear front runner in the state: he’s now polling at 37% to 28% for Mitt Romney, 16% for Rick Santorum, and 14% for Ron Paul. Gingrich’s lead has actually increased in the wake of his ex-wife’s controversial interview with ABC. Although one night poll results should always be interpreted with caution, he led the final night of [...]