‘Money Stimulus Marathon’ Good for Gold Price: Eric Winmill
Brian Sylvester of The Gold Report (2/8/13)
Eric Winmill, mining equities research analyst with Casimir Capital, sees great potential for small-cap metals producers and developers in the Americas—home to good infrastructure, skilled workers and great geology. In this Gold Report interview, Winmill also explains how “all-in” cash costs are making it easier for companies and investors to understand—and predict—cash-flow generation and identifies companies [...]
From Market Anthropology:
Below are two identical charts that I have been following this year, contrasting the U.S. dollar index and the large-cap/small-cap ratio as expressed by the SPX:RUT…
You will notice that over the past two decades, both series have trended together, with typically a lag between pivots — in what I refer to as the primary and secondary tides.
In essence, just as an oceans tidal effects are delayed by the [...]
From Wall Street Pit:
If you are looking for an edge in terms of Thursday’s highly anticipated Fed announcement, the statements leading up to the announcement of QE2 in 2010 are an excellent place to start. Thus far, 2012 has not strayed far from the 2010 QE script, meaning we believe it is only a matter of time before QE3 is announced.
QE2: Winning ETFs
Should the Fed announce another round of asset [...]
Never has there been a time in market history when more people who think of themselves as investors were actually gambling with their money. From Wall Street to Main Street the lines are blurry. Just look at the trials of JP Morgan (JPM), where even the bank itself confused hedging risk with making an enormous bet; and Facebook (FB), whose IPO created a frenzy that has so far lost [...]
1) ProShares Short S&P 500
If you think the latest selloff in equities is a harbinger of more widespread pain to come, then your broadest bet is the ProShares Short S&P 500 (NYSE:SH). This inverse ETF is designed to move in the opposite direction of the broad market S&P 500 Index.
Basically, if the S&P 500 were to go into correction mode, falling another 5% or so from where it trades [...]
From Dividend Growth Stocks:
Want to beat the market and get paid for waiting? To do so, you need to go where large institutional investors dare not go. It is not excessive risk that’s keeping them away.
Institutional investors, such as mutual funds, have restrictions that limit them from owning large positions in any single stock. Savvy investors know this and look for opportunities in these stocks…
In 1999, during Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK.A) [...]
Since the recession, mergers and acquisitions have been on the rise, keeping up the pace through 2011. According to my research, this trend will continue throughout 2012… and most of the action will occur in the small-cap sector, as valuable players are being snapped up by bigger players.
In today’s analysis, we look at five companies that offer strong future prospects that will attract the attention of bigger players. Four [...]
From Frank Holmes of U.S. Global Investors:
As the saying goes, “every dog has its day” and global markets appear to have followed this historical trend lately as last year’s dogs became the darlings of January. Notably, small-caps, copper, and junior resources stocks have climbed recently, indicating that momentum has shifted.
Take a look at the small-cap Russell 2000 Index, which was decimated in July, days before the 50-day moving average fell [...]
by Thomas H Kee
More interestingly, a significant outperformance has occurred recently in the Russell when compared to the Dow. In recent days money flows have been moving out of the more conservative and dividend-paying Dow, and into the Russell. At no time was that more apparent than in the last 30 minutes of trading on Wednesday. Clearly, investors have a higher appetite for risk right now, but something else exists [...]
From Frank Holmes of U.S. Global Investors:
In volatile markets, small stocks typically lag larger companies as investors flee what they perceive to be risk. However, this love affair with large caps is generally short lived as investors return to the beaten-up small caps when the turmoil subsides. Historically, small caps have outperformed their larger counterparts.
In 2011, junior miners were shunned, but Global Resources Fund (PSPFX) co-portfolio managers Evan Smith and [...]
Uploaded by Silverguru on Jan 16, 2012
RedChip Small-Cap Radio
David Morgan on Money, Metals & Mining
Last Trade Date = 12/2/2011
Next Trade Date = 12/5/2011
Last Trade Price = $44.33
Signal Period: ………… 30 Days ……… 30 to 180 ..……… 180+ Days
High Price Potential: ……… $48.49 ……… $48.68 ……… $76.65
Support/Resist: ..…………… $46.01 ……… $45.61 …….… $60.24
Bull/Bear Inflection: ……..… $43.53 ……… $42.54 ……… $43.83
Support/Resist: ..…………… $41.04 ……… $39.47 ….….… $27.41
Low Price Potential: ……..… $38.56 ……… $36.40 ….…… $11.00
MAX PRICE: ………… $53.24 ………… 20.11%
B/B CROSS: ………… $43.25 ………… -2.45%
MIN PRICE: [...]
by Brian Rogers of Fator Securities
Can Brazil Get Its Groove Back?
“Ever since I was a little girl I always heard Brazil was the country of the future. Now that the future is here, I am starting to fear it will be brief,”
- Cynthia Benedetto, the chief financial officer of Brazil’s flagship manufacturing firm, Embraer SA, the world’s No. 3 jet maker
Is the Samba Beat in Brazil A Little Off-Key [...]
You can visualize this easily by looking at the S&P 500 vs an economic surprise index (a measure that aggregates whether economic datapoints are on net beating or missing expectations). In the chart below, the sharp drop in the red line shows a major shift towards missing expectations.
What we’ve seen during earnings season provides some logical basis. Several companies say they were able to offset [...]
From Glaucus Research:
We recently conducted extensive due diligence on Gulf Resources, Inc. (“GFRE” or the “Company”). Our research included factory visits, examinations of U.S. and Chinese financial filings, and discussions with company representatives, vendors and local government officials.
In our report, we present compelling evidence that a rival, privately-held Chinese conglomerate owned by GFRE’s chairman and founder, is actually the legal owner of [...]
It’s paid to be bullish on U.S. stocks over the last two years. It’s been especially profitable over the last 12 months when compared to emerging markets like China. In the past year, the Shanghai Composite has fallen nearly 15% while the S&P 500 is up 17%. In 2011, the trend continues, the S&P 500 is up another 2% while the iShares MSCI Emerging Index Fund is down 2%.
Regardless, Peter [...]
by Andrew Crowder
Short-Term High-Probability, Mean-Reversion Indicator â€“ as of close 12/22/10
* S&P 500 (SPY) â€“ 78.8 (overbought)
* Dow Jones (DIA) â€“76.6 (overbought)
* Russell 2000 (IWM) â€“ 74.2 (overbought)
* NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) â€“ 77.3 (overbought)
* Biotech (IBB) â€“ 87.5 (very overbought)
* Consumer Discretionary (XLY) â€“ 73.4 (overbought)
* Health Care (XLV) â€“ 65.7 (neutral)
* Financial (XLF) â€“ 84.9 (very overbought)
* Energy (XLE) â€“ 78.1 (overbought)
* Gold Miners (GDX) â€“ 28.8 [...]
This is precisely the point of Nicholas Colas’ latest essay, in which he observes that “HFT exists among all market capitalizations, from micro cap to the largest of names in the S&P 500. The smaller end of the cap spectrum, however, has far more potential growth associated with it. Somewhere among these companies sits the â€œnext big thingâ€ that is currently undervalued. HFT strategies [...]
The IWM, Q’s and SPY traded over and closed over their previous top resistance on the daily charts therefore no double top chance of reversal for now and for any body reading my post must remember that in order for the markets to have a meaningful correction the stronger sectors need to fall along, on the SPY the RTH and IYT are very strong on the weekly charts and on [...]