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Bond market signals the US economy is getting worse and a stock market crash is on the way say top pros

 

April 26 (Bloomberg) — Aegis Capital CIO Stanley Crouch and The Philadelphia Trust Company President and CEO Mike Crofton discuss the economy, stocks and bonds with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television’s “Taking Stock.” (Source: Bloomberg)

 

RED ALERT: BOND MARKET CRASH DEAD AHEAD!
WATCH OUT! Up ~ 30bp for the 10 year!

Bill Gross said the three-decade bull run in bonds ended last week when the 10-year Treasury yield hit 1.67%, in his latest attempt [...]

GET READY: The World Is In For A Massive Shock Not Seen Since 1929!! The Next Financial Crisis Is Going To Be Disastrous!!

No Volume, No Problem

Margin debt and the next stock market crash

The latest fear on Wall Street is that record levels of margin debt may end up toppling the stock market rally. NYSE margin debt recently reached its highest level since 2007 before the last major stock market peak and credit crash. Stephen Suttmeier, technical research analyst at Bank of America, noted that margin debt, rose 28% in March from a [...]

The Stock Market Is On The Verge of Another Historic Collapse: Things Keeping Stocks From Corrections Are Also The Ingredients For A Stock Market Crash

3 Things Investors Are Telling Themselves To Explain The Divergence Between Stocks And The Economy

“Four months into the year, we are confronted by two indisputable facts,” says BofA Merrill Lynch rates guru David Woo. “One, U.S. data is weak. Two, markets are no longer troubled by weak U.S. data.”

The question Woo poses in his latest note to clients is simple: “Does anyone still care about weak data?”

Woo says no, citing three things clients [...]

WANRING: The Stage Is Set For The 3rd Stock-Market Crash of The 21st Century

The next major wave of the economic collapse is rapidly approaching and time is running out!!!
Margin debt hitting levels only seen ONE other time in history!

Some times in history, investors feel so confident about the future of stocks, they actually use up all their available cash and then borrow money to invest in the stock market.  Now is one of those times!!!

The chart below was created by Doug Short, see his outstanding work here.

CLICK [...]

History Tells Us That A Gold Crash + An Oil Crash = Guaranteed Recession

by Michael

Is the United States about to experience another major economic downturn?  Unfortunately, the pattern that is emerging right now is exactly the kind of pattern that you would expect to see just before a major stock market crash and a deep recession.  History tells us that when the price of gold crashes, a recession almost always follows.  History also tells us that when the price of oil crashes, a recession [...]

Are We Repeating The Run-Up To The 2008 Crash? Is It Just Part Of The Plan? Two Day Gold Crash Is One Of The Most Devastating Asset Sell-Offs Ever Witnessed On Wall Street, $1 Trillion Wiped Off, Despite Raising Demand, And No One Knows Why It Happened!! Goldman Tells Clients To Short Gold Days Before The Crash, And DHS Insider Warns A Major Dip In Precious Metals Is An Indication Of Next Economic Shock Coming

Let’s recap people:

*Federal Reserve says they want to quit printing money 

*Goldman Sacks cuts expectations on gold (forcing a sell off)

*500 tons of paper gold dumped on Friday (more pressure for sell off)

*DHS insider says collapse will happen in spring after metals get slammed (he’s right so far)

*Another insider says planned collapse to happen on April 25

*Those mysterious 100,000 put options expire on April 20 & April 25

Scariest Part of Gold Crash? [...]

So is it 2008 all over again? A sharp break in stocks coinciding with multiple fiscal crises – Is this collapse in the price of gold a harbinger of another major stock market crash?

The Long Wave Versus the Printing Press: Another 2008?

Marc Faber of the Gloom Boom Doom Report was interviewed by Bloomberg on Friday, and of course topic number one was the brutal takedown of gold. Not all that surprisingly, he likes the resulting buying opportunity and expects “a major low in gold within the next two weeks.”

More interesting from a theoretical/historical point of view was his segue from gold to the state of the global [...]

The World Could Be Heading Toward Another Major Stock Market Crash As The Global Economy And The Markets Are On The Verge of A Major Inflection Point And Slowdown Is Accelerating Across the Board

We May Be Witnessing Inflections In The Economy And The Markets Right Now

In recent years, we’ve seen the economy slow and the stock market turn during the spring.

Economic reports are piling up to suggest the U.S. economy is heading for yet another spring slowdown.

This week will be loaded with more economic reports and a wave of earnings announcements.  Companies like General Electric, Bank of America, McDonald’s, Google, and Johnson & Johnson will publish [...]

11 Economic Crashes That Are Happening RIGHT NOW – Just Like We Saw Back In 2008, It Is Taking Stocks A Little Bit of Extra Time To Catch Up With Economic Reality

By Michael

The stock market is not crashing yet, but there are lots of other market crashes happening in the financial world right now.  Just like we saw back in 2008, it is taking stocks a little bit of extra time to catch up with economic reality.  But almost everywhere else you look, there are signs that a financial avalanche has begun.  Bitcoins are crashing, gold and silver are plunging, the [...]

Robert Wiedemer, Martin Feldstein, & Peter Schiff: Bernanke’s Money From Heaven Will Be The Path To Hell. Interest Rates Will Rise, And Bubbles Will Burst. Market-Crushing Treasury Collapse To Hit Around 2013

Controversial Interview Exposes 5 Signs Stocks Will Collapse in 2013

“After putting $803,436 in Obama’s re-election campaign, a media giant attempted to keep Americans from seeing the video by banning it from their sites,” stated Aaron DeHoog, the financial publisher who is unapologetic for the release of controversial footage that has gained international attention.

The video DeHoog is referring to is a stunning interview with famed economist Robert Wiedemer, author of the [...]

After One Of The Greatest Stock Market Crashes Ever, Cyprus Is About To Crash All Over Again

The Cyprus stock market once had a good run.

Opened in 1996, it reached as high as 5,500 points in Fall 2007. That was just before the country entered the Eurozone.

But right now the Cyprus market is closed indefinitely as a result of the country’s financial meltdown.

And as soon as it reopens, it will restart one of the greatest wipeouts in market history, as TD Securities’ Richard Gilhooly notes in an email sent [...]

PAUL B. FARRELL: The 3rd Stock-Market Crash of The 21st Century Is Coming And Mr. Market Will Soon Lose $10 Trillion of Your Money, Repeating 2008 And 2000. How Much Will You Lose This Time Around?

By Paul B. Farrell, MarketWatch

 

How much will you lose this time around? Four years ago, on March 30, 2009, our column headline announced:“6 reasons I’m calling a bottom and a new bull.”

The Dow fell from 14,164. Hit bottom at 6,547. And Wall Street lost over $10 trillion of America’s retirement market cap. You lost lots. But it’s back up more than 100% since. We forget.

Time for another crash? [...]

The most expensive home in New York: Lavish penthouse owned by trader who predicted 1987 market crash to go for $120million

A triple storey penthouse on top of one of New York’s best hotels is due to break the record books  by going on sale for an eye-watering $120million.

The 12,000 square foot penthouse on the top three floors of the luxury Pierre hotel is predicted to sell for up to $120million which would make it New York’s most expensive piece of real estate and one of the country’s most expensive homes.

It [...]

Is it time for markets to panic? Gasoline prices are approaching the “danger zone”, Copper prices indicate a more precipitous decline in risk assets, Consumers are clipping coupons at a rate not seen since before the 2007 recession… Warning signs are all over the place!

Report shows gasoline prices could be approaching the “danger zone”

From PragCap:

… Watching the Daytona 500 from the “danger zone,” where cars whip by at high speeds of around 175 mph to 200 mph — but can also burst through the walls in a crash — can be a thrill.

But gasoline’s “danger zone” may be just plain scary.

At $3.75, retail gasoline prices are nearly back in the “danger zone” marked by [...]

STOCKS FALL: The ‘Moment Of Truth’ Is Coming For The US Economy This Week, G-7 Reportedly Weighs Issuing Currency Statement, Eurozone Braces for Worst Quarterly Output Since Lehman Aftermath…

STOCKS FALL

It was a quiet day to kick off a quiet week.

 

First the scoreboard:

Dow: 13,971, -21.7, -0.1 percent
S&P 500: 1,517, -0.9, -0.0 percent
NASDAQ: 3,192, -1.8, -0.0 percent

And now the top stories:

There was no major economic reports or earnings announcements today.  Furthermore, much of Asia has been closed in observation of the Lunar New Year.
Speaking of New Years’, it’s now the year of the snake.  UBS’s Art Cashin pointed out this morning that years of [...]

Watch The Financial Markets In Europe: The Situation Is Unraveling At A Frightening Pace!!

by Michael

Is the financial system of Europe on the verge of a meltdown?  I have always maintained that the next wave of the economic crisis would begin in Europe, and right now the situation in Europe is unraveling at a frightening pace.  On Monday, European stocks had their worst day in over six months, and over the past four days we have seen the EUR/USD decline by the most that it has in [...]

The Start Of A Historic Global Financial Meltdown: US Economy Is Slipping Into Reverse, Europe Goes Back Into Collapse Mode, And Hyperinflation Is Coming To Every “Developed” Country Near You!!

Next Stop for the US Economy: Train Wreck!

by Bill Bonner, Daily Reckoning.com.au:

‘US economy slips into reverse,’ was the headline in the Financial Times.

The US economy didn’t move ahead in the last quarter of 2012. Instead, it started backing up at a 0.1% annual rate, to be precise.

That didn’t seem to bother anyone. They hardly noticed; and they didn’t seem to care what direction it was actually going. The Dow slid a little, but not much.

In the bar [...]

Is This The Beginning Of A Horrifying Stock Market Crash In Europe?

by Michael

Are we witnessing the start of a historic financial meltdown in Europe?  In recent days, two massive corruption scandals have greatly shaken confidence in European financial markets.  The first involves Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy.  It is being alleged that he has been receiving illegal cash payments, and the calls for his resignation grow louder with each passing day.  The second is a derivatives scandal at the third largest bank [...]

2013: We Are Witnesses To A Grand Disconnect Of Hope/Perception From Reality AGAIN Like 2007

SHOCK: U.S. ECONOMY SHRINKS As DOW Is Flirting 14000.

GDP Shows Surprise Drop for U.S. in Fourth Quarter

The U.S. economy posted a stunning drop of 0.1 percent in the fourth quarter, defying expectations for slow growth and possibly providing incentive for more Federal Reserve stimulus.

The economy shrank from October through December for the first time since the recession ended, hurt by the biggest cut in defense spending in 40 years, fewer [...]

Goldman Sachs And The Big Hedge Funds Are Pushing Leverage To Ridiculous Extremes

by Michael

As stocks have risen in recent years, the big hedge funds and the “too big to fail” banks have used borrowed money to make absolutely enormous profits.  But when you use debt to potentially multiply your profits, you also create the possibility that your losses will be multiplied if the markets turn against you.  When the next stock market crash happens, and the gigantic pyramid of risk, debt and leverage [...]

A Massive Stock Market Crash Is Imminent: These Men Predicted Current Economic Crises. No One Listened, Well They’re Warning Us Again Video

There are a few men who have tried their best to warn America about the economy and the recession we just went through and Mainstream Media laughed at them, Mainstream Media is covering up our economic woes yet again.

Now the same men that Mainstream Media laughed at the last 12 years are speaking out once more. Ignore them are you own peril.

 

Warnings That A Massive Stock Market Crash Is Imminent

In [...]

Major Recession in 2013: US November Trade Deficit Soars To $48.7 Billion, Downward Q1 GDP Revisions Imminent!!! Wells Fargo And Morgan Stanley Layoff Thousands Ahead of Q4 Earning Reports. Inflation Running at 7% or Higher And The Market Is At Its Most Risk-On Level Since Just Before The Stock Market Crash That Began In 2007′s Third Quarter.

US November Trade Deficit Soars To $48.7 Billion, Downward Q1 GDP Revisions Imminent

So much for the US trade renaissance. After posting a better than expected October trade deficit of ($42.1) billion, November saw the net importer that is the US revert to its old ways, with a massive deficit of some $48.7 billion - the worst number since April, far more than the $41.3 billion in expectations, which makes it the biggest [...]

Stock Market APOCALYPSE 12/21/12? – DOW FUTURES CRASHING!! A Massive Stock Market Crash Starting Now?

breaking

DJIA INDEX  -204

S&P 500 -23.30

NASDAQ 100 -43.50

 

http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/stocks/futures/

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=INDICES&p=m5

http://money.cnn.com/data/premarket/

No, really, there is a big, huge, massive rotation out of those dangerous, inflationary bonds into safe, predictable equities…

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-12-20/futures-flash-crash-es-plummets-limit-down

 

Boehner’s Plan B Is In Serious Trouble, And Republicans Are Holding An Emergency Meeting

House Speaker John Boehner‘s “Plan B” bill was shelved temporarily tonight after he failed to get enough Republicans to support the measure, in what was a rather embarrassing setback for the Ohio Republican.

 

Boehner said in a statement [...]

Mayan Apocalypse Week: A Massive Earthquakes And Stock Market Crash Is Coming?

Stock exchange analyst predicts earthquakes for ‘Mayan Apocalypse’ day

IN RECENT MONTHS, Art Cashin – director of floor operations for UBS at the New York Stock Exchange – has been warning about increased earthquake activity driven by peculiar planetary and solar angles.

It might not sound like it should be part of his job, but spotting trends, patterns and predicting events which might have an impact on trade markets, is of course part of [...]

Impending Stock Market Crash: Time Is Short, Too Many Problems To Solve. The Fiscal Cliff Negotiations Are Failing. If US Can’t Avert Fiscal Cliff, Everything Will Collapse!

breaking

IMF Chief Christine Lagarde Warns U.S. of Worldwide Effects of Fiscal Cliff

from Guardian.co.uk:

International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde has warned the US it has the potential to be its “own worst enemy” over the fragile economic recovery and that failure to reach a comprehensive settlement over the fiscal cliff could see growth plummet to zero.

In forthright comments over the impending fiscal cliff, the IMF managing director said that “if the US [...]

Economists, Financial Experts, And Business Professionals: Things Are Going To Get Worse In 2013

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Controversial Interview Exposes 5 Signs Stocks Will Collapse in 2013

from Money News:

Wiedemer, best known for correctly predicting the collapse of the U.S. housing market, equity markets, and consumer spending that almost sank the United States during the “Great Recession”, provides disturbing evidence in the video interview for 50 percent unemployment, a 90 percent stock market crash, and 100 percent annual inflation . . . starting as soon as 2013.

When the [...]

Major Indicators Flash Recession Warning: Savings Deposits Inflows, Capital Spending, And Household Debt Just Hit Recessionary Level While Derivative Markets Starting to Crack

breaking

Is The Largest Weekly Inflow Into Bank Savings Accounts On Record, A Flashing Red Alarm?

from Zerohedge:

When one thinks of America, the word “savings” is likely the last thing to come into a person’s head, for the simple reason that the vast majority of Americans don’t save: recall that in September the personal savings rate dipped to 3.3%, the lowest since 2009 save for one month.

On the surface this makes sense: the average US [...]

This Is How Armageddon Sounds: Listen To The Stock Market Flash Crash – Tick By Tick

breaking

Many of you have heard this clip before.  For those of you who have not, buckle up.  Audio of a S&P 500 trader quoting the action that was taking place in the futures pit in Chicago at the CME.  The market lost nearly $1 trillion within minutes and then recovered most of the losses.  The DJIA and S&P 500 futures fell 10% intra-day.

S&P 500 Futures Pit on May 6, 2010.  Start [...]

President, Democrats And Republicans: ‘No Room’ For Negotiation On Fiscal Cliff

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Wonder why markets keep going lower? 

 

Is there wiggle room in fiscal cliff negotiations?

Both sides of the aisle have taken hardline stance on higher tax rates for wealthy Americans. So, is there any wiggle room in the negotiations to avoid the fiscal cliff? Wyatt Andrews reports.

Boehner: Obama “has to lead” on taxes, immigration

 

Bruce Krasting: President Obama Has Drawn A Dangerous Line In The Sand

So both Boehner and Obama have done their post election [...]

Stock Market Panic In Progress: S&P Is Now Right On Its 200-DMA, Largest Tax Hikes In The History Of America Imminent, Rail Traffic Turned Down Sharply This Week, Global Credit Cycle Lurches Down, People In Spain Are Experiencing Inhuman Situations, And Greece Unlikely To Get Bailout Next Week

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Stock Market Crash Next Week? 

TRADER ALERT: S&P Is Now Right On Its 200-Day Moving Average

The Stock Market Is Tumbling Again, And It’s Right On The Infamous 200-Day Moving Average

Alert! The stock market is falling.

And the S&P is now right on its 200-day moving average (the red line in this chart) which some people see as an important “support” level.

If we break through it, some people might freak out.

From Stockcharts.com >

 

Stockcharts.com

via MarketWatch:

Cycle work suggests [...]