Don’t Be Misled By The Low US Unemployment Rate, It Goes Low Just Prior To A Recession (Treasury Curve Remains Deeply Inverted, Mortgage Rates Rise)

by confoundedinterest17 Biden’s State of the Union address saw him bragging about his record job creation (actually, it was the private sector, not Biden than created jobs) and historic unemployment rate. What Biden didn’t mention (along with not discussing the porous …

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US Jobs: Private Payrolls Rise By 233k In October After Rising 319k In September (-27% MoM), Unemployment Rate Edges Up To 3.7% As Wage Growth Cools To 4.7% (Too Bad Inflation Is At 8.2%)

by confoundedinterest17 President Biden just lost one of his midterm election talking points. “The U-3 unemployment rate the lowest since (garbled) at 3.5%!” Because it now has risen in October to 3.7%. Private payrolls added 233k jobs in October, which is a …

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Unemployment Rate Will Turn Up

by Tom McClellan It has been a great accomplishment that the unemployment rate has fallen in the 2 years since the misguided Covid shutdown in 2020, and is almost back to the pre-Covid low.  But this progress is likely coming to …

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California: Highest Unemployment & Fraud

The California Employment Development Department (EDD) recently reported that its best estimate of fraudulent unemployment payments totals at least $20 billion. That makes it easily the largest fraud in U.S. history and is more than the entire state budget of …

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