Peter Schiff: Even The Big Mac Indicator Shows 6% Inflation

By Gold Silver Worlds

In his latest video commentary, entitled GDP propaganda exposed, Peter Schiff comments on the latest disappointing US GDP figures. The first quarter of this year was expected to see a 3% increase, but the GDP grew only 2.5% (source: Reuters). Schiff discusses the increase of 3.2% in consumer spending which appears to be the largest in a couple of years. The question he asks is where consumers are getting [...]

“Gold Shortage” Seen in Asia with “Physical Market Still Tight”

London Gold Market Report

from Ben Traynor, BullionVault

Friday 26 April 2013, 07:45 EST

 

“Gold Shortage” Seen in Asia with “Physical Market Still Tight”

 

GOLD drifted lower towards $1460 an ounce Friday morning in London, having climbed to its highest level since last week’s price drop at $1485 during Asian trading.

 

“The next resistance level is $1487,” says a note from technical analysts at Scotia Mocatta published late Thursday.

 

“Should we trade through that, we believe it [...]

Declining Empires, Diminishing Returns and Economic Inertia

blog.milesfranklin.com / By Andrew Hoffman / April 22nd, 2013

In the below article, Zero Hedge published one of the most alarming – and damning – charts imaginable, regarding the outlook for the dying American “empire”…

The Great Unrotation in US GDP

Specifically, it plots the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield against nominal GDP over the past 53 years; depicting a peak in “nominal GDP” during the nation’s most poignant inflation spike since the Civil War (in 1979); and in 10-year [...]

When GDP won’t grow, change the way you calculate it!

Those who have been following the US debt to GDP ratio now that the US officially does not have a debt ceiling indefinitely, may have had the occasional panic attack seeing how this country’s leverage ratio is rapidly approaching that of a Troika case study of a PIIG in complete failure. And at 107% debt/GDP no explanations are necessary. Luckily, the official gatekeepers of America’s economic growth (with decimal point [...]

Americans In No Mood To Shop: Retail Sales Drop by Most in Nine Months And Shoppers Stay Home Even With Cheaper Gas Prices!

Retail Sales Drop by Most in Nine Months in Sign of Consumer Caution

U.S. retail sales fell in March from February by the most in nine months, indicating higher taxes and weak hiring have made consumers more cautious about spending.

 

The Commerce Department says retail sales declined a seasonally adjusted 0.4 percent last month. That followed a 1 percent gain in February. Both February and January’s figures were revised lower.

Consumers cut back [...]

Don’t Be Fooled, GDP Growth Was Even Worse than -0.14%

by Phoenix Capital Research

 

A few weeks ago we commented that the Great Global Rig of 2012 was ending. Yesterday’s GDP print confirms this.

We noted in the second half of 2012 that the US Federal Government was engaging in a massive rig to make the economy look better than it really was in order to help the Obama re-election campaign. This showed up in the jobs data as well as the 3Q12 [...]

US Economy Is At Depression-Era Levels: This Slow Motion Economic Collapse…Beyond The Obvious — Mountains Of Deficit And Debt. It Is About Polarization” In Washington And Dysfunctional Structure Of The Current US Economy… US GDP Priced In Gold Worst In A Century. Stop The Debt, Spending, & Wars!!!

breaking

When Priced in Gold, the US economy is at Depression-Era Levels

 

sovereignman: As we slide into the end of yet another year in which the nominal price of gold has posted a positive return, I thought it would be interesting to take a look back on history to get a better understanding of where we are today.

It’s obvious that, for many reasons, the size of the global economy is far greater than [...]

American Prosperity? US GDP As Percentage Of World GDP 31.8% in 2001- Down to 21.6% by 2011

Creating the illusion of economic growth is easy if you can print money. It’s a prank you can play on an entire country. Cut the value of the currency in half and the economy’s size will appear to double.

The only way to accurately measure changes in a nation’s economy is to do so relative to the world (see Notes for non-nerds below before protesting). According to the World Bank, the [...]

Is This the Last Push Before the Big Collapse?

by Phoenix Capital Research

With most of Wall Street on vacation, those few traders manning their desks are taking advantage of the low volume to push the market sharply higher. This, combined with a large move up by the Euro has pulled the entire risk trade up forcing the US Dollar lower.

This move was to be expected on some levels. Since 2002, there has been a rally from just before Thanksgiving [...]

Gold To Rally Strongly In November After Expected October Correction

by GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,704.00, EUR 1,316.44, and GBP 1,057.01 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,715.00, EUR 1,317.71, and GBP 1,063.24 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $31.76/oz, €24.72/oz and £19.80/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,552.80/oz, palladium at $594.20/oz and rhodium at $1,045/oz.

Gold climbed $11.80 or 0.69% in New York yesterday and closed at $1,712.70. Silver surged to a high of $32.232 and finished with a gain of [...]

U.S. GDP view cut to 1.7% after durables data!!! KC FED MANUFACTURING INDEX -4 (Est. +5)!!!

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Ahead of Friday’s release of gross domestic product data for the third quarter, a MarketWatch-compiled consensus of economist forecasts has dropped to 1.7% from 1.8%. J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo are among those who have cut their estimates. “It was in the core (nondefense, ex-aircraft) capital goods figures where the numbers fell short. Core capital goods orders were flat last month and core capital goods [...]

Gold Sentiment Increasingly Positive – Market Looks for Signal This Week

by GoldCore

 

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,616.50, EUR 1,317.87, and GBP 1,029.75 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,618.75, EUR 1,321.43 and GBP 1,031.51 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $27.66/oz, €22.65/oz and £17.68/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,409.50/oz, palladium at $571.15/oz and rhodium at $1,125/oz.

Gold climbed $7.80 or 0.48% in New York on Friday and closed at $1,623.40/oz. Silver rose to a high of $27.839, edged off a few times, [...]

Here Are 8 Huge Differences Between Stocks And The Economy

It can’t be reiterated enough that U.S. stocks and the U.S. economy don’t tell the same story.

David Bianco, Deutsche Bank’s Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, often points to these differences when he frames calls on the stock market.

“S&P 500 globalization accelerated in the past decade, further increasing the differences between US GDP and the S&P 500,” he writes.

Here’s a breakdown of eight big differences.

 

Deutsche Bank

 

Lately, Bianco has had a bearish slant in his research [...]

On The Verge Of A Historic Inversion In Shadow Banking

While everyone’s attention was focused on details surrounding the household sector in the recently released Q1 Flow of Funds report (ours included), something much more important happened in the US economy from a flow perspective, something which, in fact, has not happened since December of 1995, when liabilities in the deposit-free US Shadow Banking system for the first time ever became larger than liabilities held by traditional financial institutions, or [...]

Rather than me trying to quantify the costs of the bank bail outs lets see what the well known marxist Andrew Haldane of the Bank of England estimates it to be.

The actual real scale of the transfer of funds from the banks onto the public purse is staggering.

Haldanes putting the subsidy COST at £60 billion a year-

http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/speeches/2010/speech433.pdf

“The narrowest fiscal interpretation of the cost of crisis would be given by the wealth transfer from the government to the banks as a result of the bailout. Plainly, there is a large degree of uncertainty about the eventual loss governments may face. But [...]

Recovery or Collapse? Bet on Collapse – Paul Craig Roberts

The US financial system and, probably, the financial system of Europe, like the police, no longer serves a useful social purpose.

In the US the police have proven themselves to be a greater threat to public safety than private sector criminals. I just googled “police brutality” and up came 183,000,000 results. (Here are two recent brutal assaults, one deadly, by police on hapless individuals: Http://Latimesblogs.Latimes.Com/Lanow/2012/05/Kelly-Thomas-Video-Dad-They-Are-Killing-Me-.Html and Http://Www.Informationclearinghouse.Info/Article31364.Htm )

The cost to society of the private financial [...]

Recovery or Collapse? Bet on Collapse

Paul Craig Roberts
Infowars.com
May 21, 2012

The US financial system and, probably, the financial system of Europe, like the police, no longer serves a useful social purpose.

In the US the police have proven themselves to be a greater threat to public safety than private sector criminals. I just googled “police brutality” and up came 183,000,000 results. (Here are two recent brutal assaults, one deadly, by police on hapless individuals: http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2012/05/kelly-thomas-video-dad-they-are-killing-me-.html and http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article31364.htm )

The cost to society [...]

10 Reasons Why The Coming Week Could Be Huge

by Cliff Wachtel, anyoption

 

The following is Part 2 of our weekly review and preview strategy guide for traders and investors of all major asset classes via both traditional instruments and binary options, covering coming week’s market movers and trade ramifications.

See Part 1 For Prior Week Market Movers, Lessons & Ramifications

1. MAY 3 ECB MEETING

As noted in Part 1 regarding the lessons of last week, the fall of the Dutch government and first round socialist [...]

Foreign Minister Jose Manuel Garcia-Margallo: ‘Spain is in a crisis of huge proportions’

Spanish unemployment hits record 5.64 million

“The figures are terrible for everyone and terrible for the government… Spain is in a crisis of huge proportions,” Foreign Minister Jose Manuel Garcia-Margallo said.

The new government has announced reforms to the labour market, including cutting back on severance pay and restricting inflation-linked salary increases, that it hopes will ease the problem.

New figures show 25% of Spaniards out of work
• Downgrade pushes yields through 6%
• [...]

Q1 American debt and GDP: It takes $2.52 in new debt to increase $1 of GDP

Presented without much commentary, because little is necessary: the only ratio that matters for the US economy, the change in US public debt ($359.1 billion) and US GDP ($142.4) in the first quarter, hit 2.52x and rising.

It takes $2.52 in new debt to “buy” $1 of economic “growth”

Source: Debt to the Penny, Commerce Dept

 

- ZH

Jim Sinclair: Details Of The $291 Trillion In Derivatives To Which American Taxpayers Are Exposed

Click Here To View The Original Article On Seeking Alpha…

Details Of The $291 Trillion In Derivatives To Which American Taxpayers Are Exposed 
April 17, 2012  |

The entire US GDP is less than $15 trillion each year. The gross notional amount of derivatives issued in the USA is more than $291 trillion. Does that sound like a lot? Apologists for derivatives dealers don’t like it when we talk about derivatives in terms [...]

Dagong, the Chinese rating agency, has been claiming for a while that the US GDP is much smaller than $15 trillion:

“In the components of the U.S. GDP in 2009, the financial services sector accounted for 21.4%

while the real economy sector accounted for 65%.The total output value of the U.S.

financial services industry is composed of two major parts: one is the transferred

production value, most of which comes from value distribution of participating in

international production. Another part is the inflated value originated from credit innovation,

which belongs to bubble value. In addition, due to [...]

Beyond Currency Wars, The Coming Global Gold Standard W/John Butler

Uploaded by CapitalAccount on Apr 2, 2012

Follow us @
http://twitter.com/laurenlyster
http://twitter.com/coveringdelta

Welcome to Capital Account. The S&P 500 stock index has had its best yearly start vis-à-vis gold in over a decade, and bond traders see a rebound for treasuries after the most tumultuous quarter since 2010. Meanwhile, Greenspan going to bat for his old right-hand at the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, for all the criticism he has taken in recent months, in particular for [...]

GoldCore: Iran Oil Flow Slows, Price Fears Rise – Risk of War to Support Gold

From GoldCore:

Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,655.75, EUR 1,245.86, and GBP 1,041.22 per ounce. Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,677.00, EUR 1,255.62 and GBP 1,052.00 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $31.84/oz, €23.97/oz and £20.05/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,630.20/oz, palladium at $639./oz and rhodium at $1,350/oz.

Cross Currency Table – (Bloomberg)

Gold fell $18.20 or 1.84% in New York yesterday and closed at $1,663.10/oz. Gold traded sideways in Asia prior [...]

Societe General: “Sharp” Gold Rally As US GDP Surprises “Dramatically” to Downside

From GoldCore:

Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,648.50, EUR 1,248.86, and GBP 1,039.01 per ounce.

Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,654.00, EUR 1,256.93 and GBP 1,044.26 per ounce.

Cross Currency Table – (Bloomberg)

Gold rose $2.60 in New York yesterday to close at $1,662.70/oz. Gold dropped in Asia this morning and losses continued in Europe where gold is now trading at $1,649.90/oz.

The superficially rosy US economic outlook has dimmed gold’s safe [...]

It’s Official: US Debt-To-GDP Passes 100%

by ZH

With precisely one year left for the world and all of its inhabitants, at least according to the Mayans, not to mention on the day of the Winter Solstice, it is only fitting that US debt, net of all settlements for all already completed bond auctions, is now at precisely $15,182,756,264,288.80. Why is this relevant? Because the latest annualized US GDP, According To The BEA, was $15,180,900,000.00. Which means that, as of [...]

Karl Denninger warned of the “very real” risk for customers with money in the bank of losing it all, insured or not – a risk as real as “customers of MF Global have now discovered ‘the hard way

Here is Denninger in Let’s Make the Clawback Risk REAL:

I want to make absolutely sure it doesn’t go over your head because if you’re wrong about thisyou could lose everything in your bank and investment accounts — every single dime.

FDIC / SIPC insured or not.

Recently Bank of America transferred a bunch of derivatives into their banking arm.  “A bunch” means somewhere around $80 trillion worth.

Now pay very careful attention, because part of the bankruptcy “reform” law in 2005 placed derivative [...]

China: Continued Boom or Bursting Bubble?

by Jim Quinn of The Burning Platform

China: Continued Boom or Bursting Bubble?

In a recent article, How China Ate America’s Lunch, Clif Carothers described what China has accomplished in the last thirty years:

In thirty short years, China was able to accelerate her GDP from $216 billion to $6 trillion. She amassed reserve capital of $3 trillion. She reversed America’s fortunes from the greatest creditor nation [...]

Thanks to our kleptocratic owned government, it can still get far worse. Just read a transcript of this phone call:

Ben: Barry, we’ve got a little problem here at the Fed. Remember that $1.25 trillion in junk mortgage backed securities we bought from the six big Wall Street holding banks that own and control us? Well, we want to get that junk off of our balance sheet, because all the foreclosing collateral, behind these taxpayer guaranteed mortgages, is going to render this toxic waste close [...]

GDP Growth Inches Up to 1.9%, Durable Goods Increase by 1.9% (Exp 1.5%), Core Up 0.6%, Below Consensus 0.9%

by ZH

Data dump from today’s two economic releases:

•    US GDP (Annualised) Q/Q (Q1 T) 1.9% vs. Exp. 1.9% (Prev. 1.8%)
•    US GDP Price Index Q/Q (Q1 T) 2.0% vs. Exp. 1.9% (Prev. 1.9%)
•    US Personal Consumption Q/Q (Q1 T) 2.2% vs. Exp. 2.2% (Prev. 2.2%)
•    US PCE Core Q/Q (Q1 T) 1.6% vs. Exp. 1.4% (Prev. 1.4%)
•    US Durable Goods Orders (May) M/M 1.9% vs. Exp. 1.5% (Prev. -3.6% Rev. [...]

US corporations not only offshored their production for US consumer markets, but they simultaneously moved offshore “US GDP, US tax base, US consumer income, and irreplaceable opportunity for American citizens.”

by JR

It is not news that many of the millions of jobs added from 1990 to 2008 are “non-tradable” or jobs that don’t produce goods and services that can be exported and, therefore, can’t be produced in locations distant from their markets, i.e., offshored.

But research just released from Michael Spence and Sandile Hiatshwayo shows, in fact, that almost all of the incremental employment of 27.3 [...]

The big six Wall Street holding banks had perfect trading quarters. How did they do that against all odds?

by black swan

By using free money from the Fed and the Taxpayers, and employing huge leverage and lightning fast computers, they were able to rig the market and swing in any direction they chose. The average stock is held for only 22 seconds, because a handful of quant traders controls an over whelming percentage of the whole market. They always have inside information, because they [...]

Latest: Goldman’s Hatzius just issued his second preliminary downgrade warning for US GDP.

To wit:

1. Durable goods orders disappointed expcectations with a 0.9% drop. It’s a “what you see is what you get” report, as durables ex transporation and nondefense capital goods order ex aircraft likewise disappointed by a sizable margin. Indeed, the latter measure of core capital goods orders is now tracking at double-digit negative rates in the first quarter so far, although core capital goods [...]

Risk Off: Commodity Complex Jumps On Reports Libyan Oil Wells Near Benghazi On Fire

by ZH

In a not so surprising turn of events, adverse Libyan newsflow has picked up just as expected, with Reuters reporting that the Oil facility at Zueitina, south of Benghazi, is now damaged and oil wells are now on fire, and that a Libyan rebel convoy is now headed to Ras Lanuf according to Al Jazeera even as fighting in Tripoli picks up, although as we [...]

Today alone, WTI (April) has surged from $90 yesterday to over $98 in electronic trading which may have taken out as much as 5% of annualized GDP (see below).

by ZH

Either this is some computer gone haywire in the closed session, or when America wakes up tomorrow we may be on the verge of another flash crash. As for Brent, it passed $108.50. As a reminder, and people forget this all too readily, each dollar jump in crude wipes out $100 billion in US GDP. That means that at face value, today’s move in the [...]