valuations
It’s different this time = everyone jamming $$ into equities at 90th %tile valuations and ahead of the Fed that is embarking on the biggest tightening campaign in 40yrs.
It’s different this time = everyone jamming $$ into equities at 90th %tile valuations and ahead of the Fed that is embarking on the biggest tightening campaign in 40yrs. pic.twitter.com/KdvJREidPL — Greg (@GS_CapSF) April 7, 2022 The Ameritrade position index …
Hiking Rates Into Peak Valuations Is A Mistake
By Lance Roberts Hiking rates into a wildly overvalued market is potentially a mistake. So says Bank of America in a recent article. Optimists expecting the stock market to weather the rate-hike cycle as they’ve done in the past are …
High Inflation Means Lower Equity Valuations – Shiller’s CAPE at 40 today, likely to drop to 25 at 5% inflation. 37% equity decline possible.
High Inflation Means Lower Equity Valuations – Shiller's CAPE at 40 today, likely to drop to 25 at 5% inflation. 37% equity decline possible. h/t @michaellebowitz @jam_croissant @spotgamma @AnnTrades @HarrisSamaras #trading #TRADINGTIPS #ES_F #SPX500 #OptionsTrading #Options pic.twitter.com/nqSyDzAf77 — Patrick Hill …
Worse than 2008: Record margin, inflows, valuations, issuance…
If you're bearish or can fog a mirror, it doesn't get any better or worse than this: Inflation maniaFed policy errorDebt ceilingChina/EM PlosionAsset super bubbleOmnibombOPEC+++Record margin, inflows, valuations, issuance What else did all of today's pundits miss? pic.twitter.com/YVTOoI60Vl — Mac10 …
Fed Issues Stock Market Warning As Valuations Surge
By Lance Roberts In the semi-annual Financial Stability Report, the Fed issued a stock market warning as elevated valuations are causing markets to be “vulnerable to significant declines”. To wit: Prices of risky assets generally increased since the previous report, and, in …
Valuations Are Extreme Even With Rose Tinted Glasses
By Michael Lebowitz Valuations Are Extreme Even With Rose Tinted Glasses Many investors claim that comparing current valuations to the nifty fifties, roaring twenties, or the go-go nineties is for the birds. New technologies, aggressive monetary policy, and other factors …
Do valuations still matter? The gap between the S&P 500 and corporate profits after tax remains very wide
#recession … #StockMarket #Bubble edition#SPX #SPX500 $SPY #ES_F https://t.co/9c3953rnaQ — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) August 28, 2021 #recession … #StockMarket #Bubble edition#SPX #SPX500 $SPY #ES_F https://t.co/57DPIt7JTf — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) August 28, 2021 #recession … #Tech #Bubble 2.0 edition https://t.co/oTqGdQV7th — …
Earnings, Multiples, & Untold Truths About Forward Valuations
by Lance Roberts Earnings up, multiples down. Such seems to be a straightforward rationale for why investors should pile into markets as it enters a “new phase.” Such was the suggestion made recently by Yahoo! Finance anchor Myles Udland. “The stock market is …
Sven Henrich: The Fed is printing like it’s 2008 with valuations north of 205% market cap to GDP while billionaires are celebrating launching themselves into space.
https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1410871847130996740 https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1410935142428852228 https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1410940346851368964 There is no such thing as the stock market. Even in bubbly times like 2000 or today there are sectors/equities which are reasonably priced and will do well when the bubbles burst. Ht @johnauthers pic.twitter.com/gSU3QhNyAy — Michael …
Just heard on CNBC: “Valuations are still not stretched.”
Just heard on CNBC: "Valuations are still not stretched." M'kay. pic.twitter.com/9hGjjRfQyH — John P. Hussman, Ph.D. (@hussmanjp) June 25, 2021 https://twitter.com/TommyThornton/status/1408427601287389193 We just got quoted $20K for a shipping container. We usually pay $3K — Dave (@dave_stonks) June 25, 2021 …
Record valuations and leverage alone do not make a market top. Add macro timing:
Record valuations and leverage alone do not make a market top. Add macro timing: -Faltering consumer confidence-Liquidity drying up-Negative economic surprises-EPS growth deceleration-Yield curve inversions-Extreme VIX short-China shocks to comehttps://t.co/9DrQo35QlK — Kevin C. Smith, CFA (@crescatkevin) April 26, 2019 The …
Unicorn Tech Bubble 2.0 Madness! Watch This and See the Insane Valuations!
Do you think there will be many of these tech unicorn companies that will go bankrupt? The tech bubble is ancient history for the majority of investors today. They weren’t invested during that time as many were either too young …
US stock market at truly record valuations while profit growth has peaked; China is in a historic credit bubble & its currency likely to enter a full-blown crisis.
– US stock market at truly record valuations while profit growth has peaked. – China is in a historic credit bubble & its currency likely to enter a full-blown crisis. – Gold is an extremely undervalued haven currency today. https://youtu.be/Z9OkWG0R_4Y …
John Hussman: “If you understand valuations and market history, you know we’re not joking.”
Excerpted from John Hussman’s Weekly Market Comment, There are three principal phases of a bull market: the first is represented by reviving confidence in the future of business; the second is the response of stock prices to the known improvement …
U.S. Stock Market Valuations Continue to Warn
via RecessionAlert: We have updated the RecessionALERT Valuation Index (RAVI) forecast models for the SP500 using fourth quarter 2018 data. Stock market valuations continue to pose a “clear and present danger” to positive economic and SP500 returns outcomes and have worsened …
How The Buffett Yardstick Shows Both ‘Sky-High’ Stock Market Valuations And Investor Sentiment
by The Felder Report The following post was based on an excerpt from a recent report published in The Felder Report PRO. Warren Buffett recently said wrote, “Prices are sky-high for businesses possessing decent long-term prospects.” And I wouldn’t be surprised if …
Highest Valuations Ever – US stocks are the most overvalued ever, higher than prior speculative mania market peaks in 1929 & 2000
via @mcm_ct: US stocks are the most overvalued ever, higher than prior speculative mania market peaks in 1929 & 2000 1. Price to Sales 2. Price to Book 3. Enterprise Value to Sales 4. Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5. Price …
Buffett, Shiller, Bogle & Tobin: Valuations, Forward Returns & Winning The Long-Game
by Lance Roberts What a difference just a couple of months can make. Since the financial crisis, there has been much commentary written about the low forward returns on stocks over the subsequent 10-year period from high valuation levels. The …
Looking at stock valuations as a multiple of sales, the U.S. reached a level of overvaluation last January only seen once before in the last three decades — during the dot-com bubble of 1999 and 2000
via Bloomberg: hat just happened? I last wrote one of these newsletters on Dec. 20, the day after the last Federal Reserve monetary meeting. (More on my disappearance later in this commentary.) Since that date, stocks have staged a spectacular decline worldwide, …
Social mood is what drives stock market valuations, so a large bear market will be accompanied by a lot more than just financial and economic distress.
by SpontaneousDisorder Remember the tea party and occupy movements after the financial crisis? Is A New Revolution In France Just Beginning? The French are partial to a revolution. The French Revolution, beginning in 1789, accelerated the rise of republics and …
We’re at 1929 and dot-com bubble valuations, equity bull market is over and it will now turn into a raging bear standing on the waterfall devouring every salmon trying to swim up stream.
The U.S. stock market capitalization as a percent of GDP (Warren Buffett's favorite indicator) shows that we're at 1929 and dot-com bubble valuations: https://t.co/yAKYS3DTNv $QQQ $SPY pic.twitter.com/cGCXFh9bVf — Jesse Colombo (@TheBubbleBubble) December 4, 2018 https://twitter.com/hks55/status/1070091893642452992 https://twitter.com/Montyrumbold_/status/1070036519929421824 $VIX Bollingers almost at …
Reminder: Equity Valuations And SWR Are Inversely Correlated – Or Why Not to Worry About The Next Bear Market!
by user4847378942 With the current market dip a lot of people might have gotten a little scared, especially with high equity exposure as probably most of us have. So I just wanted to remind everyone, that even when the market …
Weekend Reading: A Permanent Shift To Valuations?
by Lance Roberts One of the ongoing thesis behind a continuation of a bull market from current valuation levels is that there has been a permanent shift higher in valuations due to changes in accounting rules, propensity for share buybacks, …
For Stock Investors, Nowhere to Run to Escape All-Time Insane Valuations
by jessefelder With the FANG stocks faltering lately investors are starting to become concerned about their impact on the broader market. And there is certainly something to this. Statistically speaking, these market generals have become increasingly important to the broad market indexes recently …
Chart: Small Caps Vs Large Caps PE10 Valuations
via Callum Thomas Starting the week off with a long term look at the small end of the market, this chart shows the PE10 Valuation metric (price vs trailing 10 year average earnings) for the S&P600 (small cap stocks) vs …
It Calls for Reflection on Current SP500 Valuations
No traditional recession indicators raising their hands, but valuations are https://twitter.com/RecessionAlert2/status/1009848956208271362 With the caveat that a clear improvement in our measures of market internals would shift us to a neutral/constructive near-term outlook, the recent low-volume squeeze has returned the most …
Bubble-Like Stock Valuations Miss $3.4 Trillion in Hidden Assets
via Bloomberg: Traditional metrics like P/E and P/B are effectively broken Outdated accounting standards create ‘distortions’ in equities And it’s not just talk. Practitioners now regularly adjust models to give greater heft to things that were previously thought too abstract …
2000 vs 2018 Tech Bubble – Over 80% Of IPOs In 2017 Had Negative Earnings, Some Of Them Are Just One Breath Away From Bankruptcy, Sky-High Valuations Everywhere…
The bubble popping in 2000 (it was not 2001) was a lot like an avalanche. It wasn’t clear exactly which snowflake was the one that put it over the tipping point, but once confidence was lost, it went very quickly. …