by jessefelder A few years ago, I was studying the relationship between the major stock market indexes and their volatility indexes and I came across and an intriguing phenomenon. The vast majority of the time these indexes move in opposite …
by Ok_Significance_4008 I believe that the CVOL vs. Convexity (TYCY) ratio is a good indicator of market conditions. When the CVOL is high and the Convexity is low, it indicates that there is more risk in the market and investors …
JPMorgan highlighted that market volatility is “artificially low,” as the S&P 500 VIX (VIX) recently dropped to 16, marking its lowest level in more than 17 months even though markets remain unsure about ongoing inflation concerns and future Federal Reserve …
by goldenloi I want to be very clear: I am not trying to say that 2023 will be an exact repeat of 2008. Only time will tell exactly how this plays out. Either way, I found it interesting just how similar …
By Matthew Piepenburg In this 30-minute conversation with Elijah Johnson of Liberty Finance, Matterhorn Asset Management principal, Matthew Piepenburg, addresses the escalating ripple effects of the U.S. banking crisis and the growing distrust of gasping bond markets, cornered policy makers …
The last time we saw this amount of implied volatility in US Treasury yields was in December 2008. pic.twitter.com/kT2zFsy1ez — Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) March 16, 2023 Credit Suisse to borrow up to about $54 billion from Swiss National Bank Credit …
by confoundedinterest17 Well, the banking fiasco CREATED BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE is still with us. Why? Because the FDIC guaranteed deposits above $250,000 for the first time in history, bailing out millionaires/billionaires. I call this Crony Socialism (but I repeat …
by BoatSurfer600 Source: https://zensecondlife.blogspot.com/2023/01/prepare-for-brown-swan-event.html?m=1 Here we see option skew was very high at the stock market’s all time high, but subsequently it has collapsed as hedge funds monetized their hedges. Which means when they see fat premiums they sell into it. …
Inflation, geopolitical uncertainty and fears of a recession have undermined financial confidence across the board, according to a new report by Edelman Financial Engines. Less than one-quarter, or 23%, of more than 2,000 adults polled earlier this fall said they …
That’s not very comforting. Volatility keeps inching up on the MOVE and Currency indexes. The $VIX can’t be far behind. @Mayhem4Markets pic.twitter.com/eZl7eySmH3 — Ayesha Tariq, CFA (@AyeshaTariq) July 9, 2022
by justcool393 TL;DR: The market is, in general, underhedged. Lack of hedging with put options is creating a scenario that makes our ability to rally upward much harder and increases crash risk. Buy short-dated ATM straddles (more risky), buy puts, directly …
$MOVE vs $VIX: the disparity is as wide as I've ever seen it. Who's right on volatility, bonds or stocks? I tend to lean toward bonds. pic.twitter.com/bLPVouCDRR — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) April 20, 2022 ‘It’s all relative’ is a …
by David Brady via Sprott Money Today, we got the latest CPI numbers, and they were explosive. Headline expectations were for a 7.3% increase year-over-year. It came in higher at 7.5%. It may not sound like much, but that’s the highest CPI since …
by Paul Lengemann, BullsnBears Economist Since December 2021, market crash expert Michael Markowski has conducted empirical (1871-2022) research on the following below. Based on the findings he is predicting that the S&P 500’s all-time high (4818.62) reached on 1/4/22 will prove …
Got VIX? Volatility is your friend as the Fed is about to rock and roll. Markets rather nervous waiting for results tonight at 3am HKT. 103bps priced in for 2022. 💥💥💥💥 pic.twitter.com/wacLUiPlEN — Trinh (@Trinhnomics) January 26, 2022 $spx put …
Birch Gold Group’s Phillip Patrick talks to Steve Bannon about why the stock market is completely reliant on the Fed’s stimulus. The markets are already down to start the year, but here’s why it could just be the “tip of …
Nasdaq volatility is wild. Does anyone dare to interpret? pic.twitter.com/lnULLQvzlR — The Market Dog (@TheMarketDog) December 16, 2021 $spx pic.twitter.com/NAgGdk9TEm — Álvaro Oviedo (@alvoviedo) December 16, 2021 https://twitter.com/JTSEO9/status/1471617798241726472 🇺🇸For those who said US$ would fall apart🤠 pic.twitter.com/YKxaLsllOe — Antonio Pérez-Algás …
When the world's largest stock gains +11% in one week ($280b) and a Germany in market cap, there is no way to assess risk via the stock "market". Except to say that bulls are winning the war of deception. Soon …
#recession … #Tech #Bubble 2.0 edition#Lucid #ElectricVehicles https://t.co/INwdhDoZ0d — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) December 8, 2021 Multiple pandemic-related hype stocks have already returned to May 2020 levels. Who’s next? BofA Says S&P 500 Real Earnings Yield is Lowest Since Harry Truman …
Volatility has jumped, failed trades have increased — and Wall Street analysts warn that the Federal Reserve’s exit from bond-buying is set to make matters worse https://t.co/tglbmvrsLj — Bloomberg Markets (@markets) December 6, 2021 Put options volume across all symbols …
by Adam Taggart, Wealthion This video is the middle of three videos cut from a 2-hour long recording session with stock market technical analysis expert Sven Henrich. Here, Sven walks through the latest charts and key patterns he sees with the …
by Feedmepi314 Most degenerates here seem to think mostly in a binary form for their options. I buy calls if I think upsies, and puts if I think downsies. Well, what if I told you put holders can make money when …
Authored by Patrick Hill via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, “Volatility often refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk related to the size of changes in a security’s value. A higher volatility means that a security’s value can potentially be spread out over a …
by confoundedinterest17 It used to be that capacity utilization was a signal for The Federal Reserve to raise or lower their key target rate. When capacity utilization rose above 80%, the economy was deemed to getting “hot” and The Fed would …
https://twitter.com/PuffDragon11/status/1448895414850056194 https://twitter.com/PuffDragon11/status/1448899341981126659 PBOC take on Evergrande (not a soft one) pic.twitter.com/RZQI9YMsto — Jens Nordvig (@jnordvig) October 15, 2021 https://twitter.com/linzcom/status/1448881877524238337
by Chris Vermeulen of The Technical Traders Chris joins Jim Goddard on Howestreet.com to discuss the latest moves in the markets. We are seeing a little bit of fear creeping into the market this week, which is a normal process that takes place roughly every …
Risk is the key when it comes to stock market investing, however few know what is risk, how risk is defined and how to apply risk focus to one’s investing portfolio. We discuss what is risk, how it is wrongly …
By Matthew Piepenburg Below we unpack the implications behind central bank gold purchases (rising), negative real yields (falling) and Stanley Fischer’s Fed-speak (cringing). What Bankers Do, Rather Than Say By now, the open farce as to “central bank transparency” has been made abundantly …
Photo by Rémi Boudousquié From Birch Gold Group If you were awake at all this week, you caught glimpses of the stock market drama. Maybe you tuned it out? Here’s a quick recap: Monday. Huge sell-off, the worst one-day decline since October …
by Lance Roberts A couple of weeks ago, in “Warning Signs A Correction Is Ahead,” we said quite a few indicators set the stage for a pick-up in volatility. A review of the latest Commitment Of Traders (COT) report suggests the …