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The Mathematical Reality Is We’re Losing Over 600,000 Jobs a Month That Have Been Hidden From View


Mac Slavo
May 7th, 2013
SHTFplan.com

 

The Dow Jones is soaring. The unemployment rate is stable. People are shopping. America is in recovery.

Or is it?

Despite all of the positive spin being put on the global and domestic economic recovery, the truth is that nothing of the sort is actually happening.

Any observant analyst can deduce that 15,000+ stock market values are a result of easy money being pumped into investment banks, who then slam that money straight into markets. The Fed itself is reportedly providing direct liquidity to the system. They can do this forever, so long as our creditors let them. And, until they’re stopped, they’ll continue to convince most Americans that financial markets and the economy have been stabilized.

Underneath all the hoop-la, however, is the reality of the situation.

The latest employment report from the Bureau of Labor and Statistics is a prime example of the shenanigans being played by government statisticians and their media cohorts behind the scenes.

While the official story is that non farm payrolls rose by 165,000 people last month leaving the unemployment rate at 7.5%, the truth is that the devil is in the details:

Now for the bad news.

The average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls decreased by 0.2 hour in April to 34.4 hours. Within manufacturing, the workweek decreased by 0.1 hour to 40.7 hours, and overtime declined by 0.1 hour to 3.3 hours. The average workweek for production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls decreased by 0.1 hour to 33.7 hours. (See tables B-2 and B-7.)

This is a problem.  If we look at the “employed” figure of 143,724,000 people a drop of 0.2 hours is a full-time-equivalent decrease of 1/2%.  Applied to the employed population this amounts to an imputed economic decrease of 718,620 jobs!

That is, the loss of work-week hours of just 0.2 is the same economic impact as firing 700,000 people!

There is a huge problem coming this year and into next in this regard as the trend of cutting hours back to get under Obamacare limits is picking up steam and will continue.

Do not underestimate the economic impact of those hours-worked changes — you’d have to post up a +700k jobs figure to offset just this one month’s change in hourly workweek!

You’ll be told this is a “good report” and it is, on the surface.  But I bet not one of the talking heads on CNBC runs the math on what the workweek means in terms of economic impact.

You heard it here first, and later this summer and into the fall when the jobs report continues to post up mid-100k numbers but consumer spending collapses into the toilet at a rate that is roughly identical to when we’re losing 600-700,000 jobs a month and people are scratching their heads  trying to figure out why it’s happening as the stock market crashes, you will be one of the few who understands what has happened and why.

Via Karl Denninger’s Market Ticker

We may be creating jobs in America. But not only are we not creating enough jobs to offset the amount of people entering the workforce, those who have jobs are being forced to work fewer hours. Couple that with rising prices for essentials like food and energy being fueled by the Federal Reserve and US Treasury, and you’ve got quite a predicament.

They can show us their charts, make forward looking statements, cite rising stock markets, and try to play with the statistics to give us a perception of growth and improvement, but they cannot rewrite the basic laws of arithmetic.

This is going to end horribly for tens of millions of Americans and none of them see it coming.

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  • Deborah Rodriguez

    If they keep telling us everything is wonderful, don’t worry we have everything under control then the small minded brains will feel so much better. Then there are those of us who are DEMANDING that the federal reserve is put down.
    No jobs, infrastructure is failing, our safety nets have been stolen while we were too busy working to pay our bills.
    Shame on us.

  • Bwhhaaa hhaaa hhaaaa

    The sad thing, the collapse is imminent, and if you haven’t been awake and preparing for awhile now, you are already dead and don’t know it. We are headed into a world that will be unlike anything most of us have ever experienced. We will be totally reliant upon ourselves and close friends or family for our very survival. Imagine a world where you only have what you have stored, what you can grow or make yourself and then imagine others that will gladly kill you and your family for what you have. Oh, and add to this rosy picture, the prospect of an overwhelming, Nazi-style government goon force rounding up people for extermination or ‘re-education’……..kinda scary isn’t it??

    • http://www.facebook.com/nikki.santoro.50 Nikki Santoro

      Well actually the barbarians well have long finished you off before the totally self-reliant stage.

  • Dave_Mowers

    …and the magical power, the mysterious secret behind capitalism is money creation. All economic woes could be ended immediately if the money created was distributed for use by the lower classes but noooooo…in Christian America money can only be created for use by those who already have more than they will ever need. Amazing that bloody murders are not happening daily at banks. This entire system is a fraud upon the working-class American.

    • usurykills

      The system is beyond simple fraud. It is genocidal.

      Every day congress allows the FED and the IRS to exist is one more treasonous day of tyranny.

  • The dude

    That is a lie, everything is great. Life is a big party, come to DC to find out.

    (Actually, I moved here after the crash and lost everything. They have no idea in DC how bad the rest of the country is)