The question is simple: Are more buildings being made, or are less, and what is the future trend?
By Daniel at 17 November, 2009, 2:58 pm
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If this was sandbox play, you would look at the children playing with dump trucks and reach your conclusion on the basis of how much time there is before dark, and how interested the children involved were with what they were doing.
We want to know if there is any “dark” approaching. Is there an iceburg that threatens to bring an end to everything? If there is, then that is something we need to keep in mind. By an iceburg, I mean something fundamental that is huge, like an economic crash due to currency problems or debt problems.
For the short term, IBM doesn’t need a new office tower. It can survive in the ones it has. There are plenty of homes to go around. It is unlikely that we would run out of collective space to live and work if we didn’t build new homes this year.
Building is the result of innovation; the desire to make statements through architecture, to build new empires, or to construct larger or superior homes. Ultimately, construction in this decade will be determined by the confidence of people in general. If they are confident, they will build.
Go downtown. Ask yourself how many of the people on the streets aspire to do anything above street level. Go to the suburbs. Ask yourself how many people are comfortable there, unmotivated to tear down their metaphorical barns and build greater.
We look at the economy backward! It isn’t about whether the system is strong enough to support us. It is about whether we are strong enough to support the system which we have made.
- JHoward
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