We Are Heading Toward A Frightening Fall/Winter Economic Collapse
10 Year Bond Shakedown Continues: Rate Hits 2.873%
It’s all about rates this largely newsless morning, which have continued their march wider all night, and moments ago rose to 2.873% – a fresh 2 year wide and meaning that neither Gross, nor the bond market, is nowhere near tweeted out. As DB confirms, US treasuries are front and center of mind at the moment…. the 10yr UST yield is up another 4bp at a fresh two year high of 2.87% in Tokyo trading, adding to last week’s 20bp selloff. As it currently stands, 10yr yields are up by more than 120bp from the YTD lows in early May and more than 80bp higher since Bernanke’s now infamous JEC testimony. We should also note that the recent US rates selloff has been accompanied by a rapid steepening in the rate curve. Indeed, the 2s/10s curve is at a 2 year high of 250bp and the 2s/30s and 2s/5s are also at close to their highest level in two years.
US 10Y Bond rates: 4% by December: SHTF
Commodities: Egyptian bloodbath threatens crucial routes for oil and gas supplies
Retail Expert Davidowitz: Wal-Mart’s Woes Stem From Economy in ‘State of Collapse’
New Mortgage applications are tanking
Repo Market Decline Raises Alarm as Regulation Strains Debt
The U.S. repurchase, or repo, market where banks and investors borrow and lend Treasuries and other fixed-income securities shrunk to $4.6 trillion daily outstanding last month, down 35 percent from a peak of $7.02 trillion in the first quarter of 2008, based on Federal Reserve data compiled from its 21 primary dealers.
Official Denials Run Rampant in India; “No Question” of Economic Crisis; Rupee Plunges to Record Low; Gold Coin Imports Banned
When news came last week that India tightened capital controls and banned gold imports, I pinged Pater Tenebrarum at Acting Man with a pair of comments.
- Looks like India is about ready to blow up
- Looks good for gold
This Chart Of Indian Borrowing Costs Will Make Your Eyes Bug Out
Check out the surge in yields since the spring.
Big Emerging Markets Are Getting Smoked
It is an ugly day for some major emerging markets today.
The worst of the bunch is Indonesia, where the Jakarta market fell 5.6%.
India’s SENSEX has fallen 1.7%, which comes after a major decline on Friday.
Both countries are seeing weakening currencies and deteriorating trade pictures, and are part of a big trend we’ve seen all year of emerging markets weakness.
Thailand also had a bad session, with the SET index losing 2.6%.
The country saw a big GDP whiff.
Bad Loans In Spain Surge To A New Record
Traders beware: Six weeks of intense volatility ahead
“We have so much event risk over the next six weeks: tapering, German elections and a decision on the Japanese consumption tax. Markets are going to be incredibly volatile,” Paul Krake, founder of Hong Kong investment firm View From the Peak: Macro Strategies.
“They won’t take our bank accounts, they’ll take our retirement accounts: they’ll take our 401(k)s.”
And Ron Paul said, “they’ll take ’em by force.” Interesting times indeed.